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SPC
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
25-Nov-2007 01:33
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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you will not make much on SPC at this moment as there is volatile issues. Keep out of the market and wait for the next turn. Cheers. |
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Blastoff
Elite |
21-Nov-2007 08:20
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Oil makes fresh run at $100Crude sets new closing high, rising over $3 a barrel, on refinery outages, falling dollar and Fed hints at further rate cuts.NEW YORK (AP) -- Oil prices rose sharply Tuesday, closing at a new record high and once again approaching $100 a barrel, as futures drew strength from a declining dollar, news of refinery problems and speculation that the Federal Reserve will again cut interest rates next month.Light, sweet crude for January delivery surged $3.21 to settle at $98.03 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, surpassing the previous closing record of $96.70 set Nov. 6. Crude rose as high as $98.30 earlier, just 32 cents shy of oil's all time trading high of $98.62, set Nov. 7. Gasoline prices, meanwhile, extended their decline at the pump. Oil futures, which offer a hedge against a weak dollar, picked up momentum as the dollar fell to a new low against the euro, and added to their gains after the Fed forecast slowing growth and tame inflation next year. Gas fell 0.5 cent overnight, retreating further from its most recent spike above $3. At a national average of $3.09 a gallon, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service, gas prices have fallen 2.2 cents in a little less than a week. Last week, many analysts predicted prices would instead rise another 10 to 15 cents a gallon to catch up with surging oil prices. "More than likely, [prices will] probably hold steady through the end of the year," said Fred Rozell, retail pricing director at the Oil Price Information Service. "But that doesn't mean you're going to see relief in terms of lower prices." Because gas prices are closely tied to the price of crude, pump prices could start rising again if crude does reach $100 a barrel, or higher. Oil peaked two weeks ago at $98.62 a barrel before pulling back to the low- to mid-$90s. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
19-Nov-2007 19:53
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Oil climbs towards $95 on U.S. dollar concerns Oil rose towards $95 a barrel on Monday, supported by a weak dollar and after some OPEC members pushed for action to stem their declining purchasing power. OPEC's heads of state summit in Riyadh ended on Sunday without signaling whether the producer group would agree to pump more oil at its December 5 policy meeting in Abu Dhabi. But of greater interest to investors was the push by Iran and Venezuela -- both locked in diplomatic rows with Washington -- for action to offset the falling value of their dollar-denominated oil revenues. U.S. light crude was up 74 cents at $94.58 by 4:46 a.m. EST. It rose more than $1 in earlier trade to $95.15. London Brent crude was up 70 cents at $92.32 after rising to $92.81. "OPEC talk about prices being undervalued and its concerns with the falling dollar are all filtering into the market," said Mark Pervan of ANZ Bank in Melbourne. "There are pockets of bullish news out in the market and no bearish news at all." While the weak dollar was omitted from the summit's final statement, traders say the growing concern over the U.S. currency's predicament could prompt OPEC to seek a higher price. Oil has slid from an all-time high of $98.62 a barrel struck on November 7, as traders fretted about weakening oil demand in the world's top consumer and U.S. crude stocks unexpectedly rose, although the looming winter has lent fresh support. Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said the market price of oil was still undervalued. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
16-Nov-2007 11:41
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Oil recovers to steady below $94 Oil was little changed at below $94 a barrel on Friday, in the wake of losses a day ago triggered by a surprise build in weekly U.S. crude stocks. U.S. oil (CLc1: Quote, Profile, Research) rose 9 cents to 8:54 p.m. EDT to $93.52 a barrel after dropping 66 cents on Thursday. Oil now stands 5 percent below the record-high of $98.62 a barrel achieved on November 7. Prices on Thursday had clawed back some of their losses as traders looked more closely at the details of the unexpected 2.8 million barrel increase in crude inventories. Analysts had predicted a decline of 800,000 barrels. <EIA/S> "A rebound in US crude stocks, due in part to a one-off backlog of imports, was...less bearish than it appeared, focused as it was on the relatively insulated West Coast," said Fimat energy analyst Antoine Halff. Some analysts said the prospect for tightening winter fuel conditions would keep prices supported. "Losses will be limited unless there is extra OPEC supply," said Gerard Rigby of Fuel First Consulting in Sydney. OPEC will not discuss output levels at a heads of state meeting on November 17-18, but officials said it will be on the agenda at the group's next policy meeting on December 5 in Abu Dhabi. Concerns high prices and economic problems in the United States might hurt consumption growth helped halt oil's record rally, as the U.S. data showed a 0.7 percent dip in demand over the last four weeks, compared with a year ago. Further disclosures of credit and housing problems in the U.S. added to the fears about slowing economic growth, knocking the Dow Jones industrial average 0.9 percent lower on Thursday, its sixth decline in the past seven sessions. (.N: Quote, Profile, Research) Producer group OPEC lowered its world oil demand growth forecast for the fourth quarter of this year partly due to the U.S economic woes, a downgrade that came just days after the International Energy Agency (IEA) slashed its demand outlook. Oil prices have surged nearly 40 percent since mid-August, as worries about winter supplies, the weakening dollar and geopolitical tensions drew fresh speculative investment. |
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
16-Nov-2007 09:22
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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Hi, Manikamiko. Cheers, time for coffee leow. Logout in 10 sec time. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
16-Nov-2007 09:21
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Oil falls as stock build eases supply worry Oil slipped on Thursday after a surprise build in U.S. crude inventories eased concerns of a supply shortfall as the top consumer heads toward peak winter demand season. U.S. oil (CLc1: Quote, Profile, Research) settled down 66 cents at $93.43 a barrel after dipping as low as $91.86 earlier. London Brent crude (LCOc1: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 42 cents to $90.94 a barrel. U.S. crude oil inventories rose 2.8 million barrels last week, government data showed, countering analyst expectations for an 800,000 barrel draw. The data pushed oil further from the record $98.62 struck last week. <EIA/S> Concerns high prices and economic problems in the United States might hurt consumption growth helped halt oil's record rally, with the U.S. data showing a 0.7 percent dip in demand over the last four weeks compared with a year ago. "Rather weak demand numbers are still showing up in the weekly data. That's reflective of the trend that we've seen and it is only going to add to the bearishness of the report," said Eric Wittenauer of AG Edwards in St. Louis. Producer group OPEC lowered its world oil demand growth forecast for the fourth quarter of this year partly due to U.S economic woes. "The U.S. consumer is facing headwinds from falling house prices, restrictions on borrowing and higher energy costs," OPEC said in its November Monthly Oil Market Report. Oil prices have surged nearly 40 percent since mid-August, as worries about winter supplies, the weakening dollar and geopolitical tensions drew fresh speculative investment. Consumer nations have called upon OPEC to increase production to ease supply worries, but cartel officials insist there is no shortage of oil for global markets. OPEC will not discuss output levels at a heads of state meeting on November 17-18, but officials said it will be on the agenda at the group's next policy meeting on December 5 in Abu Dhabi. "We haven't got the agenda yet but it will certainly be among the issues to be discussed at the Abu Dhabi meeting," Nigerian oil minister Odein Ajumogobia said. Further demand pressure could come if warm winter weather in the United States curbs heating oil use, and some experts forecast oil could fall further. "On balance, $90 is probably a little too high relative to oil's fundamental basis," said Stephen Thornber, head of global energy research at UK fund manager Threadneedle Investments. "Speculators have made a lot of money and coming towards the end of the year possibly they will look to lock in their gains and unwind some of their positions." The U.S. government on Thursday forecast above-normal temperatures from December through February in the Northeast, the largest heating-oil consuming region. |
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Manikamaniko.
Master |
16-Nov-2007 08:28
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I agree so much with AK Francis... :) |
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Livermore
Master |
16-Nov-2007 07:31
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Commodity prices have risen and this is partly due to the weakening of the US dollar. Nobody really knows how much oil is on earth. Even with much oil underneath, you still need to explore where oil is and drill it out. One of the irony is that due to the high cost of oil, it has led to high cost in exploration and investments to find oil. Looking from this point of view, oil price is likely to stay high as demand increases year by year and supply decreases yearly. The oil traders are also partly to blame for such high oil prices. |
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KiLrOy
Master |
16-Nov-2007 01:45
Yells: "I buy only what I can see." |
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Plenty of oil is very true. Fossil fuel will not be running out within the next one two decade. It is the carbon emission and due to the rackless usage of oil harming the environment which is of bigger concern. Personally I wish the oil price will retreat so that we who drives AND/OR take public transport will not have to bear the high transportation cost. |
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lynn89
Member |
16-Nov-2007 00:14
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Plenty of oil on this planet. I think this talk of $100 oil is just a trader's ploy. Time to take profit on SPC. Stay cash. |
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
15-Nov-2007 18:48
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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Basically, just leave the market at this moment. You shall return one fine day when the market wheather is cleared. Don't be happy when DJ up 300 over points. It merely decoration in US market. Nothing to happy about or worth to invest at this volatile moment. Since last Mon, I only logged in Internet for a while and go down Kopi Tiam for coffee and later for beer. You need not to earn everyday in the stock market. Time to leave, you leave and time to come in you invest, thats the basic principle of Investment. Cheers. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
15-Nov-2007 16:14
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Agree with Kilroy. That is why the volume is so low everyday as most had stayed sideline until dust had settled. Now even the price had reached its fair value, many will still wait for it to go down further to maximise their profit later and also to come out with lesser cash. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
15-Nov-2007 16:05
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Oil steady ahead of expected fall in U.S. inventory Oil eased below $94 on Thursday after rebounding a day earlier on expectations that U.S. inventories fell again last week, and as an OPEC output increase appears off the cards for this month. U.S. light crude for December delivery (CLc1: Quote, Profile, Research) shed 18 cents to $93.91 a barrel by 2:06 a.m. EST after rising almost $3.00 in the previous session. London Brent crude (LCOc1: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 35 cents to $91.01. U.S. crude oil supplies are likely to have fallen again last week for the fourth consecutive time, as rising margins spurred refinery activity, a Reuters poll of 13 industry analysts showed ahead of U.S. government data later on Thursday. <EIA/S> The poll showed expectations for a drop of 800,000 barrels in crude stocks and a decline of 100,000 barrels in distillate inventories, including heating oil. The government data were delayed this week due to the federal Veterans Day holiday on Monday. Falling stocks, a low dollar, investment flows from less-well-performing equities, as well as geopolitical tensions, have fuelled the latest rise in oil. Prices have jumped by more than 50 percent so far this year. The head of the International Energy Agency, Nobuo Tanaka, said on Wednesday oil stocks were at "worrisome" levels and that he hoped oil-producing countries would listen to market signals. But members of the OPEC producer cartel have blamed speculation and not supply shortages for the record prices, and have confirmed they will not discuss raising crude output at a heads-of-state meeting on November 17-18. Oil ministers of Algeria and Iran said on Thursday oil prices would probably not fall even if OPEC raises production when it meets in December, since the market is being supported by factors other than supply. OPEC's next meeting is due on December 5 in Abu Dhabi. OPEC already agreed in September to raise output by 500,000 barrels a day from the start of this month, although analysts have said the rise was not enough to stem depletion in consumer stockpiles and that it failed to halt soaring prices. Concerns about demand helped knock oil off last week's record high above $98, with the IEA earlier this week sharply cutting global demand growth forecasts and saying that high prices were already curbing consumption. And the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday it was not inevitable that crude costs will reach $100 a barrel. The EIA actually believed oil prices would trend downward, its chief, Guy Caruso, said. |
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KiLrOy
Master |
14-Nov-2007 15:05
Yells: "I buy only what I can see." |
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I think most would still like to buy low sell high BUT there is this fear that the stock price may drop further due to recent weak market sentiment and volatility thus staying sidelined first. Probably a good idea to let the dust settle a little (await consolidation period) but dont wait too long. :) |
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chinkiasu
Master |
14-Nov-2007 09:57
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Hi Francis, I dont follow the logic... if you believe SPC will pay at least 50cts divvy in Feb, surely $7.60 is a good price to buy the shares now. If we wait till Feb, the price may no longer be $7.60?? btw, good to know you are blessed with children who are working... |
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AK_Francis
Supreme |
14-Nov-2007 01:50
Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers." |
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Don't touch SPC at this moment, though DJ now is up 169 pts. Just to recall on 15 Oct 07 when Crude Oil was US 8.15 SPC was $8.15 as will. Today SPC is $7.60 whereas crude oil is till above US 90. What you think? Be patient, as at this moment the stock market is so volatile, for SPC my advice is to wait until mid Feb 08, to buy in SPC as SPC will announce its end of yr result and at the same time to declare the record high devident, at least 50 cents. Hence, no hurry, these few months just relax lah, go for tour with your family duirng the coming holidays. For me, my son already working as Engineer and my daughter last yr in poly till next Feb 08. I will not pick up any stocks at these coming month, ha, I will go, may be Batam or Bali for short holiday. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
13-Nov-2007 21:56
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Oil drops over $1 after IEA cuts demand outlook Oil fell more than $1 on Tuesday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its forecast for world oil demand growth, saying that the recent surge in oil prices had already hurt consumption. U.S. light crude for December delivery (CLc1: Quote, Profile, Research) shed 83 cents to $93.79 a barrel by 6:40 a.m. EST, while London Brent crude (LCOc1: Quote, Profile, Research) fell 81 cents to $91.17. The IEA sharply reduced its forecast for oil demand growth through the rest of 2007 and into 2008, saying oil's march towards $100 was already slowing consumption. "It's not surprising that oil prices are retreating. There's a bit of worry about demand in the U.S., which has suffered from the subprime crisis," said Lawrence Poole, an energy analyst at Global Insight, a consultancy in London. The IEA, the adviser 26 industrialized consumer nations which already revised downward its forecasts in October, cut its prediction for fourth quarter demand growth by 570,000 barrels per day (bpd) and by 180,000 bpd in the first quarter of 2008. Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said there would be no OPEC output policy decision at the group's Riyadh summit. "This is not the place to focus on price, incremental production or a decrease," Naimi told a news conference. OPEC's next policy meeting is on December 5 in Abu Dhabi. The OPEC summit in Riyadh brings together heads of state for the first time since 2000, when oil was at $30 a barrel. Algerian Energy and Mines Minister Chakib Khelil said on Monday the event will call on consuming nations to play their part in bringing down record oil prices that are increasingly influenced by financial markets. Analysts said the expiry of options on the December contracts on Tuesday could offer some support for oil prices, but the market could tumble soon after as speculators scramble to exit the main December contract ahead of its Friday expiry. "There's been a lot of volatility," said Poole. "The major financial institutions are engaging in speculative trades in oil, building positions. They were responsible for pushing the prices up to a level which is not supported by supply and demand fundamentals." U.S. oil has fallen about $4 from its record of $98.62 a barrel last Wednesday, weighed down by profit-taking on concerns of a slowing U.S. economy and signs that OPEC may finally take action to stem a more than one-third rise since mid-August. A rebound in the U.S. dollar, which on Monday posted its biggest one-day gain versus the euro in over a year, helped pull down crude oil futures, although it lost some of that ground against a basket of currencies in Tuesday trade. (.DXY: Quote, Profile, Research) Traders will also be focusing on the weekly U.S. crude inventory data, which will be released a day later than normal on Thursday because of the Veterans Day holiday on Monday. A preliminary Reuters poll shows analysts expect a 1.0 million-barrel drawdown on crude stocks, a 700,000-barrel decline in distillate inventories and a 400,000-barrel drop in gasoline supplies. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
12-Nov-2007 23:08
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NYMEX crude drops on talk OPEC may consider boost NEW YORK, Nov 12 (Reuters) - U.S. crude oil futures retreated on Monday on news from Saudi Arabia that OPEC may discuss an output hike at the upcoming heads of state meeting. Oil traders were expecting a volatile trading week, with NYMEX December crude contract options expiring on Tuesday, inventory data delayed until Thursday and the December contract's expiration on Friday. On the New York Mercantile Exchange at 9:33 a.m. EST (1433 GMT), December crude <CLZ7> was down $2.44 or 2.53 percent at $93.88 per barrel, trading from $93.66 to $96.20. Wednesday's $98.62 intraday high was a record. In London, December Brent crude <LCOZ7> was down $1.83 or 1.96 percent at $91.35 a barrel, trading $91.07 to $93.46. "Today's downward move is specifically tied to the stronger U.S. dollar and a lot of noises coming out as to what OPEC may or may not do in the coming weeks," said Nauman Barakat, senior vice president at Macquarie Futures USA. Saudi Arabia said on Sunday that OPEC will discuss an increase in output at the OPEC heads of state meeting in Riyadh on Nov. 17-18. The group's oil ministers hold their next formal conference on Dec. 5 in Abu Dhabi. [ID:nL11249643] "This is premature but we will discuss the issue when we meet," Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi told reporters after discussions with his Kuwaiti counterpart. The acting oil minister for Kuwait said that OPEC will consider increasing output if the markets need it. On the sidelines of the World Energy Congress in Rome, Qatari Energy Minister Abdullah al-Attiyah said he was not expecting a change in output to be decided in Riyadh. Saudi Arabia will keep term-crude supplies to Asian and European refiners for December steady at November levels. [ID:nSP59702] Troops repelled an armed attack on one of Nigeria's largest oil export terminals on Monday, industry sources and officials said. [ID:nL12400573] Norway's StatoilHydro <STL.OL> and BP <BP.L> <BP.N> resumed North Sea oil production from fields shut on Thursday because of a storm. [ID:nL12236255] NYMEX December heating oil <HOZ7> was down 4.52 cents or 1.73 percent at $2.5736 per gallon, trading from $2.5610 to $2.6220. Heating oil struck a record $2.66 on Thursday. NYMEX December RBOB <RBZ7> was down 5.89 cents or 2.4 percent at $2.3974 a gallon, trading from $2.3875 to $2.45. |
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Pinnacle
Master |
11-Nov-2007 21:39
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Oil rises above $96Oil rose above $96 on Friday on winter fuel supply concerns, a tumbling U.S. dollar and big options positions betting oil could strike $100 next week. U.S. crude settled up 86 cents at $96.32 a barrel, off earlier highs of $96.68. London Brent crude climbed 39 cents to $93.18. Oil struck a record $98.62 a barrel on Wednesday as falling inventories in consumers nations stirs worries of a supply shortage during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Support has also come from a large volume of options positions for $100 oil on the New York Mercantile Exchange still open despite the expiration on Tuesday. Experts said that with 42,000 options contracts to buy oil at $100 still open, financial players may try to push oil into triple digits ahead of the expiration. "I think the one thing that people are continuing to eye is the options expiration," said Eric Wittenauer, analyst at AG Edwards in St. Louis. "I think people would be hesitant to sell into this market." Oil prices could tumble though once the options expire, Lehman Brothers said in a research note. While concerns about the economic health of top oil consumer the United States helped drag down prices from Wednesday's record, low inventories of crude in consumer nations continue to support. European distillate stocks fell for the fifth month in a row in October, while the giant U.S. market remains tight. "U.S. crude oil inventories have continued to fall counter-seasonally," Barclays Capital said. "The seasonal swing in demand will put further pressure on stocks," it said. "Even if OPEC raises production further in December, the effect of the increase will not be felt in consuming regions until well into the first quarter of 2008." At least nine oil and gas platforms in the Norwegian part of the North Sea had shut due to a storm overnight on Thursday, but operators were restarting fields on Friday. The weak dollar, which has helped boost the oil price, hit record lows against the euro on Friday as Bernanke's comments increased expectations of another cut in U.S. interest rates. The dollar's slide has helped maintain the allure of crude for financial investors and speculators who have helped lift oil by 40 percent since mid-August. "Investments in commodities continue to grow," said a Bank of America research note. "With the latest estimates putting the total capital tracking commodity indexes at $150 billion." |
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zhugeliang74
Member |
09-Nov-2007 23:11
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Wonder when the refining margins for SPC will goes up to $9 or not.....Then we can all look forward to SGD$10.00 |
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