Latest Forum Topics / Straits Times Index | Post Reply |
News Update!
|
|
krisluke
Supreme |
25-Nov-2011 22:12
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
It is sometimes very easy to identify support and resistance points using Market depth. Having access to the market depth for day trading is an advantage as you can read where the big players position themselves and where the big sellers are during the day. The market depth is a constant moving grid of buyers and sellers orders in the market. Remember that there are two moving factors that move the market Demand and Supply. Let illustrate how you can determine using a combination of both market depth and technical analysis to determine the best price to get in a stock and how to protect yourself in the event your plan does not work.
As you can see above in the chart we have drawn for you what we belive is a short term support area. At the price of $4.00 in the past the price bounced and continued its upward movement. Now that the stock is going down it is expected that $4.00 is a psychological support point. If you refer to the market depth below the chart you can tell where the majority of buyers are waiting for the price to drop. Between $4.05 and $4.00 it is expected to be filled with buyers. The most enthusiastic buyers will  always position themselves above the big players. Let's just say you decide to place an order at $4.01. Your stop loss should immediately be 1 point below the big players or $3.99. If the big players get bought but sellers then the real support level is lower. Your plan should have stop you out of this trade. |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
25-Nov-2011 21:38
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Pivot: 2800 Our preference: Short positions below 2800 with targets @ 2576 & 2525 in extension. Alternative scenario: Above 2800 look for further upside with 2905 & 3010 as targets. Comment: as long as 2800 is resistance, likely decline to 2576. Key levels 3010 2905 2800 2643.93 last 2576 2525 2500 |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
|
|
krisluke
Supreme |
25-Nov-2011 21:37
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Pivot: 19000. Our preference: bearish below 19000 with targets @ 17200 16800. Alternative scenario: Above 19000 look for 19650 at first. Comment: the index may post a limited technical rebound before further downsides towards 16800. Trend: ST Ltd Downside MT Bearish, we have been bearish since 17 NOV 2011 (18491). Key levels Comment 20150 ** Horizontal resistance 19650 ** Horizontal resistance 19000 ** Pivot point 17978 Last 17200 *** Horizontal support 16800 * Horizontal support 16180 ** Horizontal support |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
24-Nov-2011 21:04
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Oil up towards $108 on stock draws, Iran
* Positive German IFO numbers offset some bond sale worries
  * U.S. crude stockpiles down sharply, providing support   * Middle East tensions continue, but Libyan output steps up (Adds fresh quotes, updates prices)   By Claire Milhench   LONDON, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose towards $108 on Thursday, helped by bigger-than-expected stock draws in the United States and tensions around Iran, while stronger German data offset some of the negative sentiment generated by Wednesday's poor bond auction.   Brent crude oil futures rose 71 cents to $107.73 a barrel at 1255 GMT after pushing up over $1 to an intraday high of $108.09.   U.S. crude was up 73 cents at $96.90 a barrel after earlier touching $97.18. But traders said volumes should be thin as the U.S. market is closed for the Thanksgiving holiday.   " We're due for a pretty quiet couple of days - the markets won't stray too far ... we are more likely to see a narrower trading range," said Tony Machacek, a trader at Jefferies Bache.   Crude stockpiles in the United States unexpectedly fell week-on-week by 6.2 million barrels as refinery rates rose and crude imports dropped, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. The consensus forecast was for a 500,000 barrel build.   " Oil is benefiting from the EIA inventory report which showed a surprisingly sharp draw in U.S. crude oil stocks, which have fallen below the five-year average for the first time this year," said Carsten Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.   " As we head into winter with the lowest stocks in several years on crude and heating oil/distillates this is keeping a floor under the prices," agreed Michael Poulsen, oil analyst at Global Risk Management.   Fritsch also pointed to recovering stock markets and a higher euro/dollar as more positive economic data from Germany helped offset some of the negative sentiment generated by Wednesday's failed bond auction.   The FTSEurofirst 300 was up 0.78 percent at 1229 GMT and the dollar was down 0.39 percent against a basket of currencies after German business sentiment rose in November for the first time since June.   The closely-watched IFO business climate index bucked expectations to rise to 106.6 from 106.4 in October .   The poor German bond auction had raised fears the eurozone debt crisis was beginning to threaten Europe's biggest economy. French President Nicolas Sarkozy will press German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Thursday to let the European Central Bank act decisively.   Speaking at a conference in Vienna, Fatih Birol, the International Energy Agency's chief economist, warned that the high oil price could " strangle" efforts to get the global economy back on its feet and may also hamper Asia's ability to help the West exit its crisis.   Given the negative economic backdrop, Fritsch said oil prices had held up reasonably well.   " I would have expected them to come under a lot more pressure," he said. " But tighter supplies and geopolitical risk regarding Iran are helping prices stay elevated."     MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS   EU countries have been discussing an extension of sanctions on Iran over its nuclear programme and France has been pushing for this to include a ban on imports of Iranian oil.   France is also seeking Arab support for a humanitarian corridor in Syria, the first time a major power has swung behind international intervention in the eight-month uprising against President Bashar al-Assad.   Meanwhile, in Saudi Arabia, two people have been killed and three wounded in an exchange of fire between Saudi security forces in the oil-producing Eastern Province and what the interior ministry called gunmen serving a foreign power.   But there were further signs that Libyan output was picking up pretty quickly following the end of the civil war, with its Mellitah Oil and Gas Company restarting production from the offshore Bouri field at a rate of 10,000 barrels per day.   The National Oil Corporation also issued a tender to sell up to one million barrels of Sharara grade crude oil, the first for this grade since production resumed.   (Additional reporting by Florence Tan in Singapore editing by James Jukwey) |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
24-Nov-2011 21:01
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Alibaba.com posts slowest quarterly growth in almost 2 yrs
* Q3 profit 409.7 mln yuan vs forecast 432.23 mln
  * Slowest profit growth in nearly 2 years   * Says cautious about global economic outlook   * Co focused on service quality rather than growth-analyst (Adds analyst quote, details)   By Melanie Lee   SHANGHAI, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Alibaba.com, China's largest e-commerce firm, posted an 11.9 percent rise in quarterly net profit, its slowest growth in nearly two years, with the company raising concerns due to a weak trade outlook stemming from debt woes in Europe and the United States.   The third-quarter results missed analyst forecasts and were attributed to a weak macroeconomic climate that led to a slower pace of customer additions.   " They are focusing on the quality of suppliers and also improving the overall quality of products that they are offering, such as some of the newer services to help buyers to check the quality of products before they are shipped," said Dick Wei, an analyst with JPMorgan.   " If you look at customer growth, there are no new initiatives and growth is not that top priority at this point," Wei said. " Revenue will pick up again later in 2012 or 2013."   Alibaba Group, parent of Alibaba.com, has seen a series of protests and dissatisfaction from its clients and suppliers.   Earlier this year, a significant increase in fraudulent transactions had caused a management reshuffle in Alibaba.com and prompted the e-commerce firm, one of the best known Chinese internet names, to step up supervision of suppliers.   This week, hundreds of sellers from Taobao -- which focuses mainly on consumer-to-consumer transactions -- protested outside the firm's Hangzhou offices, calling for the abolition of the website's feedback system, local media said.   Alibaba.com operates an e-commerce website that links Chinese businesses looking to sell their goods to overseas buyers. Alibaba Group, founded by billionaire Jack Ma, is 40 percent owned by Yahoo Inc.   Alibaba.com's exposure to international markets makes its turnover sensitive to the performance of the world's major economies such as the United States and Europe.   " The third quarter of 2011 presented a picture filled with challenges arising from the weaknesses in the U.S. economy and the debt troubles in the euro zone, which have threatened to spin out of control," Alibaba.com said in a statement.   " We are more cautious about the global economic outlook and believe that it may have a prolonged impact on China's export sector," the group said.   Growth in China's factory output is likely to fall slightly to between 12 and 13 percent in 2012 due to weakening global demand, the industry ministry said on Thursday, but that level probably still implies a comfortable GDP growth rate of 8 to 9 percent next year.   Fears that China may be set for a sharp slowdown flared again on Wednesday after HSBC's flash PMI survey showed the factory sector shrank the most in 32 months in November on signs of domestic economic weakness.   " Despite the stress posed by the external environment, we will stay focused on upgrading our business model and building quality, trustworthy e-commerce platforms," Alibaba.com Chief Executive Jonathan Lu said in a statement.     SLOWING PACE   Net profit for July-September rose to 409.7 million yuan ($63 million) from 366.1 million a year earlier, below an average forecast of 432.23 million from three analysts polled by Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.   Revenue grew 10.6 percent to 1.6 billion yuan and revenue from its international marketplace rose 11.8 percent to 947.5 million.   Revenue from its China Gold Supplier membership package was up 11.5 percent at 918.6 million yuan, contributing 57.3 percent to total revenue. Value-added services formed 30 percent of China Gold Supplier revenue in the quarter.   The number of paying members rose 4.9 percent to 787,653 compared with the same period last year. Subscribers for its China Gold Supplier and Global Gold Supplier packages fell 1.3 percent and 24.8 percent, respectively.   The firm said the slowing pace of customer additions and renewals was expected because of Alibaba.com's recent initiatives to beef up the quality of its membership base and a price hike in the beginning of the year.   Alibaba.com said pressure on membership renewal may continue in the fourth quarter as a special one-time offer granted to existing members to renew at an old lower price expires.   Alibaba.com, which competes with Global Sources Ltd , said in September it may spin off and publicly list its internet application services provider HiChina.   Alibaba.com shares were up 2 percent before the results. They have lost about 36 percent this year, compared with a 22 percent fall in the broader Hang Seng Index. ($1 = 6.3590 Chinese yuan) (Additional reporting by Twinnie Siu and Lee Chyen Yee in Hong Kong Editing by Vinu Pilakkott and David Holmes) |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
|
|
krisluke
Supreme |
24-Nov-2011 20:58
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
HK, China shares firm, short squeeze lifts HSI above chart support
* HSI up 0.5 pct, Shanghai Composite up 0.3 pct
  * Anticipation of China loosening spurs HK short-covering   * Financials, property plays see respite, lead gains   * Turnover low as global risk aversion stays high (Updates to midday)   By Clement Tan   HONG KONG, Nov 24 (Reuters) - Hong Kong shares reversed early losses to trade higher by midday Thursday, lifted by a bout of short-covering in some technically oversold stocks in weak turnover, with strength in defensives suggesting risk aversion remains high.   Agile Property Holdings Ltd jumped 9.1 percent after slumping 34 percent from a peak on Oct. 28, while China Resources Power Holdings Co Ltd was the leading percentage gainer on the Hang Seng Index, jumping 6.3 percent.   " Anticipation of policy loosening in China after the bad flash PMI yesterday is spurring some short-covering, but we also need to remember the Hang Seng Index has also moved in an about 1,000-point range this week," said Linus Yip, strategist with First Shanghai Securities in Hong Kong.   The Hang Seng Index was up 0.45 percent at 17,944.72 by the midday trading break, near the top of the morning's trading range after opening below the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of its rise from the Oct. 4 low to Oct. 28 high.   Gains were driven largely by Chinese banks, insurance and property counters, sectors that have seen heavy short-selling interest with uncertainty about the real extent of the slowdown in the property sector.   China's top two banks, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd (ICBC) and China Construction Bank Corp (CCB) were among the top boosts to the Hang Seng Index, gaining 1.9 and 0.8 percent, respectively.   A loss of more than 53 percent in 2011 to date has driven CCB's forward 12-month earnings multiples close to the lowest since its Hong Kong listing debut in 2006, according to Thomson Reuters Starmine data.   But at 5.8 times, it is still higher than its " Big Four" peer, Bank of China Ltd's 4.3 times. Bank of China edged up 0.8 percent in the morning, but is down more than 40 percent in 2011 to date.   Short-selling interest in CCB, however, remained high. Excluding Thursday, short interest averaged about 30 percent of its daily turnover.     SHANGHAI UP ON FINANCIALS, PROPERTY   The mid-morning reversal in Hong Kong also sparked the same on the Shanghai Composite Index, which was up 0.3 percent at 2,401.9 points at midday, but with A-share turnover was lacklustre.   Financials and property stocks also lent support, with the sub-index of financials listed in Shanghai up 0.9 percent and property plays up 0.8 percent, both relative outperformers.   ICBC was the top boost, gaining 1.2 percent. China Life Insurance Co Ltd, which has come under heavy selling pressure, gained 3 percent. Before Thursday, China Life Insurance had lost 6 percent since a peak on Nov. 15.   Expectations of monetary easing in the mainland was rife and drove gains, but they were tempered on Thursday by a local media report quoting the central bank saying its recent move to revise reserve requirements for several rural banks did not amount to a cut in their reserve requirement ratio. (Editing by Chris Lewis) |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
24-Nov-2011 20:57
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
China 5-yr IRS slips below 3 pct, ignores PBOC policy caution
* PBOC denies reports that it cut RRR for selective banks
  * Market leads c.bank in forecasting policy easing   * Slowing global, domestic economy seen paving way for easing   * Five-year IRS at 2.93 pct, effectively breaching 3 pct   By Lu Jianxin and Jacqueline Wong   SHANGHAI, Nov 24 (Reuters) - China's interest rate swaps dropped again on Thursday, with the benchmark five-year IRS effectively breaking through a main barrier at 3 percent, as the market shrugged off caution from the central bank that it had not eased monetary policy.   The People's Bank of China was quoted as saying on Thursday that a recent move to revise bank reserve requirement ratios (RRR) for several rural banks did not amount to a cut in their reserve requirements.   Sources told Reuters earlier this week that the PBOC had cut the RRR for five banks in the eastern province of Zhejiang, a centre for private enterprise, by 50 basis points to 16 percent to support the rural economy.   Some investors had speculated that the adjustment was part of a government campaign to relax monetary policy in some quarters of the economy. The talk gained traction after a manufacturing survey showed output at a 32-month low in November.   The market has bet that the PBOC will loosen monetary policy in the past few weeks, but the central bank has acted to cool down hopes of an immediate easing.   " Investors continue to factor in an expected PBOC policy easing in coming months no matter what the central bank says," said a trader at a Chinese stock brokerage in Shanghai.   " The idea is that a slowing global and Chinese economy will eventually enforce a monetary policy relaxation."   The five-year IRS fell 3 bps to 2.93 percent after it fell below support at Wednesday's close for the first time since October last year, when the PBOC launched a new cycle of monetary tightening to fight runaway inflation.   One-year IRS dropped 5 bps to 2.91 percent while the 10-year IRS lost 2 bps to 3.04 percent.   China's money market rates staged a correction after steep rises over the past week as the PBOC is injecting money into the market via open market operations this week.   The central bank refrained from draining money via government bond repurchase agreements on Thursday, and is on course to end the week with a net injection of 22 billion yuan ($3.5 billion) into the market.   Last week, the PBOC conducted a net drain of 2 billion yuan from the market, reversing a net injection over the previous two weeks, as it acted to cool hopes of an immediate policy easing, and that had pushed up money market rates to very high levels.   The weighted average seven-day repo rate fell to 4.1370 percent at midday from 4.3513 percent at Wednesday's close. The overnight repo rate was down at 3.9568 percent from 3.9769 percent while the 14-day repo rate dropped to 4.7059 percent from 4.8960 percent.   Current Prev close Change   (pct) (bps) 7-day repo 4.1370 4.3513 - 21.43 7-day SHIBOR 4.1050 4.3325 - 22.75 Note: Repo rate is weighted average.   ($1 = 6.36 Yuan) |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
24-Nov-2011 20:28
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
U.S. says hopes Iraq, Exxon can resolve dispute
* U.S. wants Iraqi oil industry to move forward
  * Says had pointed out risks to deals with the KRG (Adds quotes, background)   WASHINGTON, Nov. 23 (Reuters) - The U.S. State Department said on Wednesday it hopes Iraq and Exxon-Mobil Corp. will resolve their dispute in a way that will not undercut the future development of Iraq's oil resources.   Exxon is the first major oil company to sign an oil exploration agreement with the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in north Iraq, which is locked in a feud with the Arab-dominated central government over territory and oil rights.   A top Iraqi official said Tuesday that Baghdad may impose sanctions on Exxon before the end of the year because of its deal with the KRG.   " The continued rapid development of Iraq's oil sector is in everyone's interest and we look to the government of Iraq and Exxon-Mobil to resolve this issue in a way that will not impede future progress in this critical sector," State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said in a written response to a question asked at her briefing on Tuesday.   The State Department has said that it warned Exxon, and all major U.S. oil companies with whom it has had contacts, that there were significant risks to signing deals with the KRG before Iraqs passed a national oil law.   The oil legislation, which has been under discussion for years, would decide such vital issues such as the role of federal and regional authorities in regulating oil and gas development and how to share energy sector revenues.   The department said that it typically consults with U.S. companies doing business overseas but it declined to get into the details of its contacts with Exxon.   " We have always advised and continue to advise all oil companies, including Exxon-Mobil, that they incur significant political and legal risks by signing any contracts with the Kurdistan Regional Government before national agreement is reached on the legal framework for the hydrocarbon sector," Nuland added.   " We have been clear on this issue but, at the end of the day, U.S. companies make their own market-based decisions," she added. (Reporting by Arshad Mohammed editing by Philip Barbara) |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
|
|
krisluke
Supreme |
24-Nov-2011 20:26
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
U.S. withdrawal from Iraq: eight years worth of stuff
Sargeant Eric Ezzell of the Headquarters Battalion from the 25th Infantry Lightning Brigade grabs his duffel bag upon his return from Iraq to Schofield Barracks in Wahiawa
  BAGHDAD (Reuters) - At the peak of the United States' war in Iraq, the U.S. military had more than 170,000 troops, 500 bases replete with tents and toilets, kitchens and motor pools, and an airline that flew hundreds of times a day across the country.   Moving day has lasted more than a year.   The U.S. withdrawal from Iraq after nearly nine years of war is believed to be one of the largest removal jobs in history. At the start of the year logistics experts calculated there were nearly 3 million pieces of equipment to be moved, from airplanes, helicopters and tanks to laptops and lights.   " It is the largest move of military equipment we have done since World War Two," said Lieutenant Colonel Jerry Brooks, a U.S. military historian.   Soldiers, trucks and weaponry are streaming out of Iraq every day. From that peak of 170,000 troops, about 18,000 remain this week, with hundreds leaving daily. Virtually all will be gone before Christmas.   Since September 2010, around 2 million pieces of equipment have been redeployed, U.S. officials say, some back to the United States, others to Afghanistan or other locations.   By September 1, the clutter had been reduced to about 20,000 truckloads. This week, about 9,000 truckloads remained.   " It's not as glamorous as it was when you're out on patrol in a village, helping some young Iraqi, or building a school or capturing a terrorist. But it's historic," said Brigadier General Bradley Becker of the move out.   " Someday I truly believe that future military classes ... will study the logistics (of our) move out of Iraq."   PALACES EMPTIED   Closing down the Iraq war has meant shutting down the U.S. military bases, which numbered 505 at the peak and included everything from small desert fuelling depots to massive installations where Americans have been entrenched for years.   The Victory Base complex in Baghdad, the heart of the war operation surrounded by 42 km (27 miles) of concrete blast walls and razor wire, once hosted 40,000 troops and more than 20,000 contractors. Balad, north of Baghdad, had 36,000 residents.   Victory was so big it had a reverse osmosis water plant that could generate 1.85 million gallons a day, an ice plant, a 50-megawatt power generating station, stadium-sized chow halls and a laundromat with 3,000 machines able to do 36,000 loads a day.   Now the generals have moved from Saddam's missile-damaged palaces, the war operations room has been cleared of computers and phones and the barber shops, DVD stores and restaurants like Burger King, Subway and Green Bean are fast disappearing.   AIR SERVICE WINDING DOWN   For years, in U.S. air terminals across Iraq, on flat-screen monitors or white boards, generals and soldiers, journalists and contractors watched for flight information to BIAP (Baghdad International Airport), Tikrit, Mosul or other destinations.   Between combat, medical evacuations and ferry service, the U.S. intra-Iraq airline flew scores of times every day.   At the peak in 2009, there more than 400 aircraft which flew daily, Brooks said.   " The MNC-I Aviation brigade averaged 157 missions a day. We had 28 helicopters devoted to just flying passengers around Iraq on scheduled flights."   Joint Base Balad, with two 11,000-foot runways, had 27,500 takeoffs and landings a month in 2006, second only to London's Heathrow, U.S. officials said.   THE WAY OUT   For months, a steady stream of tanks, troop carriers, artillery and other gear has flowed from remote bases to collection yards in Baghdad and elsewhere, and then out of the country, mostly to Kuwait.   One U.S. military officer said logistics experts had estimated there was $7.8 billion worth of " theatre-provided equipment" -- the tanks, trucks, tables and chairs and other things the soldiers don't carry themselves -- to move.   On a single day, the dusty yard at Victory Base held 186 HumVees, 22 MRAPs, four M-1 Abrams tanks, eight Paladin Howitzer artillery systems, four Stryker fighting vehicles and scores of generators, lighting systems and other gear.   U.S. record-keepers itemize everything, including the equipment to be left behind. About a quarter of the gear, mainly HumVees, radios and weapons, was headed to Afghanistan.   At big bases like Victory, buildings, mess halls, offices, water treatment and electrical plants, Containerized Housing Units (CHUs), desks, tables and chairs, are being handed over to the Iraq government, and tons of equipment is being scrapped.   In many cases, the cost of moving something wasn't worth it. In others, the equipment wasn't worth it.   " A lot of the computers we've been using for the last eight years ... the guts are ripped out," said 1st Lieutenant Michael Saslo, logistics coordinator at the yard. " There's no point putting those on a convoy and risking a soldier's life for it."   By early November, nearly 4 million items worth $390 million had been given to Iraq, including 26,000 CHUs worth $124 million and 89,000 air conditioners worth $18.5 million. Logisticians said they had saved taxpayers $685 million in transport costs.   " We don't ship toilets," said one soldier.   The exception appeared to be Saddam Hussein's toilet, taken from the Victory Base cell where he was held for two years and destined for display in a U.S. military museum. |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
24-Nov-2011 20:24
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Brent oil up above $107 as winter, Mideast support
File photo shows tower of oil refinery in Venezuela
  SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Brent crude rose above $107 on Thursday as potential strong winter fuel demand and turmoil in the Middle East offset fears that a global economic slowdown could hurt consumption.   Crude stockpiles in the United States fell more than expected last week as refinery rates rose and crude imports fell. A botched German bond sale on Wednesday raised alarm that the crisis could hit even Europe's largest economy.   ICE January Brent futures rose 48 cents to $107.50 a barrel by 0315 GMT. Brent is poised for a third year of gains because of the political turmoil in the Middle East.   U.S. January crude, set for its second week of decline, was up 3 cents to $96.20 a barrel. Trading volume is expected to remain thin as the United States is closed for the Thanksgiving holiday.   Tony Nunan, risk manager at Mitsubishi Corp, said winter and the uncertainty in the Middle East would support the market in the short term.   " OECD inventories are so low and we're running into winter," he said. " Seasonally December is the highest demand period."   U.S. crude inventories fell 6.22 million barrels last week, against an expected increase of 500,000 barrels, data from the U.S. Energy Information (EIA) showed.   Nunan expects Brent to average at $110-$113 a barrel while maintaining a $7-$10 spread with U.S. crude.   Brent's premium against U.S. crude widened to $11.28, from $10.85 at Wednesday's close.   Goldman Sachs said on Wednesday the WTI-Brent crude oil spread was likely to widen in the near term following a rapid unwinding in recent weeks, but the reversal of the Seaway pipeline would see it narrow again by the end of 2012.   EURO ZONE   The ongoing debt crisis in the euro zone combined with weaker economic data from China and the United States increased worries that global growth could slow and reduce fuel demand.   A majority of twenty prominent economists polled by Reuters also predicted that the euro zone was unlikely to survive the crisis in its current form, with some envisaging a " core" group that would exclude Greece.   Weaker Chinese factory output worried investors while U.S. consumer spending growth slowed in October and business capital investment plans were weak, raising questions about expectations for solid economic performance in the fourth quarter.   In the Middle East, street clashes flared in Cairo again on Wednesday while an eight-month revolt in Syria dragged on.   " The big issue is, of course, Iran," added Mitsubishi's Nunan. " It's slow moving but sanctions are ratcheting up and it's a question of whether Israel can wait."   Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu called on Wednesday for stronger sanctions on Iran than those imposed this week by the United States, Britain and Canada to try to curb its nuclear ambitions. |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
23-Nov-2011 21:40
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) in Iraqi TroubleBaghdad pressuring Exxon on Kurdish play A top Iraqi oil official said Monday that the national government could replace Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) with rival Royal Dutch Shell PLC (NYSE:RDS-A) on a giant project in South Iraq if the US company follows through on a deal to explore for Crude Oil in the increasingly sought-after Kurdish region of the Country. The latest threat signaled new escalation between Exxon and Baghdad related to Exxon’s proposed Kurdish work. Exxon’s new efforts in Kurdistan come in the wake of other signs of Oilfield vitality in the Northern Iraq region, where a construction boom has followed recent high-profile Oil deals. Baghdad, citing Exxon’s deal with Kurdistan last month, threatened earlier this month to bar Exxon from further work on the West Qurna Phase I field, where Exxon is currently producing 370,000 BPD under a service contract with the National government. Monday, a top Baghdad official went a step further, threatening to replace Exxon with Shell, which is also a partner in West Qurna Phase I. “We have many options,” Abdul Mahdy al-Ameedi, head of the ministry’s petroleum contracts and licensing directorate, said Monday. “It is possible that Shell, or any other company, can replace ExxonMobil in West Qurna 1 field.” Shell, al-Ameedi added, “is a giant and big company and it is well aware of and taking part in all operations and activities in the field.” The riff between Iraq officials and Exxon comes as Oil market watchers see Kurdistan with new interest in light of recent deals. RBC Capital Markets said in a report that it expects “a surge in investor interest” in the region in light of promising geology. More than 40 companies from around the world are prospecting in Kurdistan, making it one of the most promising exploration zones in the Oil-rich Iraq. Officials with ExxonMobil and Shell declined comment Monday. |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
23-Nov-2011 21:33
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
Heavy fluctuations dominated yesterday , while trading remain steady above the 23.6% Fibonacci level around 96.65, the intraday downside bias continues to be bearish as the commodity is attempting another test toward the 200 days SMA and 95.50 region, while trading should remain below 99.85 for the downside bias to remain intact. For now, we will continue to monitor trading awaiting a fresh signal before our midday report. The trading range for the day is among the major support at 94.00 and the major resistance at 100.00. The short-term trend is to the downside with steady weekly closing below 105.00 targeting 65.00. Support: 96.60, 95.60, 95.00, 94.50, 94.00 Resistance: 97.50, 98.00, 99.00, 99.50, 100.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above we recommend staying aside awaiting more confirmations.
|
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
|
|
krisluke
Supreme |
23-Nov-2011 21:31
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
SilverThe upside move seen today was limited in areas below 38.2% Fibonacci correction at 32.95 as shown above on the chart. This fact supports our negative outlook to remain valid, supported by the rising wedge pattern. The return of the downside movement is possible today, but a breach of 32.95 weakens our outlook, while consolidation above 33.70 negates our bearish outlook for today. The trading range for today is among the key support at 29.55 and key resistance now at 34.50. The short-term trend is to the downside targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact. Support: 32.10, 31.80, 31.60, 31.25, 30.95 Resistance: 32.95, 33.05, 33.50, 33.70, 34.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is selling silver below 32.95, and take profit in stages at (31.60 and 30.95) and stop loss with 4-hour closing above 33.70 might be appropriate
GoldGold has bounced from 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of CD leg for our caught bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern, but the closing was achieved below SMA 100 -colored in blue- as seen on the provided daily chart. We should witness stability below 1703.00 zones once again to make sure that the first extended technical target at 76.4% level. Anyway, yesterdays' recovery didn’t change the bearish direction which started at 1800.00 areas but it created a positive crossover on Stochastic and that is why we need to see the metal breaching through the pivotal support of 1703.00 to negate the aforesaid sign. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1627.00 and key resistance now at 1765.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1703.00, 1695.00, 1687.00, 1679.00, 1665.00 Resistance: 1715.00, 1728.00, 1735.00, 1745.00, 1753.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold with a breakout below 1703.00 targeting 1650.00 and stop loss above 1735.00 might be appropriate
|
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
23-Nov-2011 21:30
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
News EIA Report Previous -1.1 million barrels Forecast 0.5 million barrels Negative factors that affect crude oil have increased to push crude further to downside erasing all of gains that recorded yesterday, as the HSBC China PMI manufacturing expected a contracting sector this month, which added more negative pressures on crude along with yesterday’s pessimistic data from U.S. Crude oil is volatile today but it is affected by negative factors that pushed it the downside from the opening price at $97.83 to reach a low of so far at $96.38, where it recorded a high of $97.89, and it is currently trading negatively around $97.00. Crude couldn’t find any positive factors that would give it some upside momentum, where the world’s second largest economy is going to contract this month as HSBC flash China PMI manufacturing showed today, which put crude on the downside rally along with global stocks. Also, fears from Europe had increased as the debt crisis is deepening despite all efforts that leaders made in order to avoid contagion risks, but unfortunately it is happening now as borrowing costs in the region is rising on all debt laden nations and it didn’t exclude bigger economies such as France, which faced a high borrowing costs as well. Also, France is under threat from a downgrade move from rating agencies, as Moody’s took the lead by warning France that it may face a negative outlook if things continued this way, as borrowing costs are rising and challenges that face the French economy increased in the past period amid deepening debt crisis. Fears and concerns in Europe are affecting the Euro negatively, especially that crisis is not limited at one country, where it is spreading in the whole continent, France credit rating is under threat as we said, and the French bigger role in bailout plan for Dexia bank had increased fears over its rating. All these news had put negative pressure on Euro taking it to the downside, which eventually considered as a positive factor for US dollar pushing it to six-week high, putting more negative pressures on crude oil as well. Sine crude is a growth sensitive commodity, it has affected significantly yesterday when U.S. economy pace didn’t grew as expected as figures showed yesterday, to slow from 2.5% to 2.0% in the third quarter as the second reading showed, as the U.S. economy has a main role in the global recovery pace and a slowing economy in U.S. would hurt the recovery indeed. On the other hand, the EIA report also is pushing crude to the downside, as it is expected to show a rise in U.S. crude inventories last week by 0.5 million barrels, unlike previous week which showed a drop in the stockpiles by 1.1 million barrels. Volatility will be evident in crude trading today, but the main trend for today would be to the downside amid signs of slowing global growth and weakening major economies amid deepening debt crisis in Europe, but the volatility will dominate the trading ahead of U.S. data and European data as well. |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
23-Nov-2011 21:26
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
23-Nov-2011 21:23
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
China says it opposes Western sanctions on Iran
BEIJING (Reuters) - China's Foreign Ministry on Wednesday said it opposes unilateral sanctions against Iran, days after several Western countries announced new measures against Tehran to halt its nuclear programme.
  The United States, Britain and Canada announced new measures against Iran's energy and financial sectors on Monday and France proposed " unprecedented" new sanctions, including freezing the assets of its central bank and suspending purchases of its oil.   " China is always against unilateral sanctions against Iran and is even more opposed to the expansion of such sanctions," Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Weimin told reporters at a regular press briefing, reiterating the need for negotiations.   " We believe pressure and sanctions will not fundamentally solve the Iranian issue, but will complicate the issue. Intensifying confrontation is not conducive to the region's peace and stability," Liu said.   Iran has dismissed the new wave of sanctions, saying the West's attempts to isolate its economy would only serve to unite Iranians behind their government's nuclear programme.   The latest sanctions were prompted by a U.N. nuclear agency report that suggested Iran had worked on an atomic bomb design. Tehran maintains its work is entirely peaceful and said the report was based on false Western intelligence.   But the series of unilateral steps were meant to pressure Iran to suspend the nuclear programme before it gets the bomb. Israel and Washington say they do not rule out military strikes if other efforts fail.   Critics of the sanctions said they would fail to stop Iran's nuclear work and would play into the hands of a government that wears its hostility to Washington as a badge of pride.   The moves by the Western governments came outside of the United Nations, where Russia and China -- both permanent U.N. Security Council members with veto power -- agree that Iran should not be subjected to sanctions.   Russia called the U.S. moves " unacceptable.   China, which has kept close ties with Iran, has backed past U.N. Security Council resolutions criticising Iran's position on nuclear issues and authorising limited sanctions.   But Beijing has repeatedly resisted Western proposals for sanctions that could seriously curtail its energy and economic ties with Iran, China's third-largest crude oil supplier.   It has said Chinese firms will business dealings with Iran should not be targeted.   Iran shipped 20.3 million tonnes of crude oil in the first nine months of the year, up by almost a third on the same period last year, according to Chinese data.   (Reporting By Sui-lee Wee Writing by Michael Martina Editing by Jonathan Thatcher) |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
22-Nov-2011 22:47
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
The 200 –days SMA formed a solid ground for the commodity , where price rebounded from the support area we mentioned yesterday to trade again above 97.00. We may see further upside attempts toward 98.00-99.00 areas and the previously breached ascending trend line. However, in general, bearishness could resume from those key resistance levels targeting another test of the Moving average. The trading range for the day is among the major support at 94.00 and the major resistance at 100.00. The short-term trend is to the downside with steady weekly closing below 105.00 targeting 65.00. Support: 96.60, 95.60, 95.00, 94.50, 94.00 Resistance: 97.50, 98.00, 99.00, 99.60, 100.25 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above we recommend selling oil around 98.50 targeting 97.00 and 95.50. Stop loss with four-hour closing above 99.85
|
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
22-Nov-2011 22:45
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
SilverThe negative effect of the rising wedge pattern is still valid, while silver is gradually moving towards 30.30, which represents a critical support level and an intraday and short-term barrier. Today, we expect the downside movement to continue, where any trading below 32.95 supports our expectations to prevail, while Stability below 31.60 supports the downside movement significantly. The trading range for today is among the key support at 29.55 and key resistance now at 33.50. The short-term trend is to the downside targeting 26.65 as far as areas of 48.50 remain intact. Support: 31.25, 30.95, 30.50, 30.30, 30.00 Resistance: 31.60, 32.10, 32.60, 32.95, 33.05 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is selling silver below 31.60, and take profit in stages at (30.30 and 29.55) and stop loss with 4-hour closing above 32.10 might be appropriate
GoldGold has slumped violently achieving a very negative closing below 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of CD leg for our efficient bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern as seen on the provided daily graph. Consequently, the path is clear for reaching 76.4% -the first extended technical target of the pattern- at 1650.00 zones. Additionally, SMA 50 has bearishly crossed over SMA 100 for the first time since February solidifying our bearish technical outlook for the metal. A break of 1650.00 will add further weakness towards 1603.00 areas. The trading range for today is among the key support at 1627.00 and key resistance now at 1735.00. The general trend over the short term basis is to the upside targeting 1945.00 per ounce as far as areas of 1475.00 remain intact with weekly closing. Support: 1679.00, 1665.00, 1650.00, 1645.00, 1635.00 Resistance: 1687.00, 1695.00, 1703.00, 1715.00, 1728.00 Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is, selling gold around 1703.00 targeting 1650.00 and stop loss above 1735.00 might be appropriate.
|
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
22-Nov-2011 22:40
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
ARAB SPRING SPRUNG Ah another sign of spring. No, not the weather but the Arab spring. While oil got slammed yesterday on European Sovereign debt woes and fears that France may get a downgrade, the focus today may be on a new round of sanctions on Iran and another revolution in Egypt. Oh sure it helps too that the rating agencies reaffirmed the US credit ratings after the Super Committee seemed to lose its super powers. Reuters News said, " rating agencies Standard & Poor's and Moody's said there will no immediate downgrade of their credit ratings on the United States due to the failure of a congressional " super committee" to reach an agreement on debt reduction. But Fitch, the third leading ratings agency, which currently has the most positive rating of the three on U.S. debt, said it could cut the outlook on its triple-A" rating, with a downgrade an outside possibility." Yet while gold and silver plummeted, oil prices fought back off the lows despite the pressure in the outside markets as pictures of violence in Egypt flashed across the TV screen. Word that protesters were demanding an end to the military rule that has been in place since Hosni Mubarak was deposed caused the country's interim cabinet to resign. Yet the masses in the second Egyptian revolution don't seem to be buying it and appear even more determined than some of the " Occupy Wall Street" folks. For oil traders the concern obviously is the stability of the Suez Canal and the SUMED Pipeline. According to the Energy Information Agency arm of the Department of Energy, " closure of the Suez Canal and SUMED Pipeline would add an estimated 6,000 miles of transit around the continent of Africa. The canal is located in Egypt and connects the Red Sea and Gulf of Suez with the Mediterranean Sea, spanning 120 miles. Year-to-date through November of 2010, petroleum (both crude oil and refined products) as well as liquefied natural gas (LNG) accounted for 13 and 11 percent of Suez cargos, measured by cargo tonnage, respectively. Total petroleum transit volume was close to 2 million bbl/d, or just below five percent of seaborne oil trade in 2010. The EIA goes on to say that almost 16,500 ships transited the Suez Canal from January through November of 2010, of which about 20 percent were petroleum tankers and 5 percent were LNG tankers. With only 1,000 feet at its narrowest point, the Canal is unable to handle the VLCC (Very Large Crude Carriers) and ULCC (Ultra Large Crude Carriers) class crude oil tankers. The Suez Canal Authority is continuing enhancement and enlargement projects on the canal, and extended the depth to 66 ft in 2010 to allow over 60 percent of all tankers to use the Canal." The other concern of course is the oil market's old nemesis Iran. The US, along with the UK and Canada, slapped more sanctions on Iran's oil industry in the aftermath of the nuclear ambition report from the International Atomic Energy Agency. France is also calling for a ban on purchases of Iranian oil a move that if everybody went along with would cripple the Iranian economy and cause a shortage of oil supply in Europe. Of course the Chinese and the Russians are against new sanctions and are content to sit back while Iran makes the world a more dangerous place. A known terror state that has already threatened to wipe one country off of the face of the earth does not add to warm and fuzzy feelings about the peace and security of the Middle East, not to mention the rest of the globe. Bottom line for oil, we sold off too much on fear and the geo-political risk means we may have hit a short term bottom. With turkey on traders' minds and light volume, expect some weird moves but today look to be patient and try to buy a break or sell a big rally. At what price level? Call me and you can find out. Make sure you are getting a trial to my daily trade levels and open your trading account. Just call me - Phil Flynn - at 800-935-6487 or email me at pflynn@PFGBEST.com This e-mail address is being protected from spambots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it . Remember you are going to need " The Power to Prosper" ! Tune into the Fox Business Network where you can see me every day! |
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me | |
krisluke
Supreme |
22-Nov-2011 22:25
|
x 0
x 0 Alert Admin |
|
Useful To Me Not Useful To Me |