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STI to cross 3000 boosted by long-term investors
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kellychang
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16-Feb-2010 15:33
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what everybody do now ya? u guys buy or sell now? i want to do opposited way as what u guys do.... hahahahhaaha 40%-50% Chance Stocks Will Crash To New Low, Says Gary ShillingPosted Feb 09, 2010 09:51am EST by Henry Blodget in Investing, RecessionLast summer, our guest Gary Shilling of A. Gary Shilling & Co. predicted that stocks would fall 30%. That hasn't happened yet, but the extraordinary bull run that made idiots out of many of Wall Street's greatest gurus last year has now finally reversed, and Gary is sticking by his bearish guns. At Dow 10,000, Gary says, stocks are still priced to reflect a strong economic recovery throughout 2010 and 2011. And that's not going to happen. Consumers still account for more than 70% of the spending in the U.S. economy, and consumers are retrenching. The value of their assets has plummeted, so they're finally saving again. They're unemployed. They're tapped out. Put all that together, and consumer spending will continue to be weak, and the overall economy will only grow 2% a year. When the market finally realizes that its dream of a v-shaped recovery is too optimistic, stocks will go lower--perhaps much lower. In fact, Gary thinks there's a 40%-50% chance they'll crash right through the bear-market lows set last spring. So what's an investor to do? Buy Treasury bonds, Gary says. Contrary to the concerns of they hyper-inflation crowd, the world is awash in excess capacity. We have too much production capacity, too many houses, too much labor. Overcapacity leads to deflation, not inflation. So today's 4.5% long-term Treasury yield will go to 3%, making bondholders 25% in the process. And buy the dollar. At the end of last year, everyone agreed that the dollar was going to continue to collapse. That was your queue to get the heck out. It's not that we don't have serious problems with deficits and debt in the U.S., Gary says--it's that our problems are less bad than the problems facing the Euro. Gary thinks the dollar will rise back to parity with the Euro, a major move from the ~$1.35 it takes to buy a Euro today. And sell commodities. China is overheating, and as it corrects, it will take global commodity demand down with it. In short, Gary says, do exactly the opposite of what everyone was telling you to do at the end of last year. |
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 15:28
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not old . not old still very young... but i dun understand, actually i still so young and so cute.. then my frens kids always call me auntie... well, then they see my mum, also call her auntie... well, my mum already 60+, then she is auntie... i only 27, i also auntie... such a ridiculous!!
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 15:24
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i scared u old people cant read clearly mah... well, purposely post for u guys to read... still want to be so choosy... next time dun do anything liao...
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WLBO_BB
Master |
16-Feb-2010 15:21
![]() Yells: "Warren Look Before Others _ Buffett Best " |
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thank you hor little sister...btw 35 consider old meh??
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WLBO_BB
Master |
16-Feb-2010 15:20
![]() Yells: "Warren Look Before Others _ Buffett Best " |
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onw word : sad
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iPunter
Supreme |
16-Feb-2010 15:19
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The Chinese font is too big.. Hope you can make them smaller... hehehe... ![]() |
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 15:12
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Ipunder and WLBO_BB: i did the highlight for u two old peoples to read liao.... just read those pink colour words then can liao... :) |
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 15:10
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if Germany suddenly decide doesnt want to help Greece, what is going to happen? cant imagine.....wow.... but i must say, help people must within the means.....cant anyhow luan luan help, else both will jeopardize....die pain pain..... 过半德国人反对金援希腊 (2010-02-16)
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tonylim
Master |
16-Feb-2010 15:01
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Ris Low is simply adorable. I like her
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iPunter
Supreme |
16-Feb-2010 14:55
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It's very sad that there are people who will 'sabo' the poor girl like that in making her do this tasteless stunt... Well, Ris is adorable in her own way. As long as she is paid well for her acting, I suppose it's okay... ![]() |
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boyikao3
Master |
16-Feb-2010 14:46
![]() Yells: "Money or reputation ?" |
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I think Ris Low has demonstrated that she has supremely high intelligence in this video ! ![]()
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iPunter
Supreme |
16-Feb-2010 14:38
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If anyone is bored they can also go and see Ris Low here > Click hehehe... ![]() |
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iPunter
Supreme |
16-Feb-2010 14:25
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kellychang "Forward to me leh..good things must share mah.... i am so bored...." Click here But only a few simple games there, nothing much. I like only the majong and the tetris which I play the most. ![]() |
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 14:23
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then u teach me la..... i dunno chart reading....
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iPunter
Supreme |
16-Feb-2010 14:20
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You must support both bull and bear... because that is the only way you can win in the stock market in the long run... ![]() |
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 14:18
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forward to me leh..good things must share mah.... i am so bored....
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 14:17
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cow bear cow bull la... well, ah boy is wiser, i like those guys smarter than me de... doesn mean st81 not smart...but just he supports bull leh.... but me n ah boy share the same interest, we support bear, we alwys have the same topic to discuss to ..... i willing to take care him la, cant stand nvm, cant walk properly also nvm...
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iPunter
Supreme |
16-Feb-2010 14:14
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I play on my computer every day, my good friend forwarded me this site and I am addicted. hehehe...
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WLBO_BB
Master |
16-Feb-2010 14:10
![]() Yells: "Warren Look Before Others _ Buffett Best " |
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sori i catch no ball leh... wat tin u design??? btw...i tin st81 is single too...ah bon cannot stand already...ops, i mean he so old most likely cannot walk properly liao...
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kellychang
Master |
16-Feb-2010 14:09
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i want to play, but nobody play with me leh... whole house only got me n my sister... still lack of 2 kakis....
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