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cheongwee
Elite |
17-Dec-2008 23:26
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The $ already touch 200 day MA..that is good for stock, weak dollar is good for now, but will cause high inflation later.....luckily oil px is 40 plus..low And it show that somehow selling of stock and all those panic redemption is almost done...time for $ to find their way back into stock..dow to 11000 by June i hope.. |
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DnApeh
Master |
17-Dec-2008 23:25
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hmmm... I think your graph will not look so bad if cjange to log scale. | ||
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cheongwee
Elite |
17-Dec-2008 23:20
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I believe when this subprime debacles is over...years form now. The next crises will be the mother of all crises.. The US dollar crises... just look at the chart, drop like a stone..i cant imagine the day come when the whole world will just dump the dollar...i really cant imagine the mess it is going to be as it is the world reserve curreny.. |
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DnApeh
Master |
17-Dec-2008 22:46
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don't worry, 8.6 very strong. LOL! | ||
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handon
Master |
17-Dec-2008 22:21
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watch for 8.8 with eyes open big BIG.... can stay BIG news on the way.... |
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aleoleo
Master |
17-Dec-2008 19:08
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Missing of 50 billion dollars by Madoff ...... more and more bad news coming out ???? | ||
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idesa168
Elite |
17-Dec-2008 18:12
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Yah, looks like it's game over liao!
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cheongwee
Elite |
17-Dec-2008 18:05
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Well much for the strong dollar, i guess... Once it kiss 200day MA...it rally it most likely over,,it got not fundamental to rally, with fed keep bebasing it. That good for gold.. |
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novena_33
Veteran |
17-Dec-2008 08:57
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DJ MARKET TALK: STI Likely To Rise, Clear 1800 On Fed Rate Cut 0023 GMT [Dow Jones] Wall Street rally on Fed's move to cut its key rate to as low as 0% expected to boost Singapore shares, push STI above 1800 for first time in 4 sessions. STI closed +0.4% at 1782.09 yesterday; if this month's high of 1844 gives way, resistance likely at Nov. 10 close of 1885. Fed's decision to bring rate down to historic low may fuel buying spree, whether gains can be sustained unclear as move suggests U.S. economy remains in bad shape, raises question on how else Fed can tackle deepening recession. Foreign house dealer says another round of fund redemption in near term can't be ruled out; "after all this deleveraging earlier on, stock prices have to get back up to a level which is high enough for people to sell again. I think the market will be testing to see how high it goes before sellers emerge again." Noble Group (N21.SG) may rise as ability to secure US$80 million loan for refinancing indicates supply chain manager's access to funding still intact despite credit crunch; stock closed flat at S$1.04 yesterday. (FKH) Contact us in Singapore. 65 64154 140; MarketTalk@dowjones.com |
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Blastoff
Elite |
17-Dec-2008 08:28
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Wall Street cheers rate cutStocks surge after the central bank cuts a key interest rate to the lowest level on record.Treasury prices rallied, lowering the corresponding yields, as investors pulled money out of the safe-haven commodity and put it into stocks. The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) added 360 points, or 4.2%. The Standard & Poor's 500 (SPX) index rose 5.1% and the Nasdaq composite (COMP) gained 5.4%. The central bank opted to lower the federal funds rate to a targeted range of between zero and 0.25%. That's the lowest level on record, going back to 1954. The rate stood at 1% previously. Economists thought the Fed would lower the rate to 0.5% or possibly 0.25%. Stocks had been up modestly ahead of the 2:15 p.m. ET announcement, but surged right afterward. "I think the Fed was virtually out of ammunition on the target side, so even this little move of setting a range was better than what people were expecting," said Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Harris Private Bank. Ablin said that stocks were rallying after the announcement on both the surprise element and the realization that the Fed is willing to do whatever it takes to battle deflation and get the economy "off the mat." In its closely watched statement, the bank said the economic outlook has worsened amid a deteriorating labor market and weaker consumer spending and business investment. The bank also said inflationary pressures have waned. "I think they are acknowledging that their attempt to restart economic growth has only been partly effective and that at its current point, the recession is deeper than what they had anticipated," said Gregory Miller, chief economist at SunTrust Banks. The Federal Reserve has cut rates since September 2007 in an attempt to staunch the economic slowdown. But the economy has actually worsened. The United States has been in a recession since December 2007 and is expected to remain in one through next year. The Fed has also taken a number of unusual steps this year in its efforts to thaw the credit freeze and get banks to start lending to each other and consumers again. But the lowering of rates and the flooding of the market with money hasn't helped with the "transmission of liquidity," Miller said, as banks have been unwilling to loan out most of what they've received. Seeming to acknowledge this in the statement Tuesday, the bankers discussed the possibility of buying up longer-term Treasury securities, a move that could ultimately help lower mortgages. "If this policy manages to lower the costs on new mortgages, maybe then we can staunch the bleeding in the housing market," Miller said. Homebuilders, financial services firms, REITs and consumer issues such as retailers all led the stock advance. Market breadth was positive. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners topped losers by five to one on volume of 1.54 billion shares. On the Nasdaq, advancers beat decliners by three to one on volume of 2.25 billion shares. Company news: Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) reported its first quarterly loss since going public in 1999. The investment bank said it lost $2.1 billion, or $4.97 a share, versus a profit of $3.2 billion, or $7.01 a share, a year ago. Results were worse than expected. Despite the report, shares gained 14%. Other big financial shares gained as well, including Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500), Citigroup (C, Fortune 500), and JP Morgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500). Best Buy (BBY, Fortune 500) reported weaker earnings versus a year ago that nonetheless beat forecasts and stronger sales versus a year ago that also topped expectations. The retailer said it may have to announce more layoffs and slow its new U.S. store openings. Shares gained almost 18%. Automakers: In other news, the government could announce a plan to help the troubled automakers as soon as Wednesday. The Bush administration said last week that it would consider offering General Motors (GM, Fortune 500) and Chrysler bridge loans from the $700 billion bailout fund Congress set aside for Wall Street. Both GM and Chrysler have said they need financing ASAP. Ford Motor (F, Fortune 500) has stated it has enough money to function, but that it would like to have the option of government funds should conditions deteriorate. GM shares gained 4% Tuesday, while Ford shares fell 1.5%. Stocks fell Monday on fears about the fate of the struggling automakers and questions about the Bernard Madoff scandal. Money manager Madoff was arrested last week on charges that he ran a $50 billion pyramid scheme that duped companies around the globe. Economic news: Housing starts and building permits fell to record lows in November, the latest sign that the market has not yet reached bottom. Housing starts plunged more than 19% to an annual rate of 625,000 in November, the Commerce Department reported, while building permits slipped to an annual rate of 616,000. Both results were worse than what economists surveyed by Briefing.com had expected. Another report showed weaker consumer inflation than had been expected. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 1.7% in November, after sliding 1% in the previous month. Economists thought CPI would fall 1.3%. The so-called core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, was flat versus forecasts for it to rise 0.1%. Core CPI dropped 0.1% in the previous month. Bonds: Treasury prices rose, lowering the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 2.28% from 2.50% Monday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite direction. The 10-year yield dipped below 3% in November for the first time since the note was first issued in 1962. Lending rates improved. The 3-month Libor rate slipped to 1.85% from 1.87% Monday, according to Bloomberg. The overnight Libor rate edged up to 0.16% from a record low of 0.12%. Libor is a key bank lending rate. Other markets: In global trading, Asian markets were mixed, while European markets mostly ended higher. The dollar fell to an 8-week low versus the euro and hovered near a 13-year low against the yen. U.S. light crude oil for January delivery fell 91 cents to settle at $43.60 a barrel after rallying in the morning on bets that OPEC will cut output during its meeting in Algeria on Wednesday. COMEX gold for February delivery gained $6.20 to $842.70 an ounce. Gasoline prices rose one-tenth of a cent to a national average of $1.661 a gallon, according to a survey of credit-card swipes released Tuesday by motorist group AAA. It was only the third increase in the last 90 days. |
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handon
Master |
17-Dec-2008 01:25
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higher high and lower low... 8.8 on the way... no sell liao..... can go koon first... |
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
17-Dec-2008 00:08
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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Good luck is d only word. | ||
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handon
Master |
16-Dec-2008 23:06
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8.8 dun BO later... me clear everything..... still holding 8.94 9.0 9.3 9.47.... estimated 2.5 loss.... lets C.... |
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pikachu
Veteran |
16-Dec-2008 21:55
Yells: "Holy Cow!" |
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US expected to cut rate by 0.5%. That will leave rate at only 0.5% from current 1% level. |
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
16-Dec-2008 12:32
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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With Madoff pulling the legs, doubt DJ will do well over the week liao. May be more casualties were not revealed yet? Moreover, the auto giants bailout issues still uncertain. | ||
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moneytalk.sg
Member |
16-Dec-2008 12:22
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Have been waiting patiently for DJIA to breach 9000. Tonight may be the night ! Blogging at moneytalk.sg on the stock market, ETF and anything to do with money. |
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cheongwee
Elite |
15-Dec-2008 23:35
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Look ... I think this is good for stock..time for $ to return to stock....year end rally for sure. |
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cheongwee
Elite |
15-Dec-2008 23:11
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The week is still young, and we still have fomc coming....dow to rally.. | ||
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lookcc
Master |
15-Dec-2008 23:03
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2 reach 9,000 dow has to close 370 pts up, dun think so since no catalyst 2 shoot up. | ||
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handon
Master |
15-Dec-2008 23:02
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Qued 8.3 .... can go koon liao.... |
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