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CapitaMall
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Moneysense
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06-Nov-2009 20:38
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That's true. That's why CMT cheong so much. | |||||
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joshlai86
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06-Nov-2009 10:38
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Thanks for the wonderful analysis. I'm vested in CapRChina. Just curious, if CMA manages to price its shares at 1.5x bv, wont that be a boon to caprchina and capitamall, especially for caprchina, as the assets in CMA is largely in china. considering CaprChina's bv of $1.13 as of sep 2009, a 1.5x bv would lead to a price of $1.70. Given the disparity, CMA would not be as appealing as CapRChina, given the higher valuations of CMA's share 1.5x bv. Hence, the funds will shift back to capitamall and caprchina. Both stock are trading around bv now. Just my view for sharing :) welcome any comments.
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rutheone1905
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05-Nov-2009 10:23
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For those holding on to CMT take note the arrival of CMA: Capitaland plans to float a stake in its integrated shopping centre business under CapitaMalls Asia (CMA) by the year-end could add handsomely to CapitaLand's fourth-quarter and full-year bottom lines. CMA has a net asset value of $5.3 billion but assuming that its assets are valued at 1.5 to two times book value during the initial public offering (IPO), the total market worth of CMA would be about $8-10 billion. If CapitaLand floats a stake of 30 per cent, the pre-tax profit that it stands to book from the IPO could be in the order of $800 million to $1.4 billion. CapitaLand's management has indicated that the board may consider recommending a special dividend to shareholders following CMA's flotation. UBS Investment Research, in a recent paper, estimates that assuming an $8 billion valuation for CMA and a 30 per cent free float, the special dividend would work out to 27 cents per CapitaLand share if it decides to pay out 50 per cent of the IPO proceeds, and 54 cents per share assuming a 100 per cent payout. On a $10 billion valuation for CMA and a 40 per cent free float, the payout could range from 45-90 cents per share. Since CapitaLand announced its plans earlier this month to float CMA, its share price rallied about 21.5 per cent to a high of $4.46 on Monday, although it has given up much of the gain, ending at $4.15 yesterday. By UBS's calculations, an $8-10 billion valuation for CMA will add 61 cents to $1.06 to its revalued net asset value (RNAV) per share for CapitaLand, which it estimates at $4.30 based on CMA's $5.3 billion book value. By launching an IPO, a higher value will be placed on the CMA business than if it remained as an unlisted part of CapitaLand. Or as CapitaLand's management has put it, its plans to float CMA will 'unlock shareholder value by crystallising the value of CapitaLand Group's integrated shopping mall business'. CapitaLand shareholders stand to gain by approving the group's plans to float CMA. No doubt it will also be good for members of its management, whose pay packets should benefit from a stronger bottom line. And not to forget JP Morgan, the sole financial adviser. However, some CapitaLand shareholders may also hold stakes in CapitaMall Trust (CMT) and CapitaRetail China Trust (CRCT), which many analysts reckon may fare less favourably after CMA is listed. CMT may face short-term price weakness from asset reallocation to CMA, as UBS says. The process has already begun. CMT's unit price has slipped from $1.82 before the announcement on CMA to yesterday's closing price of $1.60. CMA, with a portfolio of 86 malls in China, Singapore, Malaysia, Japan and India, may be more appealing to investors than CMT - which has a presence only in Singapore. CMA's free float market cap could rival CMT's. Still, CMA could find it worthwhile to sell assets, such as its 50 per cent stake in ION Orchard, to CMT given the tax transparency that CMT, as a real estate investment trust (Reit), enjoys in Singapore. In other words, if ION remains in CMA, the income from the mall will be taxed at the corporate tax rate (at the vehicle or CMA level). If however, ION is sold to CMT, the mall's income will be exempt from payment of corporate tax at the Reit/vehicle level, under the tax flow-through allowed for Singapore Reits. So CMA will retain an incentive (from the viewpoint of this tax saving at least) to develop, warehouse and sell assets to CMT - pretty much the arrangement that now exists between CapitaLand and CMT. However, this may not be the case for CRCT. That's because CRCT does not enjoy tax transparency since its income is derived from the ownership of malls in China, where it has to pay taxes on the income before it can bring it to Singapore. This being the case, there could be less incentive for CMA to offload its China malls in future to CRCT. In fact, it may diminish or extinguish the raison d'etre of CRCT. When CapitaLand floated CRCT in December 2006, it had planned to grow its initial $690 million portfolio of seven malls in China to $3 billion by end-2009. So far, it hasn't been very successful. Today, its portfolio comprises eight malls worth $1.2 billion. Who knows, CapitaLand could eventually privatise CRCT and let its China malls business sit entirely in CMA. This could provide a nice exit for CRCT shareholders. These are some questions that CapitaLand shareholders who also own units in CMT and CRCT may ponder as they vote tomorrow on CapitaLand's plans to float CMA |
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daphnecsf
Senior |
04-Nov-2009 00:07
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CapitaMall Trust----3 mths ended Sep 2009Net Profit (S$M) $77.41 %Change +24.0 | |||||
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Calculation
Senior |
03-Nov-2009 13:52
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This year, both parent and kids (CapitaLand, CapitaMall and CapitaComm) had raised so much cash through rights issues. Now CapitaLand is aiming to raise another US$2 billion before the year is over. What are they going to do with all the cash raised? |
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williamyeo
Senior |
03-Nov-2009 03:54
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Calculation
Senior |
03-Nov-2009 01:00
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Just announced that it would be meeting with institutional investors to test the offer price and size.
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bola_no1
Senior |
03-Nov-2009 00:42
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Whats the IPO offering? | |||||
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simbao66
Member |
02-Nov-2009 23:09
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OCT 14 capital group company juz bought in 30810 lots on tis baby.It is for long postion.dun't understand why??? |
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Calculation
Senior |
30-Oct-2009 03:02
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When CapitaLand lists CMA at the end of this year (as it had announced earlier), it will squeeze every cent out of its stake in CapitaMall and CapitaRetail China through its IPO pricing. The shareholders of CapitaLand will jump if the divestment is priced at a low level. | |||||
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Calculation
Senior |
30-Oct-2009 02:48
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Forget about support and resistance, just bear in mind it has Madam Ho Ching behind it!
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Moneysense
Senior |
29-Oct-2009 20:33
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Not to worry. This is Singapore's number 1 reit. It's volatile. It will climb up again. | |||||
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ktchua
Member |
28-Oct-2009 22:32
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today Capitamall price drop quite a bit......can someone adivse if it will falls further and what is the resistance level | |||||
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dealer0168
Elite |
19-Oct-2009 18:33
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Ok noted. N Thanks bikerlover fr the info.
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bikerlover
Member |
18-Oct-2009 23:30
Yells: "Good luck to your trading!" |
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It want to list CapitaMall Asia to raise more cash, so i also think that it's unlikely to delist Capitamall. But with the surplus IPO money, maybe it will delist it???
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dealer0168
Elite |
11-Oct-2009 22:11
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It seems like not only CapitaMall may be delisted. Seems like some others also affected. Correct me if i interpret wrongly. Emm can provide the exact few that might be affected.
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Calculation
Senior |
11-Oct-2009 21:55
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CapitaLand's stake in CapitaMall will be held through CapitaMall Asia; the latter will then issue shares to the public so as to be listed on the Stock Exchange. CapitaLand has said it would keep a controlling interest in CapitaMall Asia. On the point of whether CapitaMall will be delisted, I personally doubt CapitaLand will want to put in that huge sum of cash (assuming it has).
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bikerlover
Member |
11-Oct-2009 16:23
Yells: "Good luck to your trading!" |
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Will this stock be delisted when CapitaMall Asia is up and running? Or will CapitaMall Asia just hold onto a certain percentage of the stock?? | |||||
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watergate
Member |
31-Jul-2009 14:18
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yesterday this share went down and up so much... now it like no movement... |
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TuaPekGong9413
Elite |
30-Jul-2009 11:30
Yells: "deity" |
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shorted at 1.55 | |||||
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