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CoscoCorp

nickyng
Supreme

14-Apr-2008 09:17

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ayo...so gan cheong spider siah....relax lah..

Time	Last	Vol	Buy/Sell
09:16:57	2.860	3	S
09:16:47	2.850	2	B
09:16:39	2.850	2	S
09:16:37	2.850	10	S
09:16:36	2.850	5	S
09:16:36	2.840	2	B
09:16:35	2.850	20	S
09:16:34	2.840	1	B
09:16:32	2.850	5	S
09:16:29	2.840	3	B
09:16:25	2.850	50	S
09:16:23	2.850	2	S
09:16:21	2.840	1	B
09:16:17	2.850	100	S
09:16:12	2.850	3	S
09:15:58	2.840	5	B
09:15:49	2.840	2	B
09:15:33	2.840	5	S
09:15:31	2.840	17	B
09:15:29	2.840	225	S

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louis_leecs
Elite

14-Apr-2008 09:02

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Yells: "half cash"

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support gone,,,,,,,,,shortist is back,,,,,,,,,run first.....im not vest,,,,,1000% cash is king

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louis_leecs
Elite

14-Apr-2008 08:55

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Yells: "half cash"

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heavy rainning day coming,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,avoid buy,,,,sell first,,,,,wait inside chamber,,,,,,,,,,,,prepare the worst

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ruanlai
Master

14-Apr-2008 07:17

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QDII will give this counter a strong support....

Today is the opportunity to buy, esp first 5 minutes panic sell create great opportunity.......to buy....

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lookcc
Master

14-Apr-2008 01:18

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Uncle AK, same view as yours.

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AK_Francis
Supreme

14-Apr-2008 01:14

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Yells: "Happy go lucky, cheers."

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Market is crazy now. I think we can't use the conventional methods of line and graph to deduce stock's strenght. Today market, how fast you can run, just run leow, my view.

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des_khor
Supreme

14-Apr-2008 00:36

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Yells: "Tell me who is the God or MFT from this forum??"

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just don't understand this counter from it's low less than a dollar few years back to the high 8 dollars .... can a company growth so fast ?? very obviously overprice for long enough ! it time to go back to reasonable level.....

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Naproxen
Veteran

13-Apr-2008 23:42

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Well said bear !!!

Stupidbear ( Date: 13-Apr-2008 14:09) Posted:

IF analysts are so good, they would not be working for their firms.

Get what I mean. Ha!

Buy buy buy! Crap!

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welfare
Member

13-Apr-2008 21:34

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Hopefully Cosco will cheong all the way from $2.93

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DnApeh
Master

13-Apr-2008 20:22

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My own analysis:

using closing prices, join 17 Aug(3.9) and 17 Mar(2.88) to form neckline of this top pattern. Breakdown is at 2.75 if happens this week.

I will short it if this happens.

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freeme
Elite

13-Apr-2008 20:08

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Judging from TA, if they break 2.7, it will go lower..

jackjames ( Date: 13-Apr-2008 18:14) Posted:

Taking cosco's high of 2.96 on the 11th, means a comparative lowest low possible for cosco is ~2.28 in the next 14 trading days.

I wish elfichilde is correct..... I want 2.28 ! cheap cheap.....

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jackjames
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13-Apr-2008 18:14

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Taking cosco's high of 2.96 on the 11th, means a comparative lowest low possible for cosco is ~2.28 in the next 14 trading days.

I wish elfichilde is correct..... I want 2.28 ! cheap cheap.....

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Stupidbear
Senior

13-Apr-2008 14:09

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IF analysts are so good, they would not be working for their firms.

Get what I mean. Ha!

Buy buy buy! Crap!

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elfinchilde
Elite

13-Apr-2008 12:31

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technically, cosco is a cut because it has just begun a new downtrend. if you compare its charts from mar 25 to apr 10, it's similar to yzj from feb 6 to mar 3. (1.01 to low of 0.78 before recovery to present day).

that's a ~23% drop before recovery. (the following for short term only):

Taking cosco's high of 2.96 on the 11th, means a comparative lowest low possible for cosco is ~2.28 in the next 14 trading days.

By fibo count: 2 waves to this fall. first support at 2.77.

Then either a tech rebound to sub $3, or a fall to 2.36 possible. Which direction will depend on the speed of the meltdown and the direction of the volume.

Still too early to be hunting for value, if one's a serious investor.

Cosco is not a value investment, btw. it's a growth stock. If you're talking about genuine value, then note that cosco's current NAV is only 42c. Even if it were to grow at the same pace, ie, 86% increase in profit and NAV increase of 140% (FY06 NAV = 30c, FY07 NAV = 42c, assume FY08 = 58.8c), then fair value fully rated book to price at 3x for cosco is only 1.76, taking into account future earnings.

Also note that all the Houses have been calling a buy on cosco, yet if you read the fine print, they've been reducing profit targets. From a high of $9++ in just dec, to now, DBS's target of $4, as another forumer posted below.

All the while, Houses calling buy, buy, buy, outperform, outperform, outperform.

Meanwhile, shall we be rational and look at the charts? ie, see what is, not what you want to see, or what others tell you:

Cosco on dec 3rd = 6.7. (We'll give a chance and ignore the sudden tanking from the 9th of Apr as overenthusiastic shortists.)

Cosco on apr 4th = 3.6.

Let the techs speak for themselves. The trend above all else.

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Stupidbear
Senior

13-Apr-2008 01:26

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And when can u see this happening? 1 year 2 year or many many years later ? What then is the holding period?

As a matter ot fact, entry price is everything. There has to be a reason for such a scale of selldown.

Just my thoughts =)

suntze ( Date: 12-Apr-2008 18:57) Posted:

The sell down of this counter is over reacted. those who hold should not worry. COSCO is a strong company and China will soon take over Korea to become the world largest ship building base and take over Singapore to become the world largest rig builder. Do not worry about the price up and down in short trem, think about long term. My personally opinion is that the recent weak price opens a golden oppertunity for value investment.

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musante
Member

13-Apr-2008 00:36

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Beware of the STORMMMY WEATHERRR .....

Ahheeaadd....

Take Care...!!!

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louis_leecs
Elite

12-Apr-2008 23:48

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Yells: "half cash"

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durian dropping period,,,,,,,,,,must see ans sideline,,,,,,or take cover inside the chamber week,,,,,,,,caSH 100% PERIOD

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investor38
Senior

12-Apr-2008 22:16

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The selldown has already been quite substantial. Presumably, all the negative factors have been factored in. Analysts from so many different broking houses have such a wide range of estimate regarding its value. Whether Cosco's price will go up and down on Monday will be very much dependent on what the majority think of its value in the near term. If the majority, after these three days of 'cooling off' and further detailed analysis feels that it has been unfairly oversold then the stock will still rebound despite the correction in DOW. On the other hand, the broader market will invariably come down since many stocks have risen fairly substantially over the past two weeks for profit taking anyway.

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viruz7667
Senior

12-Apr-2008 20:29

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Looking at DOW closing, I trust tat the BBs will somehow find this opportunity to sell down to 2.7 or even 2.6 on Monday. I shall stay sideline at this moment as this stock made me loss 6k in juz two days :( If those got ability to hold for long term, can juz leave it. if not best is to cut losses. Maybe the price will hold until ex divvy or vice versa (pushing the price down and buy low before divvy).Nobody able to know whats nect move of BBs. Sighs

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suntze
Member

12-Apr-2008 18:57

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