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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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Peg_li
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:33
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Kelly, I think you are not holding any stocks,right?otherwise you wouldn't say so. what is your analysis to say STI 2200 this year, 1200 next year?privide the conviced analysis.
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tanzq83
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21-Sep-2009 23:30
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just wondering when did this forum becomes a casual talk forum where there are so much speculations of RUBBISH and BIRDS (talk).. since some of you guys are so bearish, why not just dump whatever you have on a PUT WARRANT.. maybe PUT STI 1200, expiring on Dec2009 or Mar2010?? certainly good idea, right? huat ah..
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lookcc
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:30
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r u not too bearish???
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Peg_li
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:29
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yes,you are right! but under current situation,it's not likey, at least it's not possibe these serveral month.if one year or two year, I dare not say so. |
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lookcc
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:28
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2500 or 3000 both r possible by year end, | ||||||
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kellychang
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:27
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this year will see 2200... next year will see 1200...
heheheheh...
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lookcc
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:25
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nothing is difficult 2 happen in stk mkt. | ||||||
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Peg_li
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:22
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Personally I think it's very diffult that STI fall below 2500,no need say to fall below 2200. | ||||||
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Peg_li
Master |
21-Sep-2009 23:18
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Why don't you say 1200 lai lai? hehehe!
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lookcc
Master |
21-Sep-2009 22:58
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2200 long way | ||||||
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iPunter
Supreme |
21-Sep-2009 22:53
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hahaha... Kelly is bearish... But I am neither bullish nor bearish... I only follow the dictates of the charts strictly...  |
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freeme
Elite |
21-Sep-2009 22:49
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2200.. hard
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kellychang
Master |
21-Sep-2009 22:43
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STI 2200 lai lai lai....
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baseerahmed
Master |
21-Sep-2009 22:25
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oops... forgot to say .. " please " .. : ) |
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baseerahmed
Master |
21-Sep-2009 22:23
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anyone care to share/upload the EW chart as per boyikao3 .... thanks ..
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iPunter
Supreme |
21-Sep-2009 21:37
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Hahaha... Beliefs aside, that goes to show you are not diligent enough with poring though all the stock charts... And isn't escaping the big meltdown (and then purchasing at the lows) itself an achievement?... hehehe...
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DnApeh
Master |
21-Sep-2009 20:49
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Thank you very much, boyikao3! :)
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dealer0168
Elite |
21-Sep-2009 19:58
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Investors should stay long, but stay nimble, analysts say
By R SIVANITHY
CHART watchers would no doubt be busy this week fine-tuning their analyses of the Straits Times Index with the key questions being whether the buying of the dips will continue and if so, would they eventually be strong enough to ensure the 2,700 mark is convincingly reclaimed. Logically, because there is no reason to expect much negative economic data in the weeks ahead - even if there was to be any, government spin doctors and central bankers would likely shift into overdrive to ensure that the impact is minimised - the answer to the first question has to be that the buying of the dips will surely continue and it can only be a matter of time that liquidity and momentum propel the index above 2,700. Helping this process along will be an increasing number of optimistic reports that essentially say 'buy Asia' such as DBS Group Research which in its Sept 17 Q4 outlook said Asia's V-shaped recovery continues unabated. 'We do not subscribe to W-shaped scenarios for the US or Asia, especially the latter,' said DBS. 'In short, we never regarded this downturn as a garden variety recession, rather a 'shell-shock' arising from the Lehman Brothers debacle and several one-off factors related to China, and have always looked for the sharp rebound that is now under way.' However, as pointed out in last week's column, signs of frothiness abound. In an oblique manner this was the point of DMG & Partners' 'sell' on the Singapore Exchange last Wednesday, when it said that current valuations are not cheap and interest may not be sustained. DMG pointed out that value per unit traded in July and August was 79 cents, down from $1.08 on SGX's 2008 financial year and the 94 cents in its 2009 financial year. 'Historically, penny stocks were the last to move in an upmarket. We are not optimistic that equities market trading volume will stay high in the months ahead,' said DMG. To be sure, the value per unit traded has not risen much in recent days, with the figure still well below $1. And what of earnings? Here, diverse views can be found. Citi Investment Research in its Global Equity Strategist report of Sept 16 said global 12-month forward earnings expectations have risen almost 10 per cent since May and it looks like markets have entered the recovery phase of the profits cycle. 'The clearest signs of a recovery in forward earnings are in emerging markets,' said Citi. It added that earnings momentum strategies tend to struggle around turning points and to gain exposure to the cyclical earnings recovery, investors should do so through sectors, not regions. However, Morgan Stanley in its Sept 17 Asia/Global Emerging Markets strategy said the earnings upgrade momentum is likely to be nearing a peak and that the bulk of the impact on EPS (earnings per share) growth rate forecasts are likely to have already happened. 'The pickup in the intensity of earnings revisions have translated into significantly better bottom-up earnings growth expectations . . . but we would expect further upside to aggregate bottom-up EPS growth rate forecasts to be limited even if revisions remain in positive territory, as we approach levels similar in magnitude to those seen in previous earnings recoveries,' said MS. The upshot of all this is that while investors should probably look to stay long, they should also stay nimble and be on the lookout for a significant market turn and loss of momentum Equities have risen, on average, by 50 per cent in six months mainly because of concerted government-provided liquidity from Washington to Beijing, and many observers know that the withdrawal of this support could derail the recovery. In this regard, it's interesting to note the results of a global fund manager survey by FTI Consulting reported last week - the majority of respondents said the crisis is not over yet because the amount of leverage in the system has not yet diminished. 'The prevailing view was that there has been so much economic stimulus that markets cannot help but go up. The concern was what would happen when government money runs out,' said FTI. |
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kittyhawk
Member |
21-Sep-2009 15:52
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Haha...I dun think Mr Buffett would decide his investment executions by looking at any restaurant queue lines. But we have a local fella which would do so...wonder what he will buy next by looking at which plant his neighbour water first. About his achievements, he can say this and that...but why bother when no one can verify? |
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smartrader
Elite |
21-Sep-2009 15:44
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Warren looks at many leading indicators ...he would'nt say thing like restaurant can signal market meltdown.. http://www.sharejunction.com/sharejunction/rssBloggersCornerFeed.htm?id=0 |
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