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DOW & STI
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lookcc
Master |
21-May-2009 22:14
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n there is tremendous idle cash tat need 2 be put 2 work. | ||
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lookcc
Master |
21-May-2009 21:59
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but then again, can funds afford 2 miss shud rally continue. | ||
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lookcc
Master |
21-May-2009 21:56
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good 2 share opinions here. | ||
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ticklish8
Senior |
21-May-2009 21:26
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Dont want to post bearish view here. later kena shoot.... hehehehehehehe but something interesting to share http://seekingalpha.com/article/138867-fed-downgrades-economic-forecast-where-are-the-green-shoots-now Kudos to Ben Bernanke and Tim Geithner for orchestrating one of
the great public relations rallies of all time - certainly the best
spin-job I can remember. Why do I say "spin job?" Well, it seemed obvious
to me that during the entire rally off the March lows, the economic
news wasn't getting better, yet somehow America was force fed the term "green shoots"
and latched onto it as a sprig of hope for the economy. Never mind that
it's not even really up for debate that the economy continues to get
worse, the Green Shoots Brigade managed to get people to gorge
themselves on the concept of the second derivative - the slowing proliferation
of "badness." Of course, when you fall off of a cliff, your rate of
descent slows at some point - when you hit the ground - unfortunately,
you're still lying on the ground with a body full of broken bones - you
don't get up and start running again. The public was then somehow convinced that "less badness" is the same as "more goodness" and the fear of missing a rally resulted in people drinking the KoolAid and buying stocks with both hands. After the Administration managed to quite skillfully (and I actually mean this - no sarcasm!) leak out the "Stress Test" results over a period of a few weeks, determining that banks needed tens of billions of dollars in capital, the banks in question managed to raise the funds via secondary offerings, while at the same time seeing their stock prices rally. A truly masterful controlled release of bad news which was somehow spun into good news. Bernanke and Geithner managed to massage market sentiment to a point where it seemed nothing could harm the market. So back to the spin-job: after the bank stocks were talked up 100% off their lows (oh - I forgot that during this rally they released Q1 earnings which were pumped up by freebie P&L generated by sloppy AIG unwinds, and, in Goldman Sachs' (GS) case, by simply erasing the month of December in which they lost money), the banks sold tens of billions of dollars of new stock to eager investors. Then Bernanke released the hounds yesterday, noting quietly that the Fed had downgraded its economic forecasts. But wait - how can the Fed be downgrading its forecasts if we're being bombarded with "green shoots?" It comes down to a very simple recipe for a stew I like to call "plug your customer." 1) Take the truth and bury it for a while. 2) Tell your customer (in this case, private capital) that things are looking great, and that everything will be fine. In the words of Dealbreaker, "Nothing is fucked." Serve the KoolAid. 3) Once everyone has drunk the KoolAid, have the banks that need capital sell ample amounts of new stock to the eager and happy public, who are now drunk on Kool Aid and high from smoking green shoots. 4) When the capital raising is over, release your new economic forecasts, aka, THE TRUTH. Which brings us to the new forecast, released yesterday, now that the capital raising is done:
In case those numbers aren't clear to you - the Fed's new BEST CASE 2009 GDP forecast is equal to their prior WORST CASE forecast. The Fed's new BEST CASE scenarios for 2009 and 2010 unemployment are both worse than their prior WORST CASE scenarios (don't even worry about the fact that the 2009 unemployment forecast is already worse than the "really bad" case scenario in the successfully completed "Stress tests"). So much for green shoots - I guess now that the Fed has attracted the private capital it desired for the market, it decided there was no more need to perpetuate the lie. SOLD TO YOU, SUCKA! Enjoy those 1.25 BILLION new shares of BankAmerica (BAC)! Have fun with those 300+ million shiny new shares of Wells Fargo (WFC)! Green shoots!! Wait - I think that should be meeker, with a question mark, instead of an exclamation point: like Green shoots? Anyone? Anyone? Beuller? |
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lookcc
Master |
21-May-2009 21:22
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still bullish so long as dow >8,000. | ||
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Blastoff
Elite |
21-May-2009 18:49
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Stocks set to tumbleAnxiety about economic outlook hits sentiment. Markets around the world slump.By CNNMoney.com staff
LONDON (CNNMoney.com) -- U.S. stock futures fell Thursday, dragged lower by ongoing concerns about the economic outlook. At 5:15 a.m. ET, Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures were lower. Futures measure current index values against perceived future performance and offer an indication of how markets may open when trading begins in New York. U.S. stocks finished Wednesday's session lower after the Federal Reserve issued a gloomy forecast for the economy. Economy: Investors will digest a number of economic reports Thursday. At 8:30 a.m. ET, the Labor Department's weekly report on jobless claims comes out. A report on leading economic indicators comes out at 10 a.m. ET. A survey of regional manufacturing activity also comes out then. Companies: Auto finance firm GMAC is poised to receive a second bailout from the U.S. Treasury, according to the Detroit News. The newspaper said the company is due to receive $7.5 billion more in aid. World markets: Investors around the world were in a downbeat mood. In Asia, most shares finished lower. European stocks tumbled in morning trading. |
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Blastoff
Elite |
21-May-2009 18:47
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Anyone know whether there is any data coming out next week for DOW? | ||
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Blastoff
Elite |
21-May-2009 15:21
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SINGAPORE has lost its position as the world's second most competitive economy to Hong Kong, falling to third place in the latest competitiveness rankings.
The United States remains tops, according to a world competitiveness report of 57 countries conducted by Swiss-based business school IMD. The economies are ranked according to how the nations and businesses are 'managing the totality of their competencies to achieve greater prosperity', said the IMD, which released the rankings on Wednesday. It added that competitiveness is not just about growth or economic performance, but should take into account the 'soft factors' of competitiveness such as the environment, quality of life, technology and knowledge. IMD said this is why economies such as those in the US, Japan, the United Kingdom, Nordic economies and small, open ones like Singapore, Hong Kong and Switzerland are able to maintain their rankings in the top league despite short-term disruptions. In a free-fall economy, competitiveness is also about how countries can resist adversity and show resilience to weather the storm, said IMD. Among the Asean countries, Indonesia made a quantum leap, moving up nine places to 42nd, Malaysia went up a notch from 19th to 18th, and Thailand from 27th to 26th. In East Asia, China fell three places to 20th. It did not perform very well in areas including international investment, business legislation, management practices, health and environment. Taiwan also fell 10 place to 23rd place, from 13th a year ago, while South Korea moved up from 31st to 27th. IMD said the report took into account that the rankings were based on a majority of statistics from 2008, especially the growth period of early last year, and countries entered the economic crisis at different times. IMD, which provides the well-known reference to analysing and ranking the competitiveness of nations every year, has been studying it for more than 20 years. |
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Blastoff
Elite |
21-May-2009 15:08
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SINGAPORE'S economy put up a better-than-expected showing in the first quarter due to manufacturing and financial services, sparking fresh hope that the worst is over.
However, while the economy is likely to have bottomed out and may not need a second stimulus package, there are still no strong indications of a decisive turnaround. New data released by the MTI on Thursday showed that Gross Domestic Product contracted 10.5 per cent from the same period last year. This was better than the Government's earlier estimate of an 11.5 per cent plunge announced last month. GDP fell 14.6 per cent in the first three months compared with the previous quarter, better than the 19.7 per cent plunge given in last month's advance estimate. 'We seem to have hit the bottom and things are not likely to get worse from this point on,' said MTI Second Permanent Secretary Ravi Menon. MTI is maintaining its economic forecast range of -6 per cent to -9 per cent for this year, saying there have been 'no new major' systemic risks to the world economy apart from the Influenza A (H1N1) outbreak since its last revision. The latest data presented 'a less pessimistic picture' compared to the advance estimates released last month, it said. Citigroup economist Kit Wei Zheng said: 'The data should convince skeptics that the most pessimistic scenario has been kept at bay, and a more nuanced view is warranted.' Trade agency IE Singapore said exports declined by 26 per cent in the quarter from the previous year. It kept its earlier projection that exports is expected to contract between 10 and 13 per cent this year. Singapore's total trade is tipped to shrink between 22 and 25 per cent this year. |
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Blastoff
Elite |
21-May-2009 12:05
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SINGAPORE'S total trade fell by a seasonally adjusted 14 per cent in the first quarter, less than the 18 per cent contraction the previous quarter, according to data released by trade promotion agency IE Singapore on Thursday morning. But on a year-on-year basis, total trade shrank by 28 per cent in the first three months, compared to the previous quarter's decline of 9.6 per cent. Non-oil domestic exports dipped by 7.4 per cent in 1Q, following a decline of 11 per cent in the last quarter of 2008, while on a year-on-year basis, NODX declined by 26 per cent, against the previous quarter's drop of 18 per cent. IE Singapore said total external trade declined by 14 per cent in the first quarter, at a slower pace than the 18 per cent contraction in the fourth quarter of 2008. Compared to a year ago, total external trade contracted by 28 per cent. The level of total trade reached $165 billion in the first three months of the year. The year-on-year decline in 1Q can be attributed to lower oil and non-oil trade, said IE Singapore. Oil trade contracted by 39 per, compared to the same quarter a year go. |
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rodney301
Member |
21-May-2009 08:56
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but GDP contracts at a slower pace. this is much better than the Q1 forecast. here's the link for the article:D http://bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aYx33A71IvZs&refer=home |
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freeme
Elite |
21-May-2009 08:48
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sti should open in red. if it shouldnt have a heavy fall as many are still at sideline to buy dips. | ||
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Blastoff
Elite |
20-May-2009 22:14
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Stocks get a boost at the openHigher oil, Geithner comments help lift markets.By CNNMoney.com staff
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Stocks opened higher Wednesday, as oil prices rose to a six-month high and Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner addressed Congress. The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) was up 0.8% shortly after the opening bell. The S&P 500 (SPX) index gained nearly 1%. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) advanced 0.6%. Shares of energy producers rose as oil prices held steady above $61 a barrel ahead of weekly inventory data. Bank stocks also advanced following Bank of America's $13.47 billion stock sale. BofA gained nearly 6%. Stocks finished Tuesday's session mixed after a report showed an unexpected drop in homebuilding. Banks: Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner was testifying before the Senate Banking Committee about the government's bank bailout program. In prepared remarks, Geithner said there were "welcome signs" that the financial system was recovering, but that more improvement was needed. After the close Tuesday, Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) said it has raised $13.47 billion through a sale of stocks. The bank has issued 1.25 billion shares since Friday at an average price of $10.77. BofA needs to raise $33.9 billion to meet the government's stress test requirements. Economy: President Obama's special economic advisory group is due to hold its first public meeting. The task force, led by former Fed chief Paul Volcker, is expected to discuss green jobs and energy. At 2 p.m. ET, the Federal Reserve issues the minutes from its last policy meeting. Investors will be looking for clues about the economic outlook. The House takes up a bill Wednesday that imposes greater restrictions on the credit card industry for raising fees and interest rates. The Senate passed the bill Tuesday by a 90-to-5 margin. President Obama has said he wants it on his desk before Memorial Day. Also today, the Senate's Special Committee on Aging will hold a hearing on the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., which is reportedly facing a $33.5 billion deficit. Companies: Retailer Target (TGT, Fortune 500) reported that first-quarter profit fell to 69 cents per share, a 7% decline from 75 cents a year earlier. The results topped analyst expectations of 60 cents per share, according to a consensus from Thomson Reuters. Late Tuesday, PC maker Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) reported quarterly results that were in line with Wall Street's estimates. The company also said it would cut 6,400 jobs, or 2% of its workforce. World markets: Most market in Asia finished the session in positive territory. In Europe, major markets were mixed. Japan's gross domestic product fell 4% last quarter -- the fastest pace on record for the country, the government said Wednesday. The country's GDP was 15.4% lower than the same time period last year, according to figures released by the Cabinet Office. Oil and money: Crude prices rose to a six-month high, up $1.21 to $61.28 a barrel. Later in the day, the Energy Department is due to release its weekly report on fuel inventories. |
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lookcc
Master |
20-May-2009 20:10
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expect dow 2 close positive 2morrow morning. | ||
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lookcc
Master |
20-May-2009 20:05
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dow, hsi, sti very dependent on jobless claim number coming out 2morrow night. | ||
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Blastoff
Elite |
20-May-2009 20:01
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Stocks: More meandering on tapFutures mixed as oil prices climb to highest level in six months. Target, HP and banks in focus.NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- U.S. stocks were set for a mixed open Wednesday, as oil prices rose to a six-month high and investors pondering some corporate quarterly results. At 7 a.m. ET, Dow Jones industrial average and S&P 500 futures were higher, while Nasdaq 100 futures were lower. Futures measure current index values against perceived future performance and offer an indication of how markets may open when trading begins in New York. U.S. stocks finished Tuesday's session mixed after a report showed an unexpected drop in homebuilding. Art Hogan, chief market strategist at Jefferies & Co., said futures were "directionless" on Wednesday, due to a lack of market drivers. Economy: President Obama's special economic advisory group is due to hold its first public meeting. The taskforce, led by former Fed chief Paul Volcker, is expected to discuss green jobs and energy. At 2 p.m. ET, the Federal Reserve issues the minutes from its last policy meeting. Investors will be looking for clues about the economic outlook. The House takes up a bill Wednesday that imposes greater restrictions on the credit card industry for raising fees and interest rates. The Senate passed the bill Tuesday by a 90-to-5 margin. President Obama has said he wants it on his desk before Memorial Day. Banks: Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is due to testify before the Senate Banking Committee about the government's bank bailout program at 9:30 a.m. ET. Companies: Retailer Target (TGT, Fortune 500) is due to post its quarterly earnings before the opening bell. Late Tuesday, PC maker Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) reported quarterly results that were in line with Wall Street's estimates. The company also said it would cut 6,400 jobs, or 2% of its workforce. World markets: Most market in Asia finished the session in positive territory. In Europe, major markets edged higher. Oil and money: Crude prices rose to a six-month high above $60 a barrel. The price of oil was up 44 cents to $60.54 a barrel. Later in the day, the Energy Department is due to release its weekly report on fuel inventories. The dollar slipped versus the euro and the yen, but rose against the British pound. |
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Blastoff
Elite |
20-May-2009 06:39
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Stocks slog to mixed finishDow ends lower, Nasdaq edges up after housing data raise doubts about an economic recovery.The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) fell 29 points, or 0.3%, while the S&P 500 (SPX) index lost less than 2 points. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) gained about 2 points. Bank stocks showed early strength but gains faded near the closing bell. Shares of energy producers rose along with crude prices, which settled near $60 a barrel. After the close, tech bellwether Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) reported quarterly profit and revenue that was in line with estimates. Stocks have gained significant ground over the past two months on bets the economy is headed for a recovery later this year. The major indexes all rose about 3% Monday after ending the previous week lower. "On balance, we've got a market that has had an incredibly significant bounce from the lows of March 9 and is looking for new catalysts to go higher," said Art Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Co. in Boston. Among the potential catalysts for Wednesday's session: Federal Reserve meeting minutes from last month will give investors a glimpse into how the central bank views the economy. And retail heavyweight Target (TGT, Fortune 500) will report fiscal first-quarter financial results before the opening bell. While many analysts say the market is due for a pull back given the strength of the recent rally, Wall Street remains relatively optimistic about the possibility of moderate economic growth in the months ahead. "The general theme is that some recent reports are starting to show signs of stabilization in the decline, and that's providing some relief," said Ryan Larson, senior equity trader at Voyageur Asset Management in Chicago. In a sign the market is becoming slightly more confident, the CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, fell below the key 30 level for the first time since September. The so-called fear index hit an all-time high of 77 in October when the global economy was on the verge of a meltdown. Economy: The Commerce Department reported record lows for housing starts and building permits in April. Housing starts dropped nearly 13% to the seasonally adjusted annual rate of 458,000 from a revised 525,000 in March. Building permits fell 3% to an annually adjusted rate of 494,000 in April, from the revised rate of 511,000 in March. But the report had a bright spot. While multifamily dwellings declined sharply, starts and permits for single-family homes at the core of the housing market rose slightly. Many analysts said the decline in new home construction was positive since the residential real estate market is already overstocked with unsold homes. Banks: The Federal Reserve is in talks with a number of banks about repaying billions of dollars in government bailout funds they received under the Troubled Asset Relief Program. Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500), Morgan Stanley (MS, Fortune 500) and JPMorgan (JPM, Fortune 500) are among the largest banks that have applied to repay TARP money, sources told Reuters. The banks are rushing to return the funds to avoid what they say are restrictive policies and demonstrate to investors that they are financially healthy. Companies: Hewlett-Packard Co. reported a 17% drop in quarterly profit that still met Wall Street's forecasts. Sales fell 3% in the quarter. HP said its results were hurt by charges related to its purchase of tech services firm EDS. The stock fell 4% in after-hours trading. Earlier, home-improvement retailer Home Depot reported quarterly earnings that beat expectations. The company posted operating income of 35 cents per share, while a consensus of analyst forecasts from Thomson Reuters had expected 29 cents. Despite the report, shares of Home Depot (HD, Fortune 500) fell more than 5%. Shares of luxury retailer Saks (SKS) jumped 22% after it reported a smaller-than-expected quarterly loss and said it would continue to aggressively cut costs to offset declining sales. Credit card company American Express (AXP, Fortune 500) said late Monday that it would slash 4,000 jobs, or about 6% of its global workforce. Autos: President Obama announced stricter fuel economy standards aimed at cutting down vehicle greenhouse gas emissions. While many automakers welcomed the effort to make the standards more universal, analysts said consumers may be reluctant to shift to smaller, more efficient cars if gas prices remain relatively low. The national average price of a gallon of unleaded gasoline rose to $2.314, its 21th consecutive increase, according to a daily reading released by the motorist group AAA. Bonds: Treasury prices slumped, raising the yield on the benchmark 10-year note to 3.24% from 3.21% Monday. Treasury prices and yields move in opposite directions. Other markets: Stocks in Japan rallied, with the Nikkei gaining nearly 3%. India's benchmark SENSEX index closed moderately higher after a 17% surge in the previous session. European exchanges closed higher, with the DAX in Germany up 2.2%. In currency trading, the dollar fell against major international currencies, including the euro, the British pound and the yen. U.S. light crude oil for June delivery rose 62 cents to settle at $59.65 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose to a high of $60.48 in pre-market, electronic trading. COMEX gold for June delivery rose $5 to settle at $926.70 an ounce. |
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freeme
Elite |
19-May-2009 22:44
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tml can see sti break new high liao | ||
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Blastoff
Elite |
19-May-2009 22:15
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Stocks slump at the openMajor indexes stumble on disappointing housing reports after a big rally in the previous session.The Dow Jones industrial average (INDU) and the S&P 500 (SPX) index were down a few points shortly after the opening bell. The Nasdaq composite (COMP) lost 0.6%. Manus Cranny, market analyst at MF Global in London, said the pre-market reports on the housing market would have a major impact on Tuesday trading. "At our peril, should they disappoint," he said, before the reports came out and confirmed his fears. Stocks soared Monday as investors took an more upbeat view on the economy. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all gained about 3%, driven by an upbeat outlook from Lowe's (LOW, Fortune 500), and Goldman Sachs' (GS, Fortune 500) upgrade of Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500). Economy: The Commerce Department reported declines in April for housing starts and building permits. Housing starts in April dropped nearly 13% to the seasonally adjusted annual rate of 458,000, a record low, from the revised 525,000 in March. Housing starts were expected to increase to 527,000 units in April, according to Briefing.com consensus. Building permits fell 3% to an annually adjusted rate of 494,000 in April, from the revised rate of 511,000 in March. That was significantly below Briefing.com's expectations of a rise to 530,000. Companies: Home improvement retailer Home Depot (HP) reported quarterly earnings that beat expectations. The company posted operating income of 35 cents per share, while a consensus of analyst forecasts from Thomson Reuters had expected 29 cents. Credit card company American Express (AXP, Fortune 500) said late Monday that it would slash 4,000 jobs, or about 6% of its global workforce. On the tech front, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ, Fortune 500) is due to post results after U.S. markets close. Autos: Later Tuesday, President Obama is due to announce stricter fuel economy standards aimed at cutting down vehicle greenhouse gas emissions. World markets: Stocks in Japan rallied, with the benchmark Nikkei gaining nearly 3%. India's benchmark SENSEX index closed moderately higher after a 17% surge in the previous session. In morning trading, major European exchanges were higher. Money and oil: The dollar fell versus major international currencies, including the euro, the British pound and the yen. The price of oil rose 15 cents a barrel to $59.18 after climbing to a high of $60.48 in electronic trading. |
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cheongwee
Elite |
19-May-2009 18:38
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DOW 10000....read...not my make up
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