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Courage Marine
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esmond
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16-Jun-2008 10:16
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tis baby may be affected. CIMB - Dry Bulk Shipping - In stormy waters Reiterate Underweight on near-term correction in BDI. of the dry bulk shipping sector from overweight to underweight, share prices have sunk by 30% for STX Pan Ocean, 26% for TTA, 20% for PSL and 14% Maybulk, reflecting leverage to a 14% decline in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI). The BDI is likely to retreat further as iron ore destocking at Chinese ports reduces new shipments and miners take active steps to lessen port congestion and demurrage charges. China’s potential shutdown of steel production in July/August during the Beijing Olympics could be another source of weakness for freight rates. Since our 22 May downgradeSharp falls in BDI last week caused by evaporating demand. 17%, primarily due to the 28% collapse in capesize rates, with shipbrokers reporting a sudden absence of demand for iron ore cargoes. Shipments from both Brazil and Australia were affected. Meanwhile, the Argentinean farmers’ strike continued to prevent panamaxes from being loaded with grains for export, and the ongoing monsoon season caused a slump in activity on India’s west coast. China recently raised port storage charges for the accumulating iron ore inventory and threatened to revoke the licences of traders responsible for the stockpile. As the 30 June target for conclusion of iron ore price negotiations with Australia approaches, we believe China is determined to weaken spot prices by curtailing imports. Last week, the BDI fellHeightened downside volatility reflects intolerance for rising risks. have traditionally exhibited a strong correlation to the gyrations in rates, but in recent months, this relationship appears to be reflecting downside bias. Share prices lagged behind the upturn in BDI from late January, but the sell-off from mid-May has been more brutal than the drop in the BDI. We believe that investors are becoming more intolerant of the rising risks in the sector and more fearful of its volatility. This suggests that the pullback in share prices is unlikely to be over. Share pricesTrading Sells maintained but with lower target prices: STXPO (S$2.32), TTA (THB32), PSL (THB18.50), Maybulk (RM3). previous targets (apart from Maybulk), and we think further downside is likely if the BDI extends its fall. Therefore, we are lowering our target prices by 10-30%. Our price objective for STXPO now factors in a 40% discount to its RNAV, instead of 20%. We apply a 50% (30% previously) RNAV discount to the Thai stocks and a 20% (10% previously) discount to Maybulk. The relative premium for Maybulk is due to its high dividend yield while TTA and PSL are priced at a relative discount on account of its historical trading valuations. Share prices have already fallen below ourWe expect freight rates to bottom in July or August point. Once the iron ore inventories in China are digested and the Olympics is over, demand for commodities should return with a vengeance and rates should rally sharply from September. Risks to our underweight rating include the resolution of the Argentinean farmers’ strike which could release grain cargoes into the panamax and handymax segments, less-than-expected iron ore destocking in China and uninterrupted steel production during the Olympics. , which will be an excellent reentry |
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yipyip
Master |
20-May-2008 23:35
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1Q2008 FS Rev US$21.5mln +29% Profit US$12.55mln +32% http://info.sgx.com/webcoranncatth.nsf/VwAttachments/Att_06596C5F9452B02A48257443002F6CE4/$file/Courage_Results_1Q08.pdf?openelement |
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sanye2006
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05-May-2008 10:37
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Aiyah, you yourself said its XD on 5 May. The answer is NO loh. :P | ||||
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stockseeker
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04-May-2008 13:00
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This counter is one I had been eyeing for a v. long time, particularly b'cos of it's business nature (dry bulk carrier and marine transportation services), as well as its dividend (in USD) - certainly betta than FD. :P Didn't enter cos it suffered pretty badly during the Sub Prime Alarm. But that's besides the point, what I'm trying to find out is the following: If I were to buy the stock on it's XD date - i.e. 5th May - am I still entitled to its dividend?
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jasonrxz
Senior |
29-Apr-2008 10:37
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Hi....
Just my 2ct opinion,,,,
This stock should went up last week but it's being deter till lose it's strenght and now only hope is tat BBs come in and push it up ( FOR SHORT term) As for mid to long term, this stock still got alot of room to move north with resistance at 0.47
Hope this help..... Before it XD should have a slight spike up as per all normal stocks... catch it while it's on the right track...
cheers
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zhixiang
Member |
29-Apr-2008 08:50
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Wonder if anyone got any opinion about this stock? Any value in it? | ||||
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