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risktaker
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12-Jul-2012 08:28
Yells: "Sometimes you think you know, but in fact you dont" |
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Don't bet QE 3 to be announced in July .... I even say fed mins will be disappointing....What I mean is there will be QE3 for sure as long as situation doesn't improved and with the current outlook it will only get worst.... So we expect QE3 will most likely to be announced in sept.... Then if not it will be in oct for sure ..... Stock market will have temporary rebound ..... Don't bet on it .... Because the effects of QE are weaker and weaker ..... Market has to retest another low of 11000 and 2650 if not ..... There will not be any meaningful rally .... Earnings are slashed throughout the industry ... Many Coys are not growing which translate into high P/E .... Which means stocks are more expensive ...... The major bear will sure come out next year by feb-April 2013 ...... When all spending cuts are triggered in Europe and US.
I believed next year will be extremely tough for brokers And economy ..... The storm is about to hit us ..... The best prediction one could give a is 3-6 months ..... But still anything could happen within this period. Trade with care .... But I am quite sure we can survived this crisis ..... Dont panic too much too stocks still ok to buy but selectively .... Those big and depends on EU and US military contracts should avoid ..... Unless china gonna host another major event "olympic" or world cup.... It's unlikely the commodity demand will recovered to its 2007 peak where everyone is fighting for resources ...... Major global construction we experience in 2004-2007 is over and will not come back anymore ..... Market are still trying to degest all the excess property ..... Anyway I can't keep giving out candy .... U guys have to think smart and learn to connect.... Why I always call myself zhuge Liang ... Because I am small in the market unlike Zhou yu and cao cao .... Zhou yu and cao cao are rich they have money to move the entire market .... I am not .... My bet is peanuts comparing to them ... So I have to work hard and do my predictions .... Of course not 100% accurate but I am happy with my results ...... Dear forumers pls do not listen to Those people who keep saying STI to cross 3300 .... Economy is doing well in 2010 and we didn't even cross 3300 what makes them think it will when we are all slowing down ....... The either purposely say so hoping to suck in retailers or they are idiots..... IHH IPO coming last tip on 25 July ..... Buy healthcare sector stocks .... usually will move together...... |
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