S ince our last update in end January, the Straits Times Index has ventured successfully into the resistance zone between 2,920 and 3,000, and is now facing resistance at the top of the zone at 3,000 as highlighted before.
Last Friday, it achieved a high of 2,995 before profit taking sets resulting in a 0.7% retreat. The profit taking started in the morning and is steady and firm. The day closed with the STI closing below the upward trend and is bearish.
The resistance at 2,995 is expected to be strong. It is a support last June. The next resistance is 3,040 which is the top of the trading band in 2010.
The gaps formed from last August rapid collapse will present resistance to the rally. Those we are stuck at higher prices are likely to sell into the rally at breakeven or small lose with the objective of cutting exposure and ‘exiting the market’ till further notice.
A retreat should find support at 2,920 (bottom of resistance zone). However, it is some distance away from the long-term GMMA. The next support is at 2,880 followed by 2,790. The likelihood is a retest between 2,880 and 2,920 before a potential resumption of the rally.
.......posted 12 Feb 2012