Latest Forum Topics / Straits Times Index |
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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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ragmop15
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18-Sep-2009 23:27
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Hi Boyikao3, you mentioned "wave 3 of C of primary wave B". I want to know from what date to what date is what you consider Primary wave A. From the end date of Primary Wave A till now...you assume it is still Primary Wave B. Thanks.
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boyikao3
Master |
18-Sep-2009 23:17
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Aiyoh ipunter, that's becos you are old bird liao. I heard old bird just need to look at price and volume and then know what position to take, no need to look at charts one. I still not that advance lah. Hope to learn more kung fu from you in the future ok? ![]()
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boyikao3
Master |
18-Sep-2009 23:13
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Sorry I can't. Even Mr Elliot himself cannot predict the exact date for the Great Depression crash. He only kew that it was near. This is because EW traders believe that the movement of waves is organismic because they are created by human emotions, which comes and go in waves, and thus are alive, not dead formula. Which index are you trading at the moment? Maybe I can try to post the critical levels for you to watch out for but I could never predict a specific date for things to happen. That's the fun of using EW!
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iPunter
Supreme |
18-Sep-2009 22:46
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Waves are too time-consuming and head-cracking to indulge in... I only go for price... the meaner the better... hehehe... ![]() |
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ragmop15
Member |
18-Sep-2009 21:46
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Hi Boyikao3, if you dont mind, please let me know the exact dates of primary wave A, primary wave B since I am not able to picture this " wave 3 of C of primary wave B." Thanks.
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smartrader
Elite |
18-Sep-2009 21:35
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DnApeh
Master |
18-Sep-2009 21:09
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hopefully today is IT then. Thanks! |
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boyikao3
Master |
18-Sep-2009 20:31
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Tonight's the night! watch out for SP500 to close above 1064. If yes, then SP500 head towards 1100.If it does, DJIA should also follow. If not, both should have a near term top forming. STI should retrace slightly over next 1-2 days and should resume wave 3 of C of primary wave B. Same for HSI, both still has room to move. wave 3 is good for some quick bucks but time yourself to enter after next week's continued slight correction (if today is IT, then should resume wave 3 next week). For those using Chartnexus, focus on the US dollar index chart. You will see the dollar MACD histogram,Williams and RSI all forming a higher low. Start looking u for golden crosses in these indicators. Dollar index should dip once more towards around the solid bottom of 74. Then from there, a base could start forming for a strong rally for many months. When the bottom is formed, gold and major world indices should witness a shooting star or uptrust candle (intraday or daily) which sets the stage for a synchronised decline for all markets, including oil and metals. Observe how today across the board decline in HSI, SSE and STI when the dollar index starts to inch up slightly.... ![]() |
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dealer0168
Elite |
18-Sep-2009 20:07
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The day STI hit 2770, an elite will appear.................hehe | ||||||||||
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iPunter
Supreme |
18-Sep-2009 18:46
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To be on the safe side, always save your post (right click copy) incrementally when you are working on it... Frequently, an advert pop up will frustrate all your efforts... ![]() |
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boyikao3
Master |
18-Sep-2009 18:17
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Sorry guys, just spent 45mins on my post and charts and then lost everything due to an error dunno with the internet or my Macbook! So will try again later only with numbers and descriptions!![]()
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baseerahmed
Master |
18-Sep-2009 15:20
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yes, Boyikao , would really appreciate if u could upload some charts .. or maybe someone who undertsands his thought process upload the charts ... " a picture is worth a thousand words" thanks : ) |
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ragmop15
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18-Sep-2009 15:00
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Hi Boyikao, please show us some charts if possible. Thanks.
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boyikao3
Master |
18-Sep-2009 12:43
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STI and other Asian bourses have more room to move up. My STI target remains 2952 - 3100 (mid October). DJIA and SP500 - now both extending towards 10 330 and 1099 respectively. So do not expect any sharp correction in near term. Wave B and wave 2 have not completed their jobs yet!![]()
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boyikao3
Master |
18-Sep-2009 12:39
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That's a good one ipunter! Let's all do our part and start contributing our PAI here at the forum as a local sentiment index. This should also include cab drivers and ah peh sentiments, not only from parsar auntie.
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niuyear
Supreme |
18-Sep-2009 12:36
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Wow, looks set to rally? If not ,then hug the teddy bear........ S&P 500 May Add 20% Based on Moving Average: Technical Analysis By Sapna Maheshwari Sept. 17 (Bloomberg) -- The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index may rally another 20 percent, the amount by which it exceeds its average level from the previous 200 days, according to an analysis by Birinyi Associates Inc. The S&P 500 closed yesterday at 1068.76, or 20.1 percent above its 200-day moving average of 889.64, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The index has climbed 20 percent above its 200-day moving average three other times since World War II, in 1975, 1982 and 1986, and each move resulted in gains ranging from 13 percent to 20 percent a year later, Cleve Rueckert, an analyst for the Westport, Connecticut-based research and money management firm founded by Laszlo Birinyi, wrote in a note. “While bears might point to the short-term overbought condition, the current rally is indicative of long-term strength,” Rueckert wrote. The S&P 500 has surged 60 percent from its 12-year low of 666.79 on March 9 as companies reported better-than-expected earnings and increases in industrial production and housing starts suggest the economy is pulling out of the recession. Birinyi said on May 20 that the S&P 500 would climb to a record 1,700 within three years, a 66 percent gain from its current level. The index has jumped 18 percent since his forecast. The firm has said the current advance most resembles one in 1982, when the index increased 20 percent in a year, Rueckert said in an interview. ‘Blowing Away’ “It’s hard to say that this is exactly what it’s going to be, based on a historical precedent, because markets are blowing away most of the historical precedence we’ve seen,” he said. The S&P 500 has climbed from 20 percent below the 200-day moving average to 20 percent above it only three times since 1928, according to a note from Bespoke Investment Group. Using this comparison, the index dropped one, three and six months later. After a year, it was up twice, Bespoke said in a note. “If the S&P 500 follows the historical script, the typical fourth quarter rally could face some stiff headwinds,” the research firm wrote. In technical analysis, investors study charts of trading patterns and prices to forecast changes in a security, commodity, currency or index. -- Editor: Chris Nagi To contact the reporter on this story: Sapna Maheshwari in New York at smaheshwar11@bloomberg.net; Last Updated: September 17, 2009 13:50 EDT |
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baseerahmed
Master |
18-Sep-2009 11:51
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winter hibernation for OctoberSTI not looking good. Gap up in morning occurred as expected; however, it did not manage to breach 2,700. Very frothy; a lot of churning going on. The pennies appear to be plateauing, which should not be the case since the DJIA went up quite strongly last night (though did not manage to break 9,800.)
Afternoon session will be critical: the opening of Europe should give a fillip. 2700 must be broken for uptrend to renew. if it does not, that too, is a signal. Again and again, all the blues must go up. Thus far, only the banks and kepcorp (signifying manipulation of the STI especially in light of lower vols relative to previous month) if we do not break 2700 in the next 10 trading sessions (or if market drops below 2,600 by then), then investors would be wise to hunker down for the winter of Oct, which is traditionally a weak month for stocks. Remember that Wall Street insiders have been selling at the highest rate for this year. Otherwise, whispers in the local circle indicate that for the controlled pennies, insiders and props are almost done or done with their play already. The deadlines coincide: end of September. Hence, do not believe analysts' bullish calls that are issued later this month, especially if you read their actual FA reports, and it does not tally. If you're putting your money in, do some research. Watch the UJ pair for significant moves at 90. Critical movement for equities will occur then. Caveat applies to the above. When everyone is insanely bullish, it is perhaps time for the wisdom of bears to go into hibernation. |
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iPunter
Supreme |
18-Sep-2009 05:51
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Their expectations are also like many forummers... Always on the lookout for tips from friends and individuals... ![]() |
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DnApeh
Master |
17-Sep-2009 23:35
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Guess their favourite counter? Genting lah. | ||||||||||
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smartrader
Elite |
17-Sep-2009 23:20
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now pasar aunties are more experts than many professionals.... they also learnt through hard lessons... |
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