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billywows
Elite |
27-Jul-2006 18:15
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I hope TSMC's 85% quarterly profit will bring some sunshine on CSM in the next few days after the market digests TSMC report ... Thanks for your direct comments, Nostradmus .... well noted. --------------------------------------------------------------------- TAIPEI, July 27 (Reuters) - TSMC (2330.TW: Quote, Profile, Research), the world's top made-to-order chip maker, posted a better-than-expected 85 percent jump in quarterly profit as new consumer products spurred demand for chips, but analysts warned the industry was facing a near-term supply glut. After a one-year recovery, some clients who had been too optimistic on demand for consumer gadgets are clearing out inventories, casting a shadow on TSMC's business in the coming months, analysts say. "Driven primarily by stronger demand from our customers in the communications and consumer segments, our second quarter business rose 5.5 percent sequentially amid weaker demand from our customers in the computer segment," TSMC Chief Financial Officer Lora Ho told an investor conference. Third-quarter sales would be between T$79 billion and T$82 billion, against T$82.12 billion in the second quarter, the company said, while capital expenditure for 2006 would remain unchanged from an original estimate of US$2.6 billion to US$2.8 billion. Net profit at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC) (TSM.N: Quote, Profile, Research) totaled T$34.0 billion (US$1.04 billion) for the quarter ended June, up from T$18.37 billion a year ago and higher than T$32.61 billion in the first quarter. Ten analysts surveyed by Reuters Estimates had expected TSMC to earn T$32.25 billion in the second quarter. |
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BullRun
Elite |
27-Jul-2006 14:31
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July 27 (Bloomberg) -- Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., the world's largest maker of customized chips, reported a record profit in the second quarter on rising demand for consumer electronics such as game consoles and mobile phones. With this, we know where CSM stand. |
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singaporegal
Supreme |
27-Jul-2006 14:27
Yells: "Female TA nut" |
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I see Chartered on a downtrend now. It will fall some more. |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
27-Jul-2006 10:57
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billywows, I'm a contrarian. When most people are avoiding or selling, it's time for me to take a look. I'll buy for technical reasons. |
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BullRun
Elite |
26-Jul-2006 23:14
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Not surprising.......CSM is punters darling but investors nightmare! So those who buy to catch the rebound need to know what they are doing. |
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billywows
Elite |
26-Jul-2006 21:33
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Surprise you support CSM, Nostradamus .... very good price to go in at 1.00 or below. Any insights to your intend purchase since most pple are avoiding CSM these days. But, beware ya, cos everyone looks up to you and takes your comments seriously here. :P |
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Nostradamus
Supreme |
26-Jul-2006 19:45
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Poised for a technical rebound. I'll buy this stock at around $0.94 - $1. |
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tanglinboy
Elite |
26-Jul-2006 11:44
Yells: "hello!" |
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I will follow Bullrun's advice! Avoid!! |
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bsiong
Supreme |
26-Jul-2006 11:03
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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http://www.remisiers.org/research//csmsp210706ke.pdf http://www.remisiers.org/research//CSM21Jul06ML.pdf http://www.remisiers.org/research//CSM.pdf http://www.remisiers.org/research//CSMDowng21Jul06ubs.pdf |
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Livermore
Master |
25-Jul-2006 22:27
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We should disregard such so called analysts |
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BullRun
Elite |
25-Jul-2006 19:09
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Will continue to avoid even after Citigroup's upgrade..... |
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bsiong
Supreme |
25-Jul-2006 14:16
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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bsiong
Supreme |
25-Jul-2006 14:14
Yells: "The Greatest Wealth is Health" |
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if you know your ABC... |
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pikachu
Veteran |
25-Jul-2006 14:08
Yells: "Holy Cow!" |
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this stock 2 steps back 1 step forward! |
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billywows
Elite |
25-Jul-2006 07:20
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Got below's info on CSM's upgrade by Citigroup yesterday in US from Yahoo! forum. I read till blur blur .....
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Thought you might want to see what Citigroup wrote today when they upgraded Chartered Semiconductor.
Upgrading Chartered to BUY (1M) from Sell (3M) After Chartered to give below consensus guidance, which might lead to consensus estimate cuts, we revisit our Sell call and previous concerns: 1) Intel CPU price war might affect AMD's outsourcing orders to Chartered; 2) rich valuation of 1.9-2.0x book with ROE of 6-8%; 3) consensus estimates were much higher than our estimates; and 4) xBOX 360 CPU order cuts seem to haven been pushed back. However, after the recent share price pull-back, along with the company's confirmation of another cut in xBOX 360 CPU orders, we think the risk-reward is now more favorable for investors on a one year investment horizon. We are thus upgrading Chartered to a Buy (1M) from a Sell (3M) but trimming our one-year target price to US$8.8 from US$9.3 to reflect 5% lower than expected book value appreciation in the next few quarters. We here explain our thought process changes to turn more positive on Chartered now. xBOX 360 CPU order cuts nearly over: As often emphasized in our reports, we feared Chartered/IBM were over-producing xBOX 360 CPUs compared with Microsoft's actual demand, and anticipated a large order cut in 1H06. In line with this view, Chartered reported a xBOX 360 CPU order decline of 14% qoq in 1Q06 and of 10% qoq in 2Q06 to US$97m (25% of sales) and US$87m (22% of sales), respectively. Surprisingly, Chartered guides to another xBOX 360 CPU order cut in 3Q06, and we thus believe xBOX 360 CPU order cuts are nearly over based on our revised supply-demand analysis. We now expect Microsoft to resume placing game CPU orders with IBM/Chartered in 4Q06 for 4Q06-1Q07 seasonal demand in the game market and expect larger orders recovery in 2Q07-4Q07 for 2007 xBOX 360 game consoles build-up. AMD CPU orders on track with limited downside risk: Although Chartered guides to weakness in the game IC market, Chartered expects strength in the PC segment in 3Q06, especially driven by AMD 90nm CPU orders. This strength, 2-3,000 12" wafers per month orders from AMD or nearly 5-10% of Chartered sales, is expected to boost overall 90nm sales to grow approximately 25% qoq by accounting for 28% of sales in 3Q06 from 22% in 2Q06. Given concerns about Intel CPU price wars might result AMD to lose market shares and also affect AMD's outsourcing order growth to Chartered in a near term, we thus forecast much flattish AMD CPU orders to Chartered throughout 3Q06-1H07E but also expect a limited downside risk on these 2-3,000 wafers per month trial run orders. In terms of upside potential on AMD orders to Chartered in 2007, we see Vista introduction in early 2007, faster PC growth from emerging markets, and share gains on the Dell account as positive upside catalysts. Rich to attractive valuation on P/BV and EV/EBITDA: After nearly 43% correction from 12-month peak of US$11.81 in May 2, 2006, Chartered is now trading at a much attractive valuation of 1.3x 2007E-08E P/BV with a revised ROE of 4-5% and a attractive valuation of 3.5-4.0 2007E-08E EV/EBITDA. Given Chartered has been outperforming UMC on op margin over the past three quarters, along with its better position on 90nm foundry (17-18% of 3Q06E sales into 90nm for UMC vs 28% of 3Q06 sales into 90nm for Chartered) and less exposure to potential handset IC inventory correction during 4Q06-1Q07, we expect Chartered to be trading at a P/BV premium again and to outperform UMC for the next 6 months once inventory correction in the general market is completed. Chartered was underperforming TSMC and UMC by 27% and 25%, respectively, since May 2 2006 (12-month peak price). |
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billywows
Elite |
25-Jul-2006 06:56
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ASIAN ADRS
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dore1923moo002
Member |
25-Jul-2006 00:32
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<<CSM is punters darling but investors nightmare!>> That's a good 1.... specially good for CSM!!! |
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billywows
Elite |
24-Jul-2006 23:02
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Yup, strongly agree ... it is super speculative. Interesting to see how CSM fare 2molo. Trade with care .... |
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BullRun
Elite |
24-Jul-2006 22:53
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CSM is punters darling but investors nightmare! |
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billywows
Elite |
24-Jul-2006 22:26
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CSM in US upgraded by Citigroup today! Its shares is up 7% with good abnormally high volume. Must be hudge funds buying in ... Watch CSM fly 2molo in SGX. http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ud?s=CHRT |
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