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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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cheongwee
Elite |
06-Sep-2009 12:45
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I thk Monday and Tues solid, Why? dow on holiday on Mon...rally to continue into Tuseday....provided HSI and SSE dont give trouble, which i thk they wont.. lucky for those who bought on friday...notice this rally, if you have bought on weak, likely u make $$$ |
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lawcheemeng
Master |
06-Sep-2009 12:04
![]() Yells: "fly me to the mooon" |
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sleeping partner lah........collecting money .......do nothing loh.....hehehe....but say me no contribute ok......trying hard to keep up........
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cheongwee
Elite |
06-Sep-2009 11:17
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I thk sept will be generally ok, no doubt the sept worst month thinking of the masses may stop ppl fr buying....but with further good data on the way, i see this sept to be diifferent...we are tracking on mostly good data....so this sept is different fr the rest is that it is all abt good recoverr news ...unlike other which we saw lehman bros collapse and so on... I am only worry for Oct and Nov...which are truly the most notorious... But if we go pass Oct and Nov with no major incident...we are going to see our stock double, come 1 quater 2010...and of course next will be May 2010, more ARM and prime reset..by then hope the economy is trong enouhg to take this impact.....gd luck.. |
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iPunter
Supreme |
06-Sep-2009 11:17
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Many many people only come here to listen out for buy tips... They eagerly read through all posts for clues on what to buy... Then when they see someone posting 'solid' tips, they will gratefully post a "thank you", especially that "thanks for sharing" line, which may well be their only lines in this forum... Hardly do they ever want to read comments on strategic approaches, stock market principles and the like.... ![]() |
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cheongwee
Elite |
06-Sep-2009 11:07
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i thk this forum is poor, there are alot of reader, but ppl who participate and post consitute to some less than 3% fr my estimation....and it is free. what happen the the rest???...thk worst than paying one like shareinvester... those who read, dont say u got nothing to say... and when bear come, it wll be even more quiet here.... |
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ronleech
Master |
05-Sep-2009 17:07
![]() Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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1st half month i guess should be rather stable.....next half month? Well, hope the bull dunt run too far away lor | ||||
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ozone2002
Supreme |
05-Sep-2009 14:35
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Here's a good article i like to share.. The September Syndrome by Bill Jenkins Pylesville, Maryland As just about everyone knows, the stock market crashed in a big way in 1929. Analyst Nick Guarino reminds me that it rallied 15 times before it hit bottom fours years later, having lost 90% of its value. And the truth is, when adjusted for inflation, the market didn't break even again until 1960. (If you're a "buy-and-hold" investor, you MUST account for inflation. It is the single biggest "invisible" tax in our wonderful Fed managed economy.) But before people could get too happy with making money again, along came President Johnson and the "Great Society." I don't know who it was so great for - the market began crashing again in '66. Once again, adjusted for inflation, it didn't get back to breakeven for another 30 years. So, 30 years from the Great Depression to the Great Society. Then 30 years from the Great Society to the Great Depression II. Each of the peaks resulted in 10-15 years of declines. Of course, they didn't fall straight down. That's the "trick" of the whole deal.
Each rally draws in a few more people, a little more money, until there are no suckers left. Then when the bottom hits, it has takes 15-20 years to "recover." It will take a very long time to recover from what we've been hit with: Exxon/Mobil lost two-thirds of its profits... that's 66%! The "World's Company," GE, saw a 47% collapse in profits. Toyota, the recession- impervious carmaker, posted its largest yearly loss EVER and is looking at losses this year, too. Insurers have been hit. Computer giants have taken a whacking. Even Disney is down over 25% in the third quarter. These are not "bumps in the road." They are "driving off a cliff." By some estimates, inflation-adjusted earnings are down 90% in the last 20 months. We are now in just the second year of this disaster. We are witnessing an almost perfect copy of the first Great Depression. And there are more nasty little secrets in the economy, waiting like ticking time bombs to explode. We will see more businesses in trouble, more banks failing, more foreclosures and more commercial real estate losses. At the end of June alone, there were over 5,300 commercial properties in the United States in default. That's more than double the number from the end of 2008 - and there are still six months to count. Still think American companies are recovering? What will a 300% rise in commercial defaults do for jobs? Profits? Banks? So don't let the recovery pundits fool you, even though they're out in force. No doubt you've heard the optimists: "The Recession is over." "The Recovery has begun." "Better get in on the ground floor now if you hope to recover all that retirement money you lost last year." Just look at the evidence, they say: Markets up 50%. In the greatest bull run since the Great Depression, stock indices are forging higher. The numbers are swelling. Ride the wave! But you probably know what I'm going to say right now: Don't believe a word of it! No market goes up forever. Isn't that one of the first lessons we learn when chasing a bull market? This one is no different. Could it go higher? Sure. But just how far can you stretch a rubber band? Eventually, it is going to snap back. And, as it happens, we're heading right into "snapback" season. Historically, the month of September is the worst month for stocks. Hands down. Indices fall more in this month on average than in any other month of the year. In fact, the S&P has declined in 11 of the past 20 Septembers. You may be inclined to say, "That's not so impressive." But an average decline of 10 points is something worth noting. Additionally, 40% of those falls consisted of declines that were 75-125 points. That's huge. No other month has such an anomaly. And it seems to me that this September may be ripe for the picking. In fact, the first day of September was a real whopper. And Monday (although technically an August day) was not so august for US equities. Thus, as the calendar turns over, we have two days in the down column. But as bad as September is, October has the reputation for being a real bloodbath. It certainly possesses a number of the largest down and crash days. But in order for a crash of monumental proportions to take place, there has to be some lofty level from which to fall. I get physically sick when people tell me how they are moving (what's left of their money) back into equities. I try to reason with them; I try to warn them. It breaks my heart to see pensioners barely getting by. You remember all the drama from recent years, how we were told that the elderly were forced to choose between food and medicine? Do you remember the seniors who were reportedly sharing their cat's food so they could buy their prescriptions? And that was during the go-go boom years. I cringe when I think of what lies ahead for them. Will it start this fall? Has the band stretched far enough? Has Wall Street suckered in all the money that will venture out into the street? That's all they're after. Draw everyone out of the woods. Get all those who believe that it's time to buy and hold into the game again. A 50% rally? Child's play! This time the Dow is headed for 18,000! Better tread carefully. This is without question the area of thinnest ice. One misstep by the government, a foolish line slip or a negative surprise, and the entire "recovery" falls like a house of cards. Keep your money, and your exits, close... and don't be afraid to take profit. |
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ronleech
Master |
05-Sep-2009 12:58
![]() Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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For asia region now the spearhead is China..... |
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ozone2002
Supreme |
05-Sep-2009 12:31
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Dow was up .. but take note on VERY VERY VERY light vol.. i won't bet on a sustained rally from here.. |
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boyikao3
Master |
04-Sep-2009 23:34
![]() Yells: "Money or reputation ?" |
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That's a good one CW!![]()
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dealer0168
Elite |
04-Sep-2009 22:46
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AFP - Saturday, September 5
BERLIN (AFP) - - The global economy "appears to be emerging" from a steep slump and countries should plan to wind down stimulus efforts, International Monetary Fund chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn said Friday.
"The global economy appears to be emerging at last from the worst economic downturn in our lifetimes," Strauss-Kahn said in a speech in Berlin. The risks of the fragile recovery stalling appeared to be diminishing, as several advanced economies -- including France and Germany -- had already returned to growth and emerging economies were "recovering even more strongly," he said in prepared remarks. But he warned that problems in the financial sector could persist or even intensify, particularly if efforts to restore banks to health are not completed. In light of the fragility of the recovery, Strauss-Kahn cautioned there was "a real danger" countries may end their extraordinary monetary and fiscal crisis measures prematurely. "Having said this, the time is right for policymakers to formulate their exit strategies," he added. The former French finance minister said that international coordination of exit strategies would perhaps be even "more important" than the well-coordinated crisis response. "Greater clarity in communicating policy intentions to the public is also essential to shore up confidence," he said. Strauss-Kahn was due to travel to London later Friday for a two-day meeting of finance chiefs from the Group of 20 developed and developing countries in advance of a September 24-25 summit in the northeastern US city of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The global recovery, Strauss-Kahn said, would likely be "relatively sluggish," with unemployment continuing to rise through next year. "A jobless recovery remains a risk. Having so many people out of work has significant economic costs, ranging from lower private demand to a decline in potential growth if structural unemployment rises," he said. "The social consequences are potentially even more worrisome." Regulatory reform momentum was lackluster, he noted, urging countries to avoid "complacency" as financial markes improve. "The reform effort is not proceeding as quickly as is necessary to address the problems raised by the crisis," he said. The IMF managing director addressed concerns about the international monetary system and t the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency in the wake of the financial crisis. Critics have noted the role of the dollar may have been "undermined" by US economic and financial troubles, he acknowledged. "I note, however, that the US dollar actually strengthened during the crisis. In my view, this reflects the dollar's status as an unrivaled safe haven asset," said Strauss-Kahn. Recent proposals have called for the creation of a new world reserve currency, possibly based on the IMF's composite currency, the SDR, or special drawing rights. "Another possibility, and perhaps the least unlikely alternative, is for a multi-reserve currency system to emerge, with currencies like the euro, the yen and even the renminbi (Chinese yuan) serving as co-equal anchors," Strauss-Kahn said. The IMF chief said the 186-nation institution could do more to support the international monetary system, suggesting its financial resources base "could be increased further." |
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ronleech
Master |
04-Sep-2009 21:24
![]() Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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Looks like a tough nite tonite...future pare gained.... |
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cheongwee
Elite |
04-Sep-2009 21:22
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I thk tonite must be 100 over points...to make up for 2 days lost of good data... monday...all huat ahhhh. |
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ronleech
Master |
04-Sep-2009 21:04
![]() Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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like that one lah.....kns trying to showoff leh..... Wah...i loaded yanlord yeasterday @2.21 leh....still holding |
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DnApeh
Master |
04-Sep-2009 21:00
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i thought you siam already
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cheongwee
Elite |
04-Sep-2009 20:57
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aiyoyo...how come i am so lucky,,,every friday shopping and monday only collect $$$ again.. today hope u ppl shopping, but today , very sian, got a little..ppl now smarter already, dont want to sell me cheap... so dow how many pts u thk...i guess ...120 pts....gd luck to all.... |
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ronleech
Master |
04-Sep-2009 20:39
![]() Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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Get ready to start the run? | ||||
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edskh78
Member |
04-Sep-2009 20:34
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Non- farm payrolls fall by 216,000, better than consensus 225,000. Unemployment rate jumps to 9.7% |
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ronleech
Master |
04-Sep-2009 17:00
![]() Yells: "Believe in yourself. Ride with the waves......" |
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I will say...coming monday....SSE to sky up to space.... | ||||
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ronleech
Master |
04-Sep-2009 16:58
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I think this is just the begining...US should have +ve gain tonite....next monday till thursday should have all eight legs running....all mkt expecting to have their stock re-valued and re-rated...so expecting more charging upwards.....HUAT arrgg...
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