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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
beckleong
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28-Sep-2009 16:46     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Red seas today
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des_khor
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28-Sep-2009 16:45     
 
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 Alert Admin 		DOW going to turn green liao..
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des_khor
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28-Sep-2009 16:25     
 
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bennykusman      ( Date: 28-Sep-2009 16:24) Posted:

but Dow futures is red..

des_khor      ( Date: 28-Sep-2009 16:20) Posted:

Hai... tomorrow will be green day lo... corrected for so many days liao...
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bennykusman
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28-Sep-2009 16:24     
 
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 Alert Admin 		but Dow futures is red..

des_khor      ( Date: 28-Sep-2009 16:20) Posted:

Hai... tomorrow will be green day lo... corrected for so many days liao...
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des_khor
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28-Sep-2009 16:20     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Hai... tomorrow will be green day lo... corrected for so many days liao...
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DnApeh
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28-Sep-2009 16:10     
 
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For STI, draw horizontal line across 2700.

Draw a upsloping line through the lows of 19 Aug 09 and 2 Sep 09.

This is an ascending triangle.
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boyikao3
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28-Sep-2009 15:47     
 
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"Step by step, heart to heart

Left right left, they all fall down,

Like toy soldiers"!

Let's all appreciate the almighty Flash Gordon in action!Smiley



DnApeh      ( Date: 28-Sep-2009 14:07) Posted:

Thanks. I get what you mean now.

boyikao3      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 23:09) Posted:

Oh I forgot Ah Peh - why current triangle cannot be wave 2 is also because wave 3 of C, which happens before this triangle started, has all the properties of "Flash Gordon" because all wave 3s and Cs gets to where they want in a flash! They dun waste time at all! So you can see that on the chart where it has one of the steepest climb in the shortest time with a super high RSI. And guess what? The next much larger Flash Gordon is waiting just ahead!Smiley 
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bennykusman
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28-Sep-2009 15:34     
 
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hi Hulumas,

 

may i know why u choose china jishan ? the EPS is negative and PER is 0.. please enlighten me..



Hulumas      ( Date: 28-Sep-2009 15:06) Posted:

Uniquely CHINA JISHAN.

cheongwee      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 17:33) Posted:

can u share with us some profitable small caps, u must definitely have some in mind..

you got me over fill with greed...

pls state here...thanks
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Hulumas
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28-Sep-2009 15:06     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Uniquely CHINA JISHAN.

cheongwee      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 17:33) Posted:

can u share with us some profitable small caps, u must definitely have some in mind..

you got me over fill with greed...

pls state here...thanks



smartrader      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 17:12) Posted:

stay calm on your long portfolio (esp. profitable small caps that have not run up by too much) and observe...... weak companies will have to liquidate (chapt 11) , stronger companies will grow by M&A,  3Q & full-year results will allow analysts to revalue small caps.. good stock will continue to grow .....   
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ericsim
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28-Sep-2009 14:26     
 
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you are right, luckily i'm out of the market totally in sept, now stay sideway observing the situation....market is always right, chances of winning now is 30-70 unlike march 70-30....just my personnel POV



victorf      ( Date: 28-Sep-2009 12:53) Posted:



Still the same call and no highsight as always (advanced call with no ambiguity). Remember "Market is always RIGHT!!!", not you or me.....

 

In August/Sept 2009, i made the following call

03-Sep-2009 19:29 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors      4Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Repeat in more precise language:

Market will not touch 3000 in near term....though some stocks will still rally due to its low valuation. STI will consolidate all the way down by breaking below support 2420 by next May 2010 all the way to 1800 (best buy for the next bull cycle in year 2013/2014)


In April/May 2009, i made the following call

26-May-2009 13:38 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors      4Go to Message
x 0
x 0

STI should move towards the 2500-2600 region by August (one should take profit for shares bought between last October 2008-March 2009)...after that, there are two possibilities:

i. STI may touch 3000 by next May 2010, and then down all the way to 1800 (best buy for the next bull cycle in year 2013/2014)

ii. STI may consolidate all the way down by breaking below support 2420 by next May 2010 all the way to 1800 (best buy for the next bull cycle in year 2013/2014)

Just my two cents and let the market be the judge

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DnApeh
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28-Sep-2009 14:07     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Thanks. I get what you mean now.

boyikao3      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 23:09) Posted:

Oh I forgot Ah Peh - why current triangle cannot be wave 2 is also because wave 3 of C, which happens before this triangle started, has all the properties of "Flash Gordon" because all wave 3s and Cs gets to where they want in a flash! They dun waste time at all! So you can see that on the chart where it has one of the steepest climb in the shortest time with a super high RSI. And guess what? The next much larger Flash Gordon is waiting just ahead!Smiley 
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boyikao3
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28-Sep-2009 13:58     
 
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MSCI Singapore now at 315.8. If today close below 315, confirm wave C already started. US$ rally today, all indices in red. Smiley
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victorf
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28-Sep-2009 12:53     
 
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Still the same call and no highsight as always (advanced call with no ambiguity). Remember "Market is always RIGHT!!!", not you or me.....

 

In August/Sept 2009, i made the following call

03-Sep-2009 19:29 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors      4Go to Message
x 0
x 0 		Repeat in more precise language:

Market will not touch 3000 in near term....though some stocks will still rally due to its low valuation. STI will consolidate all the way down by breaking below support 2420 by next May 2010 all the way to 1800 (best buy for the next bull cycle in year 2013/2014)


In April/May 2009, i made the following call

26-May-2009 13:38 Straits Times Index   /   STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors      4Go to Message
x 0
x 0

STI should move towards the 2500-2600 region by August (one should take profit for shares bought between last October 2008-March 2009)...after that, there are two possibilities:

i. STI may touch 3000 by next May 2010, and then down all the way to 1800 (best buy for the next bull cycle in year 2013/2014)

ii. STI may consolidate all the way down by breaking below support 2420 by next May 2010 all the way to 1800 (best buy for the next bull cycle in year 2013/2014)

Just my two cents and let the market be the judge
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boyikao3
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28-Sep-2009 10:24     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Oh no. On the contrary, the odds are favouring the downside. Even if there is a rally from here, it will be a very short and fast one. HSI and Shanghai already started correcting downwards. SP500 already game over. So the only one left standing is Dow. So see what happens tonight...Smiley

bennykusman      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 23:12) Posted:

hi boyikao3,

 

thanks for sharing.. let me summarize, that STI will move up tmrw ? 



boyikao3      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 22:55) Posted:

Hi Ah Peh. We are all learners of EWaves at different pace and degrees, so no worries at all. A running flat is also defined as a "failed" C wave with an expanded B. The past 6 weeks has currently 2 scenarios as I pointed out earlier: First is the triangle we are looking at now actually contains both a 4th wave correction as well as a 5th wave diagonal. The 2nd is : the whole triangle is a 4th wave triangle. Why the current triangle for the past 6 weeks cannot be a 2nd wave (I presume u meant 2nd wave of C) is because if such is the case, then next wave 3 would be an extended wave since wave 1 of C is not extended and EW rule states that wave 3 is usually the extended wave (except in commodities where wave 5 usually gets extended). If that is the case, the the whole fibonaci length proportion between wave A (between March low and 05/06/09) and wave C would be unimaginable. Also, MACD and RSI since march has confirmed all the critical points of A, B and coming C perfectly in sync. There is no fail-proof system but EW trades on probabilities, not possibilties.And the current wave count, according to EW basic requirements, is already in place and complete. Any extra subdivisions would be a wave 5, which will be short and sharp.

One tip: Check out your RSI and spot the highest level since march lows - that would be a perfect EW textbook example that wave 3 of C always spots the highest in RSI during that corrective wave B! Happy learning!Smiley 
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DnApeh
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27-Sep-2009 23:35     
 
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Thanks again for such a detailed reply.

What i meant is that:

March 09 low is end of wave A(impulsive).

March 09 till now, STI is in wave B (which is corrective, hence made up of waves 1, 2 and 3). This wave 1 ended 4 Aug 09 (in my opinion).

From 4 Aug 09 till presently, STI is still in wave 2 of the above mentioned wave B that started since Mar 09. It is this period from 4 Aug 09 till presently that i believe may be a "runnung flat" pattern.

Also, thanks for your tip about wave 3 of C always spots the highest RSI(this happens to be 4 Aug 09 as well) during that corrective wave B. However, i would like to humbly caution that until wave B is confirmed to be completed, we have to be open to the idea that RSI can still spike up.

I appreciate and look forward to your input.



boyikao3      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 22:55) Posted:

Hi Ah Peh. We are all learners of EWaves at different pace and degrees, so no worries at all. A running flat is also defined as a "failed" C wave with an expanded B. The past 6 weeks has currently 2 scenarios as I pointed out earlier: First is the triangle we are looking at now actually contains both a 4th wave correction as well as a 5th wave diagonal. The 2nd is : the whole triangle is a 4th wave triangle. Why the current triangle for the past 6 weeks cannot be a 2nd wave (I presume u meant 2nd wave of C) is because if such is the case, then next wave 3 would be an extended wave since wave 1 of C is not extended and EW rule states that wave 3 is usually the extended wave (except in commodities where wave 5 usually gets extended). If that is the case, the the whole fibonaci length proportion between wave A (between March low and 05/06/09) and wave C would be unimaginable. Also, MACD and RSI since march has confirmed all the critical points of A, B and coming C perfectly in sync. There is no fail-proof system but EW trades on probabilities, not possibilties.And the current wave count, according to EW basic requirements, is already in place and complete. Any extra subdivisions would be a wave 5, which will be short and sharp.

One tip: Check out your RSI and spot the highest level since march lows - that would be a perfect EW textbook example that wave 3 of C always spots the highest in RSI during that corrective wave B! Happy learning!Smiley 



DnApeh      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 20:52) Posted:

Hi, i  know i am "ban men nong fu" here, so sorry.

Most respectfully, i feel that the past 6 weeks is a "running flat pattern", that is, STI is still in wave 2.

Please feel free to "zhi-dian zhi-dian".

Thank you.
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bennykusman
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27-Sep-2009 23:12     
 
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hi boyikao3,

 

thanks for sharing.. let me summarize, that STI will move up tmrw ? 



boyikao3      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 22:55) Posted:

Hi Ah Peh. We are all learners of EWaves at different pace and degrees, so no worries at all. A running flat is also defined as a "failed" C wave with an expanded B. The past 6 weeks has currently 2 scenarios as I pointed out earlier: First is the triangle we are looking at now actually contains both a 4th wave correction as well as a 5th wave diagonal. The 2nd is : the whole triangle is a 4th wave triangle. Why the current triangle for the past 6 weeks cannot be a 2nd wave (I presume u meant 2nd wave of C) is because if such is the case, then next wave 3 would be an extended wave since wave 1 of C is not extended and EW rule states that wave 3 is usually the extended wave (except in commodities where wave 5 usually gets extended). If that is the case, the the whole fibonaci length proportion between wave A (between March low and 05/06/09) and wave C would be unimaginable. Also, MACD and RSI since march has confirmed all the critical points of A, B and coming C perfectly in sync. There is no fail-proof system but EW trades on probabilities, not possibilties.And the current wave count, according to EW basic requirements, is already in place and complete. Any extra subdivisions would be a wave 5, which will be short and sharp.

One tip: Check out your RSI and spot the highest level since march lows - that would be a perfect EW textbook example that wave 3 of C always spots the highest in RSI during that corrective wave B! Happy learning!Smiley 



DnApeh      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 20:52) Posted:

Hi, i  know i am "ban men nong fu" here, so sorry.

Most respectfully, i feel that the past 6 weeks is a "running flat pattern", that is, STI is still in wave 2.

Please feel free to "zhi-dian zhi-dian".

Thank you.
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boyikao3
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27-Sep-2009 23:09     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Oh I forgot Ah Peh - why current triangle cannot be wave 2 is also because wave 3 of C, which happens before this triangle started, has all the properties of "Flash Gordon" because all wave 3s and Cs gets to where they want in a flash! They dun waste time at all! So you can see that on the chart where it has one of the steepest climb in the shortest time with a super high RSI. And guess what? The next much larger Flash Gordon is waiting just ahead!Smiley 
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boyikao3
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27-Sep-2009 22:55     
 
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Hi Ah Peh. We are all learners of EWaves at different pace and degrees, so no worries at all. A running flat is also defined as a "failed" C wave with an expanded B. The past 6 weeks has currently 2 scenarios as I pointed out earlier: First is the triangle we are looking at now actually contains both a 4th wave correction as well as a 5th wave diagonal. The 2nd is : the whole triangle is a 4th wave triangle. Why the current triangle for the past 6 weeks cannot be a 2nd wave (I presume u meant 2nd wave of C) is because if such is the case, then next wave 3 would be an extended wave since wave 1 of C is not extended and EW rule states that wave 3 is usually the extended wave (except in commodities where wave 5 usually gets extended). If that is the case, the the whole fibonaci length proportion between wave A (between March low and 05/06/09) and wave C would be unimaginable. Also, MACD and RSI since march has confirmed all the critical points of A, B and coming C perfectly in sync. There is no fail-proof system but EW trades on probabilities, not possibilties.And the current wave count, according to EW basic requirements, is already in place and complete. Any extra subdivisions would be a wave 5, which will be short and sharp.

One tip: Check out your RSI and spot the highest level since march lows - that would be a perfect EW textbook example that wave 3 of C always spots the highest in RSI during that corrective wave B! Happy learning!Smiley 



DnApeh      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 20:52) Posted:

Hi, i  know i am "ban men nong fu" here, so sorry.

Most respectfully, i feel that the past 6 weeks is a "running flat pattern", that is, STI is still in wave 2.

Please feel free to "zhi-dian zhi-dian".

Thank you.



boyikao3      ( Date: 24-Sep-2009 21:05) Posted:

Hi Ah Peh. My previous post listed 2 wave scenarios for the STI in current B wave. I explained earlier about 4-5 weeks ago that we could be in a wave 2 correction but also gave an alternate wave count that we might be in diagonal wave 4 correction, which has today just completed its 1-2-3-4-5 waves inside the contracting diagonal. So "wave 2 (alt 4)" basically means "alternative wave count 4". From what has happened for the past 6 weeks, I can now quite confidently say that the past 6 weeks has been a wave 4 diagonal because diagonal patterns happens most frequently in wave 4. What does that mean? That means that the STI will start its 5th wave rally very soon to break 2700! Let the music begins again! Smiley 
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chris168
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27-Sep-2009 22:51     
 
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 Alert Admin 		Thanks. Do appreciate. I just goggled and signed up with EWI. But wonder if I have the time to deeper....

boyikao3      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 17:32) Posted:

For traders who are E-wavers, I dun believe anyone would be holding anything at the moment. So it depends what trading principles you use. For your info, Elliot wave forecast that Oct 2007 will have a deep A correction when G8 nations have completed their meeting to pump in liquidity to rescue the financial markets. Soon after that promise, the market plunge 58% to March 2008 lows. Smiley

chris168      ( Date: 27-Sep-2009 17:03) Posted:

Does that mean it's time to sell and hold cash?



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DnApeh
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27-Sep-2009 20:52     
 
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Hi, i  know i am "ban men nong fu" here, so sorry.

Most respectfully, i feel that the past 6 weeks is a "running flat pattern", that is, STI is still in wave 2.

Please feel free to "zhi-dian zhi-dian".

Thank you.



boyikao3      ( Date: 24-Sep-2009 21:05) Posted:

Hi Ah Peh. My previous post listed 2 wave scenarios for the STI in current B wave. I explained earlier about 4-5 weeks ago that we could be in a wave 2 correction but also gave an alternate wave count that we might be in diagonal wave 4 correction, which has today just completed its 1-2-3-4-5 waves inside the contracting diagonal. So "wave 2 (alt 4)" basically means "alternative wave count 4". From what has happened for the past 6 weeks, I can now quite confidently say that the past 6 weeks has been a wave 4 diagonal because diagonal patterns happens most frequently in wave 4. What does that mean? That means that the STI will start its 5th wave rally very soon to break 2700! Let the music begins again! Smiley 

DnApeh      ( Date: 24-Sep-2009 20:17) Posted:

Hi, boyikao3.

What does "wave 2 (alt 4)" mean, please?

Thank you.
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