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Straits Asia
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sfw2124
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06-Jul-2008 09:39
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Thanks and regards GT |
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yipyip
Master |
05-Jul-2008 03:32
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OCBC Research FY07 FY08F FY09F Turnover US$m 251.0 US$m 589.8 US$m 707.7 Net Profit US$m 28.6 US$m 161.6 US$m 177.5 EPS US$0.03 US$0.148 US$0.163 EPS Growth -42.6% 393.1% 9.9% PER 91.9x 18.6x 17.0x Net Div Yield 0.6% 3.2% 2.3% VS Reuters - Consensus Estimates Trend FY08F FY09F Sales SGD$m 824.25 SGD$m 1,296.15 EPS SGD$0.2219 SGD$0.4518 http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/estimates?symbol=STRL.SI |
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samloh28
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04-Jul-2008 20:47
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Straits Asia is definitely oversold. It should rebound anytime very soon next week. Its fundamentals are solid, by solid Australian parent company. Crude oil price at record US$146/barrel will only mean that Coal price as substitute for oil will only go up. Demand for coal is very strong especially these few years. Bulk of the supply goes to Indonesia, China. Business Times today reported that Jarkarta index down 3.9% on 3 July 2008 due to drop in coal price. But refer to today's Jarkarta index closing. It is up 28.14 pts or 1.25% to 2314.75 pts. The 2 Indonesian coal stocks PT Bumi Resources and PT Indo Tambangraya Tbk Megah which had dropped on 3 July 2008 as reported by Business Times, show strong rebound today. PT Bumi Resources jumped by 4.90%. And PT Indo Tambangray Tbk Megah shows price increase of 4.10%. Straits Asia is definitely oversold. Just be patient. Hold your shares and Big Boys will push it up to S$ 3.50 in short term or over S$ 4.00 in medium term. OCBC recommended Buy at S$ 4.80. |
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hercules
Member |
04-Jul-2008 20:24
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Time to look at this counter. and Noble group too. OVERSOLD www.investinsgx.com |
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nickyng
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04-Jul-2008 09:10
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hee...contra on this burger 3.04x5 yester and out today at 3.10 !! cheers !! damn so attracted to enter again yester at 2.98 !! but cant get it ! :D |
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Fishcake
Member |
04-Jul-2008 08:42
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If you look at the coal price, it is still >U$10 higher than last week average of $172. So the drop in share price is not only due to the coal price but also market sentiment....everyone rushing to exit. |
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speculator76
Member |
04-Jul-2008 00:55
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Now that the prices had created a new low, it will fall further to consolidate again. The next support will be around $2.85. If the price can maintain above $3, it will probably hit $3.25. | ||
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yipyip
Master |
03-Jul-2008 15:38
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Australian coal price to stay strong despite pullback Alex Wilson, Dow Jones Newswires | July 03, 2008 A SHARP pullback in benchmark Australian thermal coal prices is a natural correction after a recent surge, according to analysts. Market commentators also said prices in Asia were set to stay high with all the indicators pointing to ongoing tightness in the market. http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,23963477-5005200,00.html |
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yipyip
Master |
03-Jul-2008 12:41
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I think it is just a short term profit taking from the record coal price, the demand remains robust. (China relies on coal to fuel two thirds of its power plants) Fri, 16 May 2008, 11:30:28 SGT OCBC Rising oil and coal price. Recent rise in coal prices were a function of supply constraints from key coal supplying markets as well as port congestion issues, coupled with growing demand from countries such as China and India. The supply constraint issues have eased off slightly and this has allowed coal prices to pare off from the early 2008 levels. The high coal price at this stage should begin to flow into SAR revenues in FY08 and FY09. The present high price of oil could affect production cost, which in turn could result in some margin erosion. However, we had already taken this into consideration and factored in cost assumption of US$38 per ton for FY08 into our DCF valuations. Maintain BUY. We are maintaining our net profit estimate of US$161m for FY08, based on the recent significant spike in coal prices coupled with the substantial increase in production estimates. We are lowering our projected coal price from US$80 to US$68 per ton as per management guidance and maintaining cost at US$38 per ton in FY08. The drop in selling price offsets the revenue gain from the increase in production estimate, hence we are maintaining our BUY rating and target price of S$4.80. |
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EastonBay
Master |
03-Jul-2008 10:11
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0128 GMT [Dow Jones] Coal-related stocks in Singapore tumble in response to sharp fall in coal prices in Europe, U.S. Straits Asia Resources (AJ1.SG) down 9.2% at S$3.17 while Noble Group (N21.SG) down 6.1% at S$2.16. But decline may be mere knee-jerk reaction, as global coal demand remains robust. Local house dealer eyes support for Straits Asia at S$3.00, adds weakness may be opportunity to accumulate as industry fundamentals remain positive for sector; "we do not see any easing in the oil prices in the short to medium term. Higher oil prices potentially make coal a more attractive power source." Near-term support for Noble at S$1.93, based on 61.8% retracement of rise to 52-week high of S$2.87 from August 2007 low of S$1.35. (FKH) |
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moneynoenough
Member |
03-Jul-2008 10:09
Yells: "ikan bilis " |
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wow.. jia lat liao.. more downside of coal futures? | ||
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speculator76
Member |
02-Jul-2008 10:54
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The support price will be at $3.35 follow by $3.30. If fall below $3.12 will create another low. | ||
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
01-Jul-2008 23:59
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UPS has upped its tp for Straits Asia Res to $5.80 from $5.60. | ||
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speculator76
Member |
01-Jul-2008 10:09
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This counter has been quite speculative recently. The rumours is not untrue, as there was a saying if there is no fire how can there be smoke. It can be seen that big lots are selling at a lower price while small investors are still buying it. Please be caution of this stock even though it has a potential to go up. It can be noticed that speculators/punters are pushing up the prices when it reaches quite an amount, they will sell down the stock. The price has raised too much from a price of $0.705 to the present of $3.50 and some brokerages are raising the price target to $4.10. I think this brokerages will sell down will its almost reach this price target. Trade with cautious. | ||
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
26-Jun-2008 01:11
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Straits Asia is on target to produce approximately 9.0 million tonnes of coal in 2008, with approximately 5.0 million tonnes and 4.0 million tonnes contributed by the Jembayan and Sebuku mines respectively.
They have experienced strong production performances during 1Q08, which has traditionally been a wet period and the weakest quarter in production terms. Straits Asia produced 1.20 million tonnes and 0.95 million tonnes from Jembayan and Sebuku respectively during this quarter.
They continue to invest in on-mine infrastructure to increase production capacity at both mines, with the installation of a 2nd wash plant at Sebuku and the increase of coal stockpiling and barge loading facilities at Jembayan well underway. This capital expenditure will be adequate to increase their total annual production capacity to 19.0 m tonnes (11.0 m tonnes and 8.0 m tonnes at Jembayan and Sebuku respectively). They are therefore well placed to have the ability of producing approximately 14.0 m tonnes per annum in the medium term and additional production beyond that. They remain confident that their '09 production levels will meet their target of 11 m tonnes.
They note recent market speculation about the perceived risks relating to the boundary extension at Sebuku being delayed as a result of alleged corruption investigations into the Indonesian forestry department. Straits Asia firmly believes that no such investigations (if they exist) have any relevance to the process being followed by Straits Asia. Straits Asia is in the final stages of its approvals process and continues to make progress towards its approvals at Sebuku being granted. Although there can be no certainty, Straits Asia is confident based on the current process that the Sebuku approvals will be concluded before the end of the '08 calendar year.
The integration of Jembayan has gone smoothly and they're spending much effort on drilling out the Jembayan resource.
The market price for seaborne thermal coal has continued to remain robust, driven by strong demand from end users. It was previously communicated that Straits Asia has committed and priced approximately 7.9 m tonnes of its '08 production. They have since then taken advantage of the strong market conditions and reported that approximately 9.0 m tonnes of '08 production has now been committed at an average price of US$70.50 per tonne. Approximately 1.9 m tonnes of their '09 production (which mainly relates to the extension of certain '08 contracts) has already been committed at an average price of US$66.00 per tonne. The balance of '09 production remains unpriced and accordingly the Company is very well placed to take full advantage of these strong coal market conditions. |
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
26-Jun-2008 00:59
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Credit Suisse says Straits Asia Resources is oversold, trading at good entry point vs peers after correcting by more than 23% over past two weeks on concerns ranging from depleting reserves, escalating production costs, delayed resolution of forestry status. Says concerns include reserve life lowest among peers under house's coverage, but adds company not at imminent risk of depleting reserves. Notes share now trading at discount to almost all its Asian peers on 2009E P/E. Keeps at Outperform with $4.10 target price. | ||
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
19-Jun-2008 14:17
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Goldman Sachs starts Straits Asia Resources at Neutral, sets $4.70 target price. Broker is bullish on thermal coal cycle; "thermal coal is at the cusp of a stronger and longer upcycle as continued robust demand from emerging markets, unceasing supply constraints and relative attractiveness of coal to oil underpin high prices." But says as Straits Asia has large forward sales, its realized prices this year are likely to be lower than peers, cost inflation will have bigger impact on bottom line. Says volume growth expected to be strong in short-term but not without risk as some production premised on getting government approval. Adds hopes that company may be takeover target look misplaced as valuation not attractive enough. | ||
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gopaseth
Member |
16-Jun-2008 10:02
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Hi all why this share always on the downside now days? will it go up? up to how much it can fly?
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
03-Jun-2008 23:38
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Straits Asia climbed on talks of institutional buying. | ||
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zhuge_liang
Supreme |
02-Jun-2008 12:44
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The weekly index for coal shipped from Newcastle surged US$13.35, or 9.6%, to a new record of US$151.70 a ton in the week ended May 30. The price has more than doubled from US$56.35 a ton a year earlier. | ||
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