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bsiong
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02-Nov-2011 13:35
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/1/2011
November 1, 2011 MARKETS CRUMBLE ON PAPANDREOU’S AUSTERITY CURVEBALL Precious metals and stocks ended the day in negative territory on renewed fears of a Greek default.  Precious metals fell initially but recovered throughout the trading day, with gold closing at only a modest loss.  Silver traded in a wide range, at one point falling almost to $32.00 but closed the day at $33.46. Uncertainty is still the name of the game on Wall Street.  Only 24 hours after the collapse of MF Global, a major player in high finance, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou dropped the bombshell that he was putting the most recent austerity package to a vote among Greek citizens.  The package is extremely unpopular within the Greek populace.  If the vote fails, the fear is that Greece will experience what bond traders call a “hard default.”  All of this worked to end the monthlong rally in stock markets as the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 300 points today. Despite market turmoil and calls from party members for Papandreou to step down, it appears the prime minister is sticking to his decision.  Angelos Tolkas, a spokesman for the prime minister, said, “We’re not retreating, and we haven’t retreated on all the things we needed to do to save the country.  As the prime minister said to his lawmakers yesterday, this is how we’re proceeding, and these are our next steps.” Some analysts expect the Federal Reserve to hint at another round of monetary stimulus during its statement following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the group that sets monetary policy for the Fed. “While we don't expect any additional actions at this time, it will be important to focus on the language in the press release.  It is increasingly likely that the FOMC will be providing the groundwork for additional steps in early 2012," said Paul Ballew, former Fed staff member and chief economist at Nationwide. At 4:04 p.m. (CT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
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02-Nov-2011 08:15
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 11/1/2011   November 1, 2011
MARKETS CRUMBLE ON PAPANDREOU’S AUSTERITY CURVEBALL Precious metals and stocks ended the day in negative territory on renewed fears of a Greek default.  Precious metals fell initially but recovered throughout the trading day, with gold closing at only a modest loss.  Silver traded in a wide range, at one point falling almost to $32.00 but closed the day at $33.46. Uncertainty is still the name of the game on Wall Street.  Only 24 hours after the collapse of MF Global, a major player in high finance, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou dropped the bombshell that he was putting the most recent austerity package to a vote among Greek citizens.  The package is extremely unpopular within the Greek populace.  If the vote fails, the fear is that Greece will experience what bond traders call a “hard default.”  All of this worked to end the monthlong rally in stock markets as  the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 300 points today. Despite market turmoil and calls from party members for Papandreou to step down, it appears the prime minister is sticking to his decision.  Angelos Tolkas, a spokesman for the prime minister, said, “We’re not retreating, and we haven’t retreated on all the things we needed to do to save the country.  As the prime minister said to his lawmakers yesterday, this is how we’re proceeding, and these are our next steps.” Some analysts expect the Federal Reserve to hint at another round of monetary stimulus during its statement following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee  (FOMC), the group that sets monetary policy for the Fed. “While we don't expect any additional actions at this time, it will be important to focus on the language in the press release.  It is increasingly likely that the FOMC will be providing the groundwork for additional steps in early 2012," said Paul Ballew, former Fed staff member and chief economist at Nationwide. At 4:04 p.m. (CT), the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 22:21
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 22:11
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November 1, 2011
GREEK PRIME MINISTER SURPRISES EURO ZONE, CALLS FOR A VOTE In overnight trading, precious metals are down as a result of a domino effect that started – where else? – in Europe.  Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou shocked the euro zone when he called for a referendum on the bailout plan agreed upon last week.  The Greek people have never been happy about the austerity measures put in place.  Economists at Barclays Capital wrote, “The latest brinkmanship creates new uncertainty in the eyes of markets, which could be concerned that, should the outcome of the referendum be negative, then either Greece would have to restructure its debt much more aggressively than the 50% currently envisaged … or it could even pave the way for an eventual exit from the euro area.” The fresh uncertainty out of the euro zone has caused the dollar to strengthen, which is holding gold prices down.  “Prices succumbed to a stronger dollar as it makes dollar-denominated commodities look expensive for holders of other currencies,” Angel Broking analysts said in a note.  “Even though gold is considered as a safe-haven asset … prices are mainly taking direction from risk sentiments in the global financial markets.” A two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee begins today.  Changes are unlikely to come from the meeting, as the Fed is expected to hold steady.  Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans, a voting member of the FOMC, said in a speech, “We should consider committing to keep short-term rates at zero until either the unemployment rate goes below seven percent or the outlook for inflation over the medium term goes above three percent.”  Though some may find that “risky,” he added, “But these are not ordinary times – we are in the aftermath of a financial crisis with massive output gaps, with stubborn debt overhangs and high degrees of household and business caution that are weighing on economic activity.” At 8:00 am (CT) the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 22:06
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* Gold falls as dollar profits from Greek bailout vote * ETF flows remain gold-supportive * Coming up: U.S. October ISM manufacturing 1400 GMT By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Gold buckled under pressure from a stronger dollar on Tuesday after the Greek prime minister shocked financial markets by calling a referendum on an agreed bailout package and as the collapse of broker MF Global dented commodities. Prime Minister George Papandreou's surprise decision to call a popular vote on the bailout dented most assets priced in euros to the benefit of the U.S. dollar. Italian 10-year bond yields have risen by more than 30 basis points in the last three days to their highest since mid-August, in their largest three-day rise in almost a month, in spite of the European Central Bank buying Italian debt in the secondary markets to anchor yields. The cost of insuring euro zone sovereign debt against default rose broadly, putting the euro under pressure and weighing on European financial stocks, while gold priced in euros neared one-month highs. The fallout from the collapse of MF Global Holdings Ltd rippled through global exchanges, as operators moved to suspend the U.S. futures broker or limit trades of its customers after the company filed for bankruptcy protection on Monday following bad bets on euro zone debt. Spot gold was last down 1.7 percent at $1,684.59 an ounce by 1319 GMT. " The euro is very weak, the dollar is strong and that has caused selling across the board. Greece has caused even more confusion by calling for a referendum and we can't ignore the washout from the MF Global story because their positions are being unwound," said Credit Agricole analyst Robin Bhar. He added that the Bank of Japan's decision to intervene in currency markets on Monday to stall the rise of the yen -- sometimes used as a safe-haven currency because of the country's low yields -- could ultimately drive gold higher. Although the dollar has been one of the major beneficiaries of the angst surrounding the euro zone, investor interest in gold has continued to pick up this week, as reflected by the inflows of metal into exchange-traded funds. Holdings of gold in the major exchange-traded funds (ETF) tracked by Reuters have risen by over 800,000 ounces this month, marking their first monthly increase since July. " Our view is that gold is poised for a move significantly higher as the Greek tragedy has not yet fully played out yet the safe haven role will prevail as the key driver of gold prices as investors seek a lifeboat in a crisis," said Ross Norman, chief executive of bullion broker Sharps Pixley. Gold has moved in tighter lockstep with industrial commodities such as copper or risk asset such as equities in the last month and has thus been more prone to falling in times of heightened uncertainty, rather than adopting its traditional safe-haven role and benefiting from such turmoil. The weaker-than-expected China official purchasing managers index for October increased the gloom on the global economic outlook, but it also reinforced the expectation that China's central bank could soon start to loosen up its monetary policy. A measure of U.S. nationwide manufacturing is expected to show factory activity expanded modestly in October. The Institute for Supply Management survey is expected to rise to 52.0 from 51.6 in September. A reading of 50 separates expansion from contraction. Physical gold market activity was muted, and premiums in Hong Kong eased to near $1 an ounce over spot prices, from $1-$1.50 last week. Silver was last down 5.4 percent at $32.37 an ounce, while platinum fell 2.2 percent to $1,558.24 an ounce and palladium fell 2.9 percent to $622.47. For the platinum group metals, Tuesday's data on U.S. car sales could prove to be supportive. A Reuters poll forecasts 13.20 million vehicles were sold in October in the world's second-largest car market. Palladium particularly relies on the U.S. and Chinese economies for demand as the car markets of these two countries are dominated by gasoline-powered vehicles, in which catalytic converters require a higher loading of this metal in comparison to the catalysts used in diesel vehicles.     |
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 22:03
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* Resurfacing euro zone concerns support safe have buying * Spot gold may fall below $1,704 -technicals * Coming up: U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI, October 1400 GMT By Rujun Shen SINGAPORE, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Spot gold was steady on Tuesday, supported by safe-haven demand on resurfacing uncertainty over the euro zone's efforts to resolve its debt crisis, while a strong dollar weighed down prices. Italian and Spanish bond yields soared ahead of a key Group of 20 meeting that would likely press European leaders on details of how to tackle the crisis. The dollar also surged nearly 1 percent against a basket of currencies , a day after Japan's massive intervention pushed the dollar index up 1.5 percent. " The European problems will resurface through the end of the year," said Dominic Schnider, head of commodity research at UBS Wealth Management in Singapore, expecting safe-haven demand to help prices revisit a record high of above $1,920 by year-end. But recent gains in commodities, cause by bursts of optimisim over Europe, may be wiped out if the crisis is not resolved soon, Schnider added. Spot gold was little changed at $1,714.54 an ounce by 0701 GMT, after staging a monthly rise of 5.5 percent in October. U.S. gold GCcv1 lost half a percent to $1,716.50. Technical analysis suggested that spot gold could retrace to below $1,704 during the day, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. Adding to the worries about euro zone, Greece's prime minister called a referendum on the latest bailout deal. The fallout from the collapse of MF Global Holdings Ltd rippled through global exchanges on Tuesday, as operators moved to suspend the U.S. futures broker or limit trades of its customers. The weaker-than-expected China official purchasing managers index for October increased the gloom on the global economic outlook, but it also reinforced the expectation that China's central bank could soon start to loosen up its monetary policy. Physical market activities were muted, and premiums in Hong Kong eased to near $1 an ounce over spot prices, from $1-$1.50 last week. " Jewellery sector demand has been quiet as jewellers are unwilling to keep much of an inventory," said Dick Poon, manager of precious metals of Heraeus in Hong Kong. " They are worried about consumption in Europe and the United States in Christmas holiday season, with the economic uncertainty looming large." Physical buying slowed to a trickle after prices recovered to above $1,700 last week, from an October trough of $1,603.49 on Oct 20, dealers said. |
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 22:00
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SINGAPORE, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Spot gold prices edged lower on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger dollar after Japan intervened in the currency market in the previous session, while uncertainty over the euro zone's debt plan also weighed on market sentiment.             FUNDAMENTALS       * Spot gold edged down 0.1 percent to $1,711.99 an ounce by 0015 GMT, after staging a monthly rise of 5.5 percent in October.       * U.S. gold GCcv1 lost 0.7 percent to $1,713.90.       * The dollar index extended hefty gains from the previous session during which Japan intervened in the currency market to curb the strength of the yen.       * Trading activity in U.S. gold, crude oil and grain futures slowed to a crawl on Monday as the bankruptcy of MF Global Holdings Ltd forced a chaotic scramble to untangle trading positions.        * The euphoria over euro zone's plan to tackle its debt crisis started to fade, with Italian and Spanish bond yields soaring just before a meeting of Group of 20 leaders later in the week.        * Barclays Plc reported lower contributions from its commodities trading division in January-September 2011 after extreme volatility in oil and metals in the second and third quarters took a toll.                            MARKET NEWS       * Wall Street closed its best month in 20 years on a down note on Monday as the failure of trading firm MF Global Holdings Ltd and new worries about Europe's debt crisis hammered financial shares.       * The dollar pulled back slightly from a three-month peak against the yen on Tuesday as the impact of Japan's massive intervention faded a touch, while the euro came under renewed pressure amid growing doubts over a plan to contain Europe's debt crisis.  |
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catalyst
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01-Nov-2011 09:46
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Anyone doing TA for gold? What's the last known support now? 1715? |
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 08:14
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October 31, 2011
MAJOR PLAYER IN GLOBAL FINANCE DECLARES BANKRUPTCY MF Global, a multibillion-dollar trader in commodities and derivatives, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection today.  The company was forced to take huge write-offs due to last week’s deal to prevent a Greek default.  Part of the deal was for holders of Greek debt to voluntarily take a 50% write-off on the bonds they held.  MF’s trading partners have already distanced themselves from the ailing company.  The Federal Reserve suspended the firm’s status as a primary dealer today.  CME Group also suspended MF’s trading privileges.  Jack Scoville, vice president at Price Futures Group said, “It’s a real mess, and it’s all hands on deck. MF is in the top five in clearing for commodities, so it’s not an insignificant thing.” The policy-setting committee of the Federal Reserve, known as the Federal Open Market Committee, is divided on the issue of monetary stimulus.  At least three members are openly at odds with Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke as to the direction to take in stimulating the economy.  At least two members say the Fed should be doing much more than it currently is to combat unemployment at the risk of causing higher inflation.  “Given how badly we are doing on our employment mandate, we need to be willing to take a risk on inflation going modestly higher in the short run if that is a consequence of policies aimed at lowering unemployment,” said Charles L. Evans, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.  Many economists argue that the Fed measures inflation incorrectly, and that inflation is already at very high levels.  The so-called core Consumer Price Index, the Fed’s primary measure of inflation, excludes food and fuel prices, two categories that tend to hit consumers especially hard.  The Fed excludes these because it says that price movements tend to be temporary and beyond its control.  “Temporary” seems like a relative term, since CNBC reports that only four of the past 24 years have seen a decline in food and fuel prices. At 4:15 PM (CT) the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 08:13
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  Gold eases as dollar soars on Japan intervention * Gold slides as dollar gains from BOJ's yen selling * Near-term outlook dominated by macro picture * Coming up: U.S. manufacturing data on Tuesday By Chris Kelly NEW YORK, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Gold lost nearly 1 percent in thinner-than-usual trade on Monday, after Japan's intervention to weaken the yen sent the dollar soaring and commodities and other risk assets into a tailspin at the start of the week. Currency-led selling pulled bullion down for a second straight day, extending a phase of consolidation from last week's short-covering surge that had lifted the price to its highest in more than a month, above $1,750 an ounce. Despite the loss, gold posted a 6 percent gain for this month, recovering from a near-11 percent slide in September, when prices hit a record $1,920.30. " The movements in the dollar ... you have to chalk that up as the number-one negative for commodities in general on the day," said Bill O'Neill, partner of LOGIC Advisors in Upper Saddle River, New Jersey. " It's more of a risk-off day ... gold has become a very choppy, volatile trading affair, which makes it a little less attractive as a flight-to-safety vehicle," he said. Bullion slipped as the greenback jumped to a three-month high against the yen after the government of Japan intervened to curb the yen's strength, making dollar-priced commodities more expensive for investors holding other currencies. Helping gold recover some of the day's losses was a decision by the New York Federal Reserve to suspend conducting business with brokerage MF Global , which filed for bankruptcy protection after a tentative deal to find a buyer fell apart. Spot gold was down 1.1 percent at $1,722.65 an ounce at 2:46 p.m. EDT (1846 GMT). In New York, the benchmark December COMEX contract shed $22 or about 1.3 percent, to settle at $1,725.20 an ounce, after dealing in a range from $1,705.50 to $1,746.50. Futures volumes stood at around 118,000 lots in late New York trade, about 40 percent below the 30-day norm, according to Thomson Reuters preliminary data. " MF Global was not a big surprise. Clearly it's not a bank, it's not on the scale of Lehman Brothers, but that is what helped the (gold) market to bounce off today's lows," VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov said. Looking ahead, investors will turn their attention to a batch of economic data and central bank policy meetings, which may give the market a better sense of direction. " This week, it's all about the economic data and central bank policy meetings," said Mitsubishi analyst Matthew Turner. " There's no real sense of direction, except for the fact that it is trading more like a risk asset." The U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank meet this week to discuss monetary policy, while the Group of 20 industrialized nations meet in the French city of Cannes to devise a plan to stabilize markets. The correlation between gold and the European equity market rose to a multi-month high of nearly 50 percent, meaning gold was more likely to move in tandem with stocks, while gold's negative correlation to the dollar strengthened to -40 percent on Monday from around -30 percent last week.BUYERS CAUTIOUS Buyers in the physical market were on the sidelines, which led to gold bar premiums easing to a range between $1 and $1.50 an ounce over spot prices, from about $1.50 last week. " We saw some light buying from Thailand," said a Singapore-based dealer. " If prices drop below $1,700, physical buyers are expected to return." Investment interest in gold has been rekindled in recent weeks after euro zone leaders progressed toward an agreement to solve the region's debt crisis, albeit painstakingly, which pushed up the euro and as a result, helped send the gold price up 6 percent last week. Last week, money managers raised their bullish bets in gold futures and options to the highest in four weeks, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. In exchange-traded fund flows, global holdings of gold ended last week with a 543,000-ounce inflow, the largest weekly increase since the week ending Aug. 19. So far in October, global gold ETF holdings have risen by more than 714,000 ounces to their highest in five weeks at 67.769 million ounces. This would be the first monthly rise in holdings since July. In other precious metals, platinum was last down over 2 percent at $1,607.75, while palladium was down at $648.72 and silver shed more than 2 percent to $34.22 an ounce. |
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 00:11
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bsiong
Supreme |
01-Nov-2011 00:09
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October 31, 2011
JAPANESE INTERVENTION MEANS STRONGER DOLLAR, LOWER METALS In overnight trading, precious metals were down and stock futures are pointing towards a similar start for Wall Street.  The U.S. dollar is stronger, thanks to the Japanese government intervening in the market in an attempt to curb the yen’s appreciation.  A stronger yen hurts the export-based economy, and the country is still trying to recover from the catastrophic earthquake and tsunami that occurred earlier this year.  Analysts from Commerzbank noted, “Gold and other precious metals are being knocked this morning by profit-taking and the strong U.S. dollar.” A summit of the Group of 20 (G-20) leaders is on tap this week, and they have much to discuss.  The agenda for the summit includes the euro zone debt crisis and the recent agreement on bank recapitalization, as well as a number of other topics.  Regarding “economic imbalances that must be fixed,” the letter cites “undervalued exchange rates in key emerging surplus economies and insufficient domestic savings in some advanced economies,” without naming any countries in question. NATO’s involvement in the Libyan revolution has officially ended after seven months of support.  This is yet another sign that the revolution is nearly complete.  It has been called “one of the most successful” operations in NATO’s history, and NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen will visit and meet with Libya’s National Transitional Council (NTC) today.  The NTC expressed a desire for further NATO support post-war, but Rasmussen stuck to the decision to end involvement. At 8:04 am (CT) the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
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01-Nov-2011 00:07
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  Gold eases as dollar gains post-BoJ intervention * Gold slides as dollar gains from BoJ yen buys * Platinum and palladium may profit from U.S. car sales * Near-term outlook dominated by macro picture By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Gold fell by nearly 1 percent on Monday, following its best weekly performance in a month, after Japan's intervention in the currency market triggered a spike in the dollar, which was already benefiting from ongoing concern about the euro zone. Japan intervened unilaterally in the foreign exchange market on Monday to curb the yen's strength, sending the dollar up more than 1 percent against a basket of currencies. A stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for non-U.S. buyers, pushing down the price of silver, copper and crude oil. Helping gold recover some of the day's losses was the New York Federal Reserve's decision to suspend conducting business with troubled brokerage MF Global , which scrambled over the weekend to find buyers for all or part of the company and hired bankruptcy and restructuring advisers. Spot gold was down by 0.9 percent at $1,723.60 an ounce at 1514 GMT, having risen 6.0 percent last week and set for a 5.8 percent rise this month, following the near-11 percent slide seen in September, when prices hit a record $1,920.30. " MF Global was not a big surprise. Clearly it's not a bank, it's not on the scale of Lehman Brothers, but that is what helped the (gold) market to bounce off today's lows," said VTB Capital analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov. " Gold is trading a bit with the stock market and this euphoria over the (euro zone) bailout will run out of steam very quickly as people are starting to digest it and look for more details." This week is set to be dominated by major U.S. data, including monthly employment and several measures of manufacturing, along with Chinese factory activity, which also kept investors cautious. " I didn't buy the story last week of gold trading like a safe-haven again. But gold often trades in line with the other commodities .with(quantitative easing) and inflation and those kinds of things obviously supporting the price of both," said Mitsubishi analyst Matthew Turner. " This week, it's all about the economic data and central bank policy meetings. There's no real sense of direction, except for the fact that it is trading more like a risk asset." The U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank meet this week to discuss monetary policy, while the Group of 20 most industrialised nations meet in the French city of Cannes to devise a plan to stabilise markets. The correlation between gold and the European equity market rose to a multi-month high of nearly 50 percent, meaning gold was more likely to move in tandem with stocks, while gold's negative correlation to the dollar strengthened to -40 percent on Monday from around -30 percent last week.     BUYERS CAUTIOUS Buyers in the physical market were on the sidelines, which led to gold bar premiums easing to a range between $1 to $1.50 an ounce over spot prices, from about $1.50 last week. " We saw some light buying from Thailand," said a Singapore-based dealer. " If prices drop below $1,700, physical buyers are expected to return." Investment interest in gold has been rekindled in recent weeks after euro zone leaders progressed towards an agreement to solve the bloc's debt crisis, albeit painstakingly, which pushed up the euro and as a result, helped send the gold price up 6 percent last week. Last week, money managers raised their bullish bets in gold futures and options to the highest in four weeks, according to data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. In exchange-traded fund flows, global holdings of gold ended last week with a 543,000-ounce inflow, the largest weekly increase since the week ending Aug. 19. So far in October, global gold ETF holdings have risen by more than 714,000 ounces to their highest in five weeks at 67.769 million ounces. This would be the first monthly rise in holdings since July. In the days ahead, investors will be watching a policy meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve, as well as a key Group of 20 meeting for coordinated efforts or pledges to help stabilise world financial markets. In other precious metals, platinum and palladium were both down by more than 1 percent on the day. Key this week for both metals will be gauges of global factory activity, with U.S. monthly vehicle sales offering insight into the health of a key source of demand for platinum group metals. UBS strategist Edel Tully said the bank's auto analysts expected monthly U.S. vehicles to pick up thanks to credit availability, improving inventories as well as other purchase incentives. " Our conversations with producers and end-users in recent weeks have revealed end-user supply contracts remain unchanged, with metal shipments still being comfortably absorbed. The price decline in late September has in fact encouraged forward-buying, as a still rosy medium-term outlook made levels around $1,500 a good entry point," she said in a note. Platinum was last down 2.0 percent at $1,611.74, while palladium was down 1.4 percent at $653.97 and silver fell 2.2 percent to $34.47 an ounce. (Editing by Jason Neely)     |
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bsiong
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31-Oct-2011 17:01
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  Gold slides 2 pct on Japan's yen intervention * Japan intervenes in currency market, spurs dollar rally * Physical gold buyers on sidelines * Spot gold upside capped in $1,762-$1,773 range-technicals * Coming up: U.S. Chicago PMI, October 1345 GMT By Rujun Shen SINGAPORE, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Spot gold prices dropped nearly 2 percent on Monday, after Japan's intervention in the currency market triggered a spike in the dollar, spooking precious metals investors and setting bullion up for its biggest one-day drop in four weeks. Japan intervened unilaterally in the foreign exchange market on Monday to curb the yen's strength, sending the dollar up more than 1 percent against a basket of currencies. A stronger greenback makes dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for buyers holding other currencies. " The huge spike in the dollar is pressuring gold prices," said Ong Yi Ling, an analyst at Phillip Futures. " But so long as gold stays above $1,700, the sentiment should remain pretty bullish." The most-active U.S. gold futures contract GCcv1 dropped as much as 2.3 percent to $1,707.7 an ounce, and recovered slightly to $1,711.10 by 0622 GMT. It was headed for a monthly rise of 5.4 percent. Spot gold fell nearly 2 percent to $1,705.89 earlier and regained some lost ground to $1,709.29. It was on course for its biggest one-day drop in four weeks, but was still headed for a monthly rise of more than 5 percent. Technical analysis suggested the upside of spot gold will be capped in a resistance range of $1,762-$1,773 per ounce, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. Buyers in the physical market were on the sidelines, which led to gold bar premiums easing to a range between $1 to $1.50 an ounce over spot prices, from about $1.50 last week. " We saw some light buying from Thailand," said a Singapore-based dealer. " If prices drop below $1,700 physical buyers are expected to return." Investment interest in gold was rekindled in recent weeks after euro zone leaders progressed towards an agreement to solve the bloc's debt crisis, albeit painstakingly, sending prices up 6 percent last week. Last week, money managers raised their bullish bets in gold futures and options to the highest in four weeks, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed. SPDR Gold Trust , the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, registered an inflow of 16.04 tonnes on the week and 11.62 tonnes from the end of September, after a small outflow of 0.38 tonnes in September. Other precious metals weakened in tandem. Spot silver dropped as much as 3.2 percent to $34.12, and the most-active U.S. silver futures contract SIcv1 lost 2.8 percent to $34.30. Spot platinum suffered its worst one-day loss in a month with a 3-percent slide. Spot palladium fell 3.3 percent to $642.22. In the days ahead, investors will be watching a policy meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve, as well as a key Group of 20 meeting for coordinated efforts or pledges to help stabilise world financial markets. |
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bsiong
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31-Oct-2011 10:32
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(Reuters) - Spot gold dropped more than 1 percent to $1,717.70 an ounce on Monday, after Japan's intervention in the foreign exchange market spurred a rally in the dollar and weighed on bullion prices.
Spot silver fell more than 1 percent to $34.78 an ounce by 0224 GMT. |
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bsiong
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29-Oct-2011 10:30
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Peter Schiff - Where Gold, Silver & the Dollar are Headed Next “Today the dollar is at an all-time record low against the Japanese Yen.  So you have a weak dollar, you have bond prices now headed lower, commodities up, stocks up, kind of across the board.  The message is get out of paper, get into stuff and the worst paper is dollars.  Even the euro as a currency is moving up against the dollar. I think we will come pretty close to hitting $2,000 on gold this year.  It would be hard for gold not to be above $2,000 in 2012.  I really think it would be unlikely that we wouldn’t see prices north of $2,000 next year.
“They may also be questioning the credibility, whatever credibility remains of the Fed.  So that could be the next real problem looming on the horizon.” When asked about silver specifically, Schiff stated,  “I like the chart on silver.  Silver has a lot of upside here.  They really couldn’t get it much below $30, that’s pretty solid support.  The only real resistance is up around $50.   We are going to eventually go through $50 so buy it now.  I have that special report, before you buy gold or silver from any dealer, go to my website (goldscams.com) and download that special report and make sure you don’t get ripped off.” Peter Schiff also gave us an update on what he is up to,  “I’m down here in New Orleans.  If you haven’t seen the youtube videos there’s a lot of youtube’s around now of my trip down to Occupy Wall Street.  There’s a lot of good stuff there.  There is a lot more footage coming because I was there for hours and hours, so this is just the beginning of it. 
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bsiong
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29-Oct-2011 10:24
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Ben Davies - One Chart Says it All, Extremely Bullish for Goldkingworldnews.com  |
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bsiong
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29-Oct-2011 10:21
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Closing Gold & Silver Market Report – 10/28/2011   October 28, 2011
GREECE DODGES A BULLET, BUT WILL THE U.S.? Precious metals have stayed steady in today’s trading. Gold is ending the week with its highest weekly gain in two months at approximately 6%. Credit Suisse said in a research note, “Beyond the very near-term we think economic fundamentals will be watched more closely again. In this context, we still think that gold looks the strongest in the near term given low interest rates and improving technical momentum.” Some feel that everything in the euro zone is going to be coming up roses from now on after the deal was reached, but Gilles Moec, Co-Head of Economic Research for Deutsche Bank, is taking things one step at a time.  “It’s not a silver bullet, but it makes things manageable to some extent.” Now that the news has turned some of its focus off of Greece and the EU, it has now fallen on the U.S.The world will be watching as members of Congress attempt to reach an agreement on how to reduce the country’s deficit. At 4:00 PM (CT) the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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bsiong
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28-Oct-2011 23:22
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bsiong
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28-Oct-2011 23:10
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Morning Gold & Silver Market Report – 10/28/2011   October 28, 2011
OPTIMISM OVER EUROPE REMAINS INVESTORS STILL WANT SAFE HAVEN In overnight trading, precious metals were down along with stock futures.    It seems that optimism over the EU debt deal remains, but not enough to continue the stock market’s rally.  Joshua Raymond of City Index explained that appetite for risk is still well-supported in the short-term, but that in the long-term, too many questions remain regarding the deal that was made.  When risk appetite is up, investors are more likely to move to equities instead of precious metals.  However, Jim Pogoda, formerly of Mitsubishi International Corp, says that  the source of the optimism could also be the reason gold prices are supported. “The European debt deal should help gold in two ways,” he said.  “For the non-believers, safe-haven buying should keep the market well bid.  For those thinking that impediments to growth have been lifted, the further stimulus [to the European Financial Stability Facility] should be viewed as gold-positive as well.” Another reason for the slight decline in metals this morning is likely profit-taking.  Gold is having its best week since August, which has prompted many investors to sell their holdings and take on riskier assets.  With the extra risk appetite in the air, Afshin Nabavi says, “People won’t give up their safe-haven investments,” which will continue to support the price of gold.  More countries are adding to their safe-haven investments by purchasing gold, as Thailand, Bolivia, Kazakhstan, and Tajikistan added 26.7 metric tons of gold to their foreign reserves in September. At 8:08 am (CT) the APMEX precious metals spot prices were:
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