Sina Finance YORK October 1 morning news, according to Reuters starting Friday conducted a survey, most economists believe that the U.S. debt default probability is less than 10%. If the Democrats and Republican lawmakers failed to reach agreement on the budget bill, then the federal government will be partially closed Tuesday morning.

Told Reuters survey of 51 large banks and major research institutions in 40 economists believe that if the U.S. government partially closed on Tuesday, the U.S. government does not pay debts due this month, the possibility of less than a tenth.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack - Lu (Jack Lew) has said that if Congress does not raise the debt ceiling, then the Treasury will not be able to pay 17 October maturing debt.

The remaining eleven economists believe that the U.S. debt default probability greater than 10%, but no one thinks that more than 50%.

Rockwell Global Capital Peter Cardillo, chief market economist, said, " We think the U.S. government the possibility of default is zero, the government temporarily closed no lasting impact on the economy, the impact will not be great." (Ming Yu)

 

Sina Finance YORK October 1 morning news the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill Monday night that allows the government prior to the December 15 to maintain normal operations, but will be part of Obama's health care plan pushed back for one year.

The White House has said that if the House of Representatives passed the bill, Obama would veto it. Currently the government closed the distance remaining hours of the deadline.

House of Representatives requested that the Obama health care plan to force individuals to buy the insurance (or pay a fine) to postpone for one year terms.

If congressional Republicans and Democrats can not at midnight (12:00 GMT today) before the agreement on the budget, part of the U.S. government departments will be closed. (Ming Yu)