Latest Forum Topics / Straits Times Index | Post Reply |
STI
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pinnacle
Master |
15-Nov-2007 16:00
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
DJ future had turned from red to green! Hope this can help STI to close above water. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
awchyeong
Member |
15-Nov-2007 14:36
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Personaly feel that no point to guess or find out the supporting level of sti. At present hold stock what ever you have it and keep cash in bank or defensive stock like Sintel or ST Eng, wait for next div. base on today price, Div @ 4%,.better than FD. until suituation clear than trade again. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mirage
Veteran |
15-Nov-2007 14:22
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Hi SingaporeGal, / TA gurus, SJ forumers, STI Index looks very weak after the recent corrections. Any one knows from the charts, what's the support level for STI?? Any opinions??? Thanks. mirage, | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mirage
Veteran |
15-Nov-2007 13:56
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Quotes: SINGAPORE - Singapore shares ended the morning session lower Thursday as investors cashed in gains, taking their lead from Wall Street's decline overnight as credit concerns continued to weigh. HSBC Holdings PLC announced Wednesday it would have to write down a further 3.4 billion US dollars from its US business because of exposure to subprime loans. The benchmark Straits Times Index slipped 31.31 points or 0.9 percent to 3,493.60 at the midday break, after trading between 3,490.01 and 3,525.27. Decliners beat gainers 433 to 166, with 195 stocks unchanged. Volume was thin with 1.0 billion shares traded worth 971.3 million Singapore dollars. Caution dominated the market as investors kept to the sidelines ahead the release of US consumer data tonight. "With the subprime issue still hanging in the air, the market is likely to remain volatile," said Westcomb Securities in a client note. But analysts remain positive on the market, expecting the STI to trend higher once it bottoms out, supported by strong company results. "Generally speaking, we are quite positive on the Asian markets," said Lorraine Tan, Asian equities strategist at Standard & Poor's. "Markets will continue to consolidate over the next week or so, but it would be a buying opportunity." Banking stocks were mostly lower following fresh news of subprime writedowns by major financial institutions despite the strong fundamentals of Singapore banks. While local banks continue to post robust results, "investor attention will continue to be distracted by the ongoing concerns over the CDOs (collateralized debt obligations) and US subprime loan exposures," said Macquarie Research. It said the provisions by banks for their CDO/US subprime exposures "may surprise in coming quarters notwithstanding strong fundamentals". DBS Group fell 10 cents to 20.00 Singapore dollars and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp declined 15 cents to 8.40 dollars, while United Overseas Bank was steady at 19.60 dollars. Among blue chip decliners, Keppel Corp lost 20 cents to 13.10 dollars, Singapore Airlines slipped 20 cents to 18.60 dollars, Singapore Exchange fell 50 cents to 13.30 dollars, and SembCorp Industries was down 20 cents at 5.35 dollars. Property heavyweights were also lower, with CapitaLand down 5 cents at 7.05 dollars and Keppel Land down 25 cents to 7.95 dollars. City Developments fell 10 cents to 14.10 dollars. On Wednesday the company reported that third-quarter net profit rose 32.1 percent to 169.5 million Singapore dollars from a year earlier on strong contributions from residential projects, office rents and higher hotel revenue. DBS Vickers Securities cut its target price for City Developments to 14.91 dollars per share from 17.30 dollars, after revising downwards its revised net asset value for the stock in light of current concerns in the residential and office markets following government steps to cool the booming sector. Tat Hong Holdings bucked the broader market decline, adding 13 cents to 2.83 dollars after the tower crane leasing company reported a strong surge in earnings for its second quarter to September. OCBC Securities has lifted its target price for Tat Hong to 3.30 dollars a share from 2.34 dollars. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mirage
Veteran |
15-Nov-2007 13:23
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pinnacle
Master |
15-Nov-2007 09:31
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
GLOBAL MARKETS-Asia stocks subdued after rally, yen steadies Asian stocks took a breather on Thursday, a day after posting their best one-day gain in nearly two months as investors turned slightly cautious ahead of key U.S. consumer inflation data due later in the day. Those worries kept a lid on the dollar, which recovered from overnight losses against a basket of major currencies <.DXY> but was struggling to make further headway. Investors betting on falling U.S. crude inventories pushed oil By 0035 GMT, Tokyo's Nikkei average <.N225> inched up 0.1 percent following Wednesday's 2.5 percent bounce, while MSCI's measure of other Asia Pacific stocks <.MIAPJ0000PUS> slipped 0.1 percent, taking a breather after a 3.3 percent jump in the previous session. That rise for the MSCI index on Wednesday was the biggest one-day gain since the 4.1 percent rally on Sept. 19 and followed a string of losses over the last few sessions when credit worries weighed on sentiment. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index <.AXJO> climbed 0.2 percent after reversing opening losses, while South Korea's financial markets will open an hour later than usual at 0100 GMT due to college entrance examinations. "It's a tough scenario at the moment. We're still very much tied to the fortunes in the U.S. - whether there is going to be significant slowdown there and the financials seem to be bearing the brunt of that caution," said Martin Arnold, equities economist at CommSec in Sydney. Latest U.S. data showed retail sales rose by a sluggish 0.2 percent in October, in line with expectations, and producer prices edged up slightly. All eyes are on U.S. consumer prices due later on Thursday. [ID:nN14171188] "Investors still appear cautious about pushing the market higher, bracing for more fallout from the U.S. subprime troubles," added Kim Young-il, a fund manager at Hanwha Investment Trust Management in Seoul. Given the uncertain environment, investors sought the safety of liquid blue-chip stocks such as Sony Corp. <6758.T> and Canon Inc <7751.T>, helping drive those stocks up about 1 percent. Japan's second-largest bank Mizuho Financial Group <8411.T> advanced 1.1 percent despite posting a 17 percent drop in first-half profit on Wednesday. [ID:nT179959] Gold miners were also in favour following the rebound in gold prices with Newcrest Mining Safe-haven Japanese government bonds also benefited from the uncertain outlook, pushing the yield on the benchmark 10-year bond In the forex market, the dollar index <.DXY>, which tracks the U.S. currency against a basket of major currencies was little changed at 75.831, off the overnight low of 75.396. The dollar was steady from late U.S. trading on Wednesday at 111.27 yen The euro |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mirage
Veteran |
15-Nov-2007 08:48
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mirage
Veteran |
14-Nov-2007 14:35
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Blastoff
Elite |
14-Nov-2007 07:47
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
DOW up by 319.54! Will STI cheong today... | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CWQuah
Master |
13-Nov-2007 15:36
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Good news - the 3434 level held up perfectly. Expect a significant rebound for DJIA tonight and STI tomorrow. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
mirage
Veteran |
13-Nov-2007 14:23
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CWQuah
Master |
13-Nov-2007 12:25
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
3434 = 50% Fibo retracement from 2961 to 3905. Rebounding. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ROI25per
Master |
13-Nov-2007 11:51
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
3500 broke, 3483 also broke, so where now? | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
reisspoh
Member |
13-Nov-2007 11:26
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
sure hope u are right =) coz the opposite would also indicate disaster | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CWQuah
Master |
13-Nov-2007 10:50
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
3483 is actually a strong support derived from the previous lows in Jun - Jul 07. Likely right now there will be a rebound up. STI has already corrected to lying just above the 200d ema. In addition STI is now close to the uptrend support line drawn from the lows in Jul 06 to Aug 07. The rebound should be around now. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pinnacle
Master |
12-Nov-2007 21:59
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
UOB KH - Not a bear market, look out for a rebound We had been relatively cautious on the Singapore bourse in recent weeks and had repeatedly recommended selling into strength. Our justification then was that equity markets were pricing in a recovery way too soon while bond markets were noticeably cautious. From an Elliott wave stand point, there was the possibility that some of the major indices were in terminal stages of wave 5. However, price action now suggests that the present correction for the STI, HSI and major US equity indices to still stay within wave 4 correction. In Singapore, the ST Index is nearing the end of the first leg of correction. We are now less bearish and think that the risk/reward profile is the most attractive despite the negative newsflow. We explain our rationale as follows: 1. The move from 2,962 to 3,905 is so far only a three-legged move. Major bear markets seldom commence after three upward moves, but is usually preceded by a five legged up move. None of the major markets show such a pattern. For the ST Index, our take now is that the present decline is part of wave 4 of (5). The first leg of this decline is nearing completion. 2. Various indicators like RSI and oscillators suggest that the bourse is entering into an oversold level. In addition, as the key index corrects towards the 3,520- 3,450 level, it would have corrected the euphoric reaction to the US Fed?s initial rate cut. From a psychological perspective, this means that a reversal from euphoria to fear and thus an inflexion point from which the market could reaccess. The cessation of the selling momentum is sufficient for a relief rally. We also note that the index has already gapped down twice over the past six trading days and a wider gap would be deemed an exhaustion gap. Typically, it marks the culmination of a near-term trend. Today, we could witness such a gap. If so, we recommend accumulating gradually as the ST Index approaches 3,520- 3,540. 3. We have outlined the wave formation of the decline of the ST Index from 3,905 to the present decline towards 3,580. We think the key index is at the terminal stages of a significant decline and an important low could form near 3,520-3,540. We also think that this low point will hold for the rest of the year. 4. We think sticking to core blue chips would be the best strategy. Banking stocks would be good bets. DBS at S$20.00 would be at a technical support level and close to 1.5X FY07 P/B. SingTel is well supported at S$3.80 and if should hold if it breaks at S$3.70. As such, the S$3.70-3.80 range would be a good entry range. Resistance is at S$4.10. SGX is supported at S$14.00 and a break at S$13.70-13.80 should offer support. We also like developers, Wing Tai and Ho Bee at S$2.75-2.79 and S$1.75-1.78 respectively. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pinnacle
Master |
11-Nov-2007 20:39
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Asia Stocks Week Ahead-Credit worries, high oil cloud market Asian stock markets are likely to be pinned down by inflation worries as oil prices hit a record high and as the credit crisis plays out, although some buyers might snap up stocks that were hit particularly hard by the recent sell-off. Further Wall Street losses on Friday, triggered by news that Wachovia Market watchers say miners will be a bright spot in the region after BHP Billiton's Investors will also watch U.S. inflation data for signs of whether there is any price pressure building up following the rally in oil prices to a record high above $98 a barrel. Signs of higher-than-expected inflation will curb expectation of another U.S. interest rate cut, which has supported markets early this month. MSCI's measure of Asia Pacific stocks excluding Japan <.MIAPJ0000PUS> dropped sharply as credit fears pounded financial stocks and a weak dollar dragged exporters lower. But it was still up about 40 percent this year. After the strong rally in the last few months since the U.S. Federal Reserve started cutting its key funds rate in September, markets have run ahead of fundamentals, some analysts say. "So it's not surprising to see a correction at the moment," said Garry Evans, Asia Pacific equity strategist at HSBC. "We've got still quite difficult credit markets globally and question marks over the outlook for the U.S. economy. It's going to be choppy until the end of the year." FACTORS TO WATCH (FOR WEEK STARTING NOV 12) ** For Asian company earnings, see [ASIA/EQTY] ** Key U.S. earnings/data (for Wall Street report, see [.N]) Monday - Veterans Day: U.S. bond markets closed Tuesday - Earnings: Wal-Mart Stores "The sell-off will probably peak out ... and the market may go back to the upward trend, at least for a little while," said Yosuke Shimizu, head of investment centre at Monex Inc. Shimizu said the rebound was likely to be led by companies with solid earnings prospects such as trading houses and shipping firms. He forecast the Nikkei <.N225> to move between 15,300 and 16,200. Monday - Earnings: Isuzu Motors <7202.T> H1 results - Bank of Japan 2-day policy meeting starts - Oct corporate goods price index - Sept current account; Oct consumer confidence Tuesday - Earnings: Aiful <8515.T>, Taiheiyo Cement <5233.T> - BOJ policy meeting outcome - July-Sept quarter GDP data (preliminary) Wednesday - Earnings: Shinsei Bank <8303.T> H1 results Thursday - Sept METI tertiary sector activity index Friday - Earnings: Olympus Corp <7733.T> H1 earnings - BOJ Oct 10-11 policy meeting minutes - Sept leading indicator (revised) -- ** IN KOREA (for Seoul report, see [.KS]) Stocks are expected to trade in a tight range, hamstrung by worries about the strength in the South Korean currency and record high oil prices. A string of U.S. economic indicators, which would provide a clue as to how the subprime mortgage troubles are affecting demand in the world's largest economy, will be watched. "It won't be easy for the market to regain stability, with U.S. markets staggering and oil prices remaining at historic highs," said Kim Joong-hyun, a market analyst at Goodmorning Shinhan Securities. "The credit crisis, a firm won "We ought to go to 27,800," said Andrew Sullivan, head of sales trading at Daiwa Securities, suggesting a further fall of about 1,000 points for the key Hang Seng Index <.HSI>. "Until we consolidate, we'll just see volatility." Monday - Sept external trade price, volume Tuesday - Zhong An Real Estate <0672.HK> and GCL Poly Energy Holdings Ltd <3800.HK> debut Wednesday - Oct external assets of the Exchange Fund Results: Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing <0388.HK>; Tencent Holdings <0700.HK> Friday - Q3 Gross Domestic Product -- Keywords: MARKETS ASIA WEEKAHEAD -- ** IN AUSTRALIA/NZ (for Sydney/Wellington report, see [.AX]) Shares could see further gains as the mining sector continue to get a lift from global miner BHP Billiton Ltd's bid for rival Rio Tinto Ltd. "It does signal the view from the industry of how strong the outlook is for commodities," said Greg Goodsell, equity strategist at ABN AMRO. BHP made a long-awaited bid approach to Rio Tinto, but Rio rejected the all-share proposal as too low [ID:nL082782] But analysts warn that the market remains vulnerable to further bad news stemming from global credit markets. Monday - Sept lending finance data, 0030 GMT - Earnings: Orica "We suggest staying with blue-chip stocks, which are more stable in the current market environment," said Jerry Chang, a portfolio manager at National Investment Trust, which manages $45.5 million in funds. The index could hit a low at about 8,800 points and a high at 9,400 points in the next month, he added. -- ** IN SOUTHEAST ASIA (for SE Asia report, see [.SO]) Investors will look to the U.S. markets to see the spill over from the ongoing credit turmoil, while the outlook for corporate earnings may be dampened by high oil prices as record-breaking crude erodes profit margins. "A lot will be focused on subprime and oil prices. Some of the write-offs in the U.S. are reminding investors that things aren't as clear as they are," said Kwok Chern Yeh, an investment manager at Aberdeen Asset Management. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pinnacle
Master |
09-Nov-2007 22:09
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 1
x 0 Alert Admin |
SE Asia Stocks-Singapore falls 2 pct, SingTel leads losses SINGAPORE, Nov 9 (Reuters) - Singapore shares <.STI> fell 2 percent on Friday, with losses led by index-heavy stocks such as Singapore Telecommunications <STEL.SI> and DBS Group <DBSM.SI>, as the market caught up with the regional sell-off a day ago after closing for a public holiday. Malaysian shares <.KLSE>, which also skipped a day of trade on Thursday, were down 0.8 percent. Vietnam's key index <.VNI> fell 0.8 percent. But other regional markets rebounded on hope that the U.S. Federal Reserve would further cut interest rates, with Indonesian shares <.JKSE> up 1.1 percent, the Philippine index <.PSI> rose 0.3 percent and Thai stocks <.SETI> up 0.4 percent by 0936 GMT. "It's worth noting that Bernanke reiterated that the Fed stands ready to act if the economic data warrants and we think it will," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital Investors. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke told lawmakers on Thursday that the U.S. economy did not appear headed for recession but warned growth could prove weaker than expected and inflation higher, comments which some said suggested a greater likelihood that the U.S. central bank would cut rates again. [ID:nN08239430] "The combination of ongoing worries about the impact of the subprime crisis, record oil prices, the falling U.S. dollar and whether the Fed will cut interest rates quickly enough are all likely to weigh on global shares for the next few weeks," Oliver said in a note. The dollar continued its slide, testing record lows against a basket of currencies <.DXY>, helping drive crude oil prices <CLc1> towards $100 a barrel. In Singapore, the region's top telecom firm SingTel fell 2.5 percent while DBS was down 2.4 percent. Southeast Asia's top lender said Thailand is still an attractive market as it hunts for higher growth overseas, despite its failure to buy a bigger stake in the country's loss-making TMB Bank <TMB.BK>. [ID:nSP125863] Number two United Overseas Bank <UOBH.SI> dropped 2 percent and Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp <OCBC.SI> slid 1.7 percent. Singapore Exchange <SGXL.SI>, Asia's second-biggest listed bourse operator, fell 4.7 percent as investors worried that market jitters would curb trading activity and hit the firm's earnings. The marketwide slump also hit market debutant Saizen Real Estate Investment Trust <SZNR.SI>, which started trade 6 percent below its issue price and closed down 14 percent. [ID:nSGC001376] Tokyo-based Asia Pacific Land, which was planning a $350 million initial public offering, said on Friday that it would postpone its listing on concerns of the performance of the issue. [ID:nSGC001377] In Malaysia, top listed plantation firm IOI Corp <IOIB.KL> fell 4.5 percent, while the country's second-largest bank Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings <BUCM.KL> was down 3.5 percent. Top lender Malayan Banking <MBBM.KL> and Public Bank <PUBM.KL> both slipped 0.9 percent. In Indonesia, state-controlled miner PT Aneka Tambang <ANTM.JK> and PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk <INDF.JK>, the world's largest instant noodle maker, both rallied 10.5 percent. In Thailand, top energy firm PTT PCL <PTT.BK> rose 2 percent ahead of its results announcement, due around 1000 GMT. The company was expected to report a 2.8 percent rise in quarterly profit from a year ago due to higher gas sales and refining margins, but a poor performance by its chemicals business may weigh. [ID:nBKK235362] PTT Exploration & Production <PTTE.BK> was up 0.7 percent. FACTORS TO WATCH *Japan's Asia Pacific Land delays Singapore IPO [nSGC001377] *Singapore's Delong plans S$220 mln convertible [nSFC000032] *Singapore Exchange sees Chinese listings flowing[nSIN335687] *Rowsley to report on delayed takeover deal [nSIN125178] *DBS still keen on Thailand after TMB bid failure[nSP125863] *Indonesian crude palm oil rise to a record high [nJAK24504] *Malaysia c.bank to release Q3 GDP on Nov 28 [nKLR98570] *Malaysian Air buys ATR planes for $285 mln [nKLR80143] *Indonesia's Tunas Ridean eyes 750 bln rph bonds [nJAK78667] *Thai Sahaviriya Steel sees better 2008 sales [nBKK61929] *ING may raise stake in Thai TMB in next few yrs [nBKK172726] *Manila's Petron sees higher '08 earnings growth [nMAN128717] *Manila's Megaworld 9-mth net income up 52 pct [nMAN122263] SOUTHEAST ASIAN STOCK MARKETS Change on the day at 0936 GMT Market Current Prev Close Pct Move Singapore 3599.67 3673.01 -2.00 Bangkok 876.91 873.64 +0.37 Manila 3703.66 3692.10 +0.31 Jakarta 2707.67 2678.22 +1.10 Kuala Lumpur 1402.25 1413.85 -0.82 Ho Chi Minh 1018.29 1026.47 -0.80 Change on year Market Current End prev yr Pct Move Singapore 3599.67 2985.83 +20.56 Bangkok 876.91 679.84 +28.99 Manila 3703.66 2982.54 +24.18 Jakarta 2707.67 1805.52 +49.97 Kuala Lumpur 1402.25 1096.24 +27.91 Ho Chi Minh 1018.29 751.77 +35.45 |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pinnacle
Master |
09-Nov-2007 17:09
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Asia Stocks Week Ahead-Credit worries, high oil cloud market Nov 9 (Reuters) - Asian stock markets are likely to be pinned down by inflation worries as oil prices hit a record high and as the credit crisis plays out, although some buyers might snap up stocks that were hit particularly hard by the recent sell-off. Market watchers say miners will be a bright spot in the region after BHP Billiton's Investors will also watch U.S. inflation data for signs of whether there is any price pressure building up following the rally in oil prices to a record high above $98 a barrel. Signs of higher-than-expected inflation will curb expectation of another U.S. interest rate cut, which has supported markets late in the past week. MSCI's measure of Asia Pacific stocks excluding Japan <.MIAPJ0000PUS> dropped sharply as credit fears pounded financial stocks and a weak dollar dragged exporters lower. But it was still up about 40 percent this year. After the strong rally in the last few months since the U.S. Federal Reserve started cutting its key funds rate in September, markets have run ahead of fundamentals, some analysts say. "So it's not surprising to see a correction at the moment," said Garry Evans, Asia Pacific equity strategist at HSBC. "We've got still quite difficult credit markets globally and question marks over the outlook for the U.S. economy. It's going to be choppy until the end of the year." FACTORS TO WATCH (FOR WEEK STARTING NOV 12) ** For Asian company earnings, see [ASIA/EQTY] ** Key U.S. earnings/data (for Wall Street report, see [.N]) Monday - Veterans Day: U.S. bond markets closed Tuesday - Earnings: Wal-Mart Stores "The sell-off will probably peak out next week or the week after, and the market may go back to the upward trend, at least for a little while," said Yosuke Shimizu, head of investment centre at Monex Inc. Shimizu said the rebound was likely to be led by companies with solid earnings prospects such as trading houses and shipping firms. He forecast the Nikkei <.N225> to move between 15,300 and 16,200. Monday - Earnings: Isuzu Motors <7202.T> H1 results - Bank of Japan 2-day policy meeting starts - Oct corporate goods price index - Sept current account; Oct consumer confidence Tuesday - Earnings: Aiful <8515.T>, Taiheiyo Cement <5233.T> - BOJ policy meeting outcome - July-Sept quarter GDP data (preliminary) Wednesday - Earnings: Shinsei Bank <8303.T> H1 results Thursday - Sept METI tertiary sector activity index Friday - Earnings: Olympus Corp <7733.T> H1 earnings - BOJ Oct 10-11 policy meeting minutes - Sept leading indicator (revised) -- ** IN KOREA (for Seoul report, see [.KS]) Stocks are expected to trade in a tight range, hamstrung by worries about the strength in the South Korean currency and record high oil prices. A string of U.S. economic indicators, which would provide a clue as to how the subprime mortgage troubles are affecting demand in the world's largest economy, will be watched. "It won't be easy for the market to regain stability, with U.S. markets staggering and oil prices remaining at historic highs," said Kim Joong-hyun, a market analyst at Goodmorning Shinhan Securities. "The credit crisis, a firm won "We ought to go to 27,800," said Andrew Sullivan, head of sales trading at Daiwa Securities, suggesting a further fall of about 1,000 points for the key Hang Seng Index <.HSI>. "Until we consolidate, we'll just see volatility." Monday - Sept external trade price, volume Tuesday - Zhong An Real Estate <0672.HK> and GCL Poly Energy Holdings Ltd <3800.HK> debut Wednesday - Oct external assets of the Exchange Fund Results: Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing <0388.HK>; Tencent Holdings <0700.HK> Friday - Q3 Gross Domestic Product -- Keywords: MARKETS ASIA WEEKAHEAD -- ** IN AUSTRALIA/NZ (for Sydney/Wellington report, see [.AX]) Shares could see further gains as the mining sector continue to get a lift from global miner BHP Billiton Ltd's bid for rival Rio Tinto Ltd. "It does signal the view from the industry of how strong the outlook is for commodities," said Greg Goodsell, equity strategist at ABN AMRO. BHP made a long-awaited bid approach to Rio Tinto, but Rio rejected the all-share proposal as too low [ID:nL082782] But analysts warn that the market remains vulnerable to further bad news stemming from global credit markets. Monday - Sept lending finance data, 0030 GMT - Earnings: Orica "We suggest staying with blue-chip stocks, which are more stable in the current market environment," said Jerry Chang, a portfolio manager at National Investment Trust, which manages $45.5 million in funds. The index could hit a low at about 8,800 points and a high at 9,400 points in the next month, he added. -- ** IN SOUTHEAST ASIA (for SE Asia report, see [.SO]) Investors will look to the U.S. markets to see the spill over from the ongoing credit turmoil, while the outlook for corporate earnings may be dampened by high oil prices as record-breaking crude erodes profit margins. "A lot will be focused on subprime and oil prices. Some of the write-offs in the U.S. are reminding investors that things aren't as clear as they are," said Kwok Chern Yeh, an investment manager at Aberdeen Asset Management. Thursday - Singapore Sept retail sales - Philippine rate-setting meeting - Philippine Oct outstanding commercial bank loans - Philippine Sept OFW remittances data Friday - Singapore Oct exports data - Malaysia Sept manufacturing sales data - Philippine Oct BOP data -- ** IN SOUTH ASIA (for Mumbai report, see [.BO]) Indian shares are expected to tread warily in a tight range as lingering worries over the fallout from the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis weigh on sentiment. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Pinnacle
Master |
09-Nov-2007 17:06
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Sianz. Deepavali holiday also can't save our market from the impact.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me |