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Great SGX Sales is here again !! hee....
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jeremyow
Senior |
10-Jul-2009 02:32
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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The problem with short-term timing the market is that one is working against all odds of unpredictability. Try doing this numerous times over and the odds of losing gets higher statistically as one constantly battles unpredictability and also emotions in carrying out every single investing decision. Accumulate gradually in good companies on every dip in prices and by the end of the period until the recovery comes, one may not land up exactly at the bottom but still may get close to bottom waiting for the next long rally in stock prices. By then, one may have substantial holdings in good companies and can expect decent long term rate of yearly compounded returns. |
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jeremyow
Senior |
10-Jul-2009 02:05
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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Haha.....Great Singapore sale.....20% discount on most items.......Undervalued blue chips??.... I have not researched on many companies yet due to my lack of time. I also do not want to recommend any particular stocks for fear that I may cause anyone to lose money. However, I think most blue chips are worth investing now at this moment. Just buy in and accumulate slowly from this period until next year. There is no guarantee that the stock market will not drop in near future before the real recovery comes, so please be careful to accumulate slowly upon opportunities. Make sure one does not stay out 100% cash on the sideline. Make sure some of the cash is already invested and there is always reserve cash (bullets to shoot down any potential targets that come along upon any opportunity-dip in prices). I believe this is a wise way to invest over this period (not stay out completely but invested and still have room to invest further upon dip in prices). Rate of returns is dependent on the length of time one stays invested in the market. Usually, it is that small number of days in a year that show up spectacular gains that if an investor stays on the sideline, he will miss that sharp gain. For example, had an investor stayed on the sideline from last year October to this year March, he will have already missed the recent sharp rally. I am not MFT. However, the stock market will continue to rise further in future. We just don't know when this will be realised (maybe a month's time or one year's time? It is anybody's guess.) As for blue chip companies, market leaders like Keppel Corp (world largest oil rig builder), SPH (monopoly of Singapore newspaper print and publishing), CapitaLand (Southeast Asia largest property developer) are worth looking at. I don't consider telcos like Singtel and Starhub because of their intense competition in the Singapore market which may reduce their earnings due to price competition. The prices of many blue chips may be steep compared to March lows, but not grossly overvalued yet. So, if one invests in them with a long term mindset, one should expect decent rate of yearly returns (good dividend yield and stock value appreciation) with minimal risk of loss of capital. Having stable established blue-chip companies in one's stock portfolio provides a stable platform from which the returns collected from dividends can be used to reinvest in other good growth stocks belonging to non-blues. <If one has already missed the recent sharp rally, one will have already missed out on a good opportunity to buy at low undervalued prices of many stocks few months back. However, should the stock market continue to rise inevitably in future, it will be another blow to the investor should he refuse to invest over this period. Then, he may in future convince himself that market has recovered and he will be one among the crowd to chase after grossly overvalued stock prices waiting for the next bear to again wipe out his small gains.> <Short-term wise the stock market is unpredictable due to many factors resulting in volatility. Long term wise, the stock market can only recover and one can invest gradually in good stocks over this period to anticipate the recovery in future to come.> <Should one tries to time the market short-term wise and makes money, good loh. If one does not, don't blame anyone or anything. Blame it on luck since stock market is unpredictable short-term wise.> <Lastly, please take my sharing with a pinch of salt. This is not a call to buy or sell any particular stock mentioned in my sharing. Just my two cents worth. Happy investing!>
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senecus
Veteran |
09-Jul-2009 22:46
Yells: "Market Fortune Telling - Senior MFT" |
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The great singapore sale will have 20% discount on most items....kettle...pot...silverware...iron... | ||||
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niuyear
Supreme |
09-Jul-2009 12:36
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hi jeremyow Would you mind sharing which are those that are undervalued at present time? I am waiting to buy those blue chips that are grossly undervalued. Thanks.
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Tofuman
Member |
09-Jul-2009 12:25
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Hi.. I was wondering where did you guys access financial reports and technical charts? Is there any websites that provides all these? Anyone??=) |
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jeremyow
Senior |
09-Jul-2009 01:00
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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To make good one's investments, investing is about all of the following:- 1. Right time to buy at undervalued prices, 2. Right excellent company invested, 3. Right time to sell only when there is no more incentive for holding the shares (e.g. future growth of the underlying business of the company is limited or business fundamentals have deteroriated permanently or there is a better investment than current one) If one's holding power is forever and have done all the above smoothly, one can expect to see a good long term rate of yearly returns as the intrinsic value of one's shares grows together with the business on a non-return basis. |
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senecus
Veteran |
08-Jul-2009 22:48
Yells: "Market Fortune Telling - Senior MFT" |
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Take a break....for a while...and observe. | ||||
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lookcc
Master |
08-Jul-2009 21:26
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true. | ||||
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iPunter
Supreme |
08-Jul-2009 21:22
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The right time to buy is when everyone have lost money... Recently, about a 3 weeks ago, the newspapers featured an article revealing many people have made good money... Now, that's the worst time to jump in and buy... because as you have seen see, the market was starting to pull back already.
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smartrader
Elite |
08-Jul-2009 21:13
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believe some stocks could have hit the TP but most people will shift their goal posts - due to fear factor or waiting for the lowest... |
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lookcc
Master |
08-Jul-2009 21:00
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think nobody knows d rite time. | ||||
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lookcc
Master |
08-Jul-2009 20:18
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think nobody knows d rite time. | ||||
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dealer0168
Elite |
08-Jul-2009 20:08
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Remember: "It isn't as important to buy as cheap as possible as it is to buy at the right time." |
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lookcc
Master |
08-Jul-2009 20:01
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has d sales season started??? | ||||
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jeremyow
Senior |
08-Jul-2009 15:01
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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Waiting patiently for suitable low undervalued prices is also a decision in itself. It is not easy to wait and do nothing. However, patience is an excellent virtue when it comes to investing. It is not the number of decisions one makes that matters. A shrewd investor may only need to make a few important investment decisions that can put him at a great advantage securing a high long term rate of yearly compounded returns. Waiting patiently is not the same as waiting on the sideline fearfully. The former patient investor knows what he is doing in waiting. The latter investor just keeps out of stocks with much fear and don't know when he should re-enter again. |
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jeremyow
Senior |
08-Jul-2009 14:44
Yells: "Passionate business investor" |
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Haha. Even claymore mines must know how to set at right location to ambush the enemy correctly. Be patient during this impending possible drop in stock prices. It is the emotional impulsive nature that kills at investing. Wait patiently for perfect target shot (low undervalue prices again). A sniper knows this well. He fires only when target is 100% sure hit since his position will be exposed once he fires (same as investing only when at very high probability of rate of return and very low probability of loss ). All the investing decisions (whether right or wrong) made during this stock downturn period from last year October to maybe early next year may determine one's long term rate of return. It is an endurance marathon run when comes to making every investing moves. One always battle with his emotions to make an investment decision (Buy or not buy; sell or not sell). Make every single investing moves carefully making sure it is a 100% (or close to 100%) sure hit on the target. <The summation of all investing moves made during this exceptional once in a blue moon downturn period will determine one's long term rate of returns. Make the right moves and one will see spectacular long term rate of yearly compounded returns in the years to come when the stock market recovers.> |
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nickyng
Supreme |
08-Jul-2009 12:26
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haha..that is for conventional "warfare" :P i switch to use of claymore mines !! :P
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wongmx6
Veteran |
08-Jul-2009 12:14
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It's time to observe and study hard. Aim your Target and fire at correct time..... | ||||
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nickyng
Supreme |
08-Jul-2009 10:02
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well..looks like it is the beginning of the SGX Sales Season !! Happy Shopping !! ..err "spend" within your MEANS hor ! :D | ||||
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